3:37 Redcar
The 3.37 at Redcar is a Class 5 handicap over 5f on good ground with a field of ten. KTB’s Fit ratings point to a competitive but largely modest bunch, headed by the selection North West Gal on 64. Most of the field are exposed handicappers with placed form rather than wins at this level, and the lack of any obvious front-runner sets up a tactical, steadily-run race in which being handy from a good draw could prove decisive.
How the race shapes up
With no confirmed leader in a ten-runner field the pace shape is expected to be steady and tactical rather than breakneck. The majority of runners, including all five principals, are held-up types who will be looking to produce their effort late. The key question is whether the race will be won from off the pace or whether one of the more forward-placed runners can steal it in a sprint for the line.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1North West Gal KTB Selection64/100
North West Gal is the KTB selection. A modest performer, she has shown ability at this trip, winning one of her four attempts over 5f. She has course experience here at Redcar and her recent form includes a placed effort on her penultimate start. The yard have a solid 16% strike rate at the track from 49 runs. Roisin Leech takes the ride with a 100% strike rate at Redcar from one ride and an A/E of 12. Usually held up, she produces her effort late. She is placed once from four starts on good ground without winning.
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2Castan56/100
Castan is a modest performer who has been placed on good ground and has won at this trip. At this track he has shown one decent effort when third but his other three runs read poorly. Trainer Bryan Smart’s solid record here gives some encouragement despite the horse’s overall exposed profile. Paul Mulrennan takes the mount; the pair have a 14% strike rate together with an A/E of 0.98. Usually held up with high confidence, he produces his effort late. He is placed twice from ten starts on good ground without winning and has been placed once from four starts at Redcar without winning.
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3Sergeant Mayer54/100
Sergeant Mayer is a modest performer with a solid record at this track, winning two of his three starts here. He has been in good form this year with three wins from his last six runs and is proven at both today’s trip and on good ground. Nigel Tinkler’s modest strike-rate at Redcar from 923 runs is worth noting. Faye McManoman rides; the combination show a 9% strike rate with an A/E of 0.88. Usually held up with high confidence, he produces his effort late. He has two wins from fourteen starts on good ground with seven places.
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4Emperor's Son52/100
Emperor’s Son is a modest performer with a mixed record this year and recent form that has been in and out. He has placed here once from a single run at Redcar and drops back to 5f having won twice at the trip in the past. The trainer has only four runs at the track so the sample is too small to judge while the jockey operates at a 10% strike rate from 161 rides here. Joanna Mason takes the ride. Usually held up, he produces his effort late. He has one win from seven starts on good ground with two places.
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5Hanney Girl50/100
Hanney Girl is a modest performer with a win at this trip from eighteen attempts but has been out of the frame in her last three starts. She has no previous experience at Redcar and has failed to place in six runs on good ground. Tim Easterby operates at an 8% strike rate here from a large sample of 2372 runs. Jake Dickson takes the mount with a 4% strike rate at the track from 26 rides. Usually held up, she produces her effort late. She is dropping in class.
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6Houndhill50/100
Houndhill is a modest performer who has shown his best at this track with two placed efforts from four runs here. He has won twice at this trip overall and has been competitive on good ground, though his recent form has been patchy. Trainer Nigel Tinkler has a modest record at Redcar while jockey Cieren Fallon fares better with a 20% strike rate at the course from 69 rides. He is stepping up in class.
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7Moira Express46/100
Moira Express is a modest performer who has shown some placed form at this trip without winning. Dropping back from 6f today asks a fresh question while the yard’s poor 2% strike-rate from 54 runs at Redcar is a clear negative. Recent form has been ordinary and the small overall sample makes going preferences hard to pin down.
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8Dragon Spin44/100
Dragon Spin is a modest performer who has won twice at this trip but is 0-13 since his last success and has been below form on his last three starts. He has shown some ability on this track when third here on his only visit and acts well on good ground with two wins from five attempts. Both trainer and jockey have modest records at Redcar.
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9Tees Aggregates40/100
Tees Aggregates is a modest performer who has won four times at this trip but has been out of form for most of this year. Only placed once from 12 starts on good ground and showed little spark when third of nine over course and distance on his sole visit here. Trainer’s modest 4% strike rate at Redcar adds little encouragement.
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10Wrestling Revenue34/100
Wrestling Revenue is a limited performer who has struggled for most of this year and arrives on the back of a string of modest efforts. He has won at this trip but only once in 25 attempts and showed little when ninth on his sole visit to Redcar. Trainer operates at an 8% strike rate here from 157 runs while the horse has just one win from 12 starts on good ground. He is stepping up in class.
KTB verdict
North West Gal is the KTB selection. She brings the best Fit rating in a race full of modest, largely exposed performers and has the right blend of course experience, placed form on her penultimate start and a yard that operate at a solid 16% strike rate at Redcar. Her held-up style should suit the steadily-run, tactical nature of the race. Main dangers are Sergeant Mayer, who has won two of three starts at the track and arrives in good form, and Castan, who has shown one decent effort here and benefits from the trainer’s solid record at the venue. Emperor’s Son and Hanney Girl are next in the KTB order and cannot be entirely ruled out on their best days.
KTB Selection North West Gal
This is the narrative read of the 3:37 Redcar. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Redcar racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Redcar results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Redcar racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest course record at Redcar?
Sergeant Mayer has won two of his three starts at the track.
How many of the principals are held-up runners?
All five principals are held-up runners who usually produce their effort late.
Which horse is dropping back in trip from 6f?
Moira Express is dropping back from 6f today.
Who has the best jockey strike rate at Redcar among the principals?
Roisin Leech has a 100% strike rate at Redcar from one ride with an A/E of 12.
Which horse is stepping up in class from a lower grade?
Houndhill, Sergeant Mayer and Wrestling Revenue are all stepping up in class.
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