3:37 Worcester
This Class 4 mares' handicap chase at Worcester over 2m4f on good ground serves as a qualifier for the Challenger Mares' Chase Series and features a compact but competitive field of eight. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with Broomfield Aderra heading the list on 64, followed closely by Mighty Fleur on 62, Best Women on 59 and Sweet Caryline on 57. Several runners arrive in good heart after recent wins, though the lack of course form for the entire field adds an element of the unknown to proceedings at this venue.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with high confidence, driven by two habitual front-runners in Princess Keri and Annie Express who are likely to set a searching gallop from the outset. With the majority of the field, including all four principals, preferring to be held up and produce their effort late, the race could collapse in the final stages as those ridden for pace come under pressure. This setup poses the key question of whether the prominent runners can sustain their effort or if the hold-up brigade will be able to pick them off as the race unfolds.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Broomfield Aderra KTB Selection64/100
Broomfield Aderra is a high-class performer who arrives in solid form after a win and two placed efforts from her last four starts. She drops back to a trip she has won over already and has shown she handles this ground. The Dan Skelton and Harry Skelton partnership operates at a strong strike rate around Worcester, with the trainer on 17% and the jockey on 20%. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she is well placed to take advantage if the strong pace collapses. Her official rating stands at 121 and her recent form figures read 31351-.
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2Mighty Fleur62/100
Mighty Fleur is a smart performer who arrives in excellent order after three straight wins and looks well treated on that recent form. The Bowen partnership has a solid 22% strike rate at Worcester while the yard also fares respectably here with a 19% record. She has three wins from eight on good ground and two from three at today's trip, both positive indicators. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she should be suited by the strong pace likely to be set up front. Her official rating is 114 and her recent form figures read 72-111.
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3Best Women59/100
Best Women is a smart performer who arrives in solid form after a recent win and consistent placed efforts. She drops back in trip to 2m4f for the first time which asks a fresh question. Trainer Alex Hales and jockey Kielan Woods both hold strong records at Worcester, the yard at 16% and the jockey at 18%. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she will be looking to come from off the pace in a race expected to be strongly run. Her official rating is 107 and her recent form figures read /382-1.
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4Sweet Caryline57/100
Sweet Caryline is a smart performer who arrives in excellent order having rattled off three wins earlier this season. She steps up in trip today having failed to land a blow in two previous tries at this distance, though the extra yardage could still suit on pedigree. Trainer Joe Tizzard operates at a 10% strike rate here while jockey Brendan Powell is 9% from 248 rides at Worcester. Usually held up with high confidence and producing her effort late, she has a strong record on good ground with four wins from six starts. Her official rating is 114 and her recent form figures read 11163-.
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5Princess Keri57/100
Princess Keri is a useful mare who has shown consistent ability in this grade with two wins at today's trip from five attempts. Dropping back from 3m while having a solid record on good ground including two wins from four starts, she tends to make the running or race on the pace with high confidence and could set the race up for the hold-up performers.
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6Annie Express56/100
Annie Express is a smart performer who arrives in decent form after a mixed but productive last campaign. Dropping back to a trip she has won over from just one attempt while her record on good ground reads one win and a placing from four starts, she tends to make the running or race on the pace and could be involved early.
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7La Marquise54/100
La Marquise is a smart performer who arrives in solid form having placed twice in stronger company this year. The step up in trip looks a logical move though the yard's record on good ground at this track is modest and she has yet to show her best on this surface. Usually held up with high confidence, she has strong Worcester figures for trainer and jockey.
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8Realisation52/100
Realisation is a smart performer who arrives in solid form after a placed effort last time and has a good overall record. Dropping back from 3m to a trip he has won over before while the yard holds a respectable record at Worcester, the only negative is the going with just one win from ten runs on good ground. Usually held up with high confidence.
KTB verdict
Broomfield Aderra is the KTB Selection. A high-class performer in solid form after a win and two placed efforts from her last four starts, she drops back to a trip she has won over and handles the ground, with the Skelton team in strong order at Worcester. The strong pace should suit her hold-up style as the race could collapse late. Her main dangers are Mighty Fleur, who arrives with three straight wins and looks well treated, and Best Women, who brings a recent win and strong Worcester figures for her connections, while Sweet Caryline cannot be ruled out after rattling off three wins earlier in the season.
KTB Selection Broomfield Aderra
This is the narrative read of the 3:37 Worcester. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Worcester racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Worcester results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Worcester racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is best suited by the expected strong pace?
Broomfield Aderra, Mighty Fleur, Best Women, Sweet Caryline, La Marquise and Realisation are all usually held up and produce their effort late, which should suit if the strong pace collapses.
How many of the principals have course form at Worcester?
None of the four principals have course form on record at Worcester.
Which runners are likely to set the pace?
Princess Keri tends to make the running or race on the pace with high confidence, while Annie Express also tends to make the running or race on the pace.
What is the trip record for Mighty Fleur at 2m4f?
Mighty Fleur has two wins from three starts at today's trip.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Worcester among those represented?
Jamie Snowden has a 17% strike rate at Worcester from 203 runs, matching Dan Skelton, while Mickey Bowen is on 19% from 54 runs.
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