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Trainer profile

Steph Hollinshead

547 runners in the last 5 seasons · 72 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago 97% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
44–547
Wins / Runs
8%
Strike rate
n=547
127 (23%)
Placed
1.06
n=545 · 0.93 incl. margin
−255.73
£1 level stake
n=547 at SP · −46.8%
£573k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.06).

Deterministic profile computed from 547 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May Dougie Costello: 9.2% from 196
The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=40, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −75.50 to a £1 stake over 109 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Dougie Costello rides 36% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.2%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 56 runners, 8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.67 across 70 runners (2.9% strike, −55.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Angel Shared (GB) — 7 wins from 30 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.7%−4.3
n=109 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −75.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.0
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.0
n=40 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −40.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5%−3.0
n=20 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −8.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
30.4%
n=23 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −1.56
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.5%−5.5
n=40 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −35.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.0
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 31.1% vs 8% · n=45
With Clifford Lee 17% vs 8% · n=47
Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 8% · n=56
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 0% vs 8% · n=46
With debutants 0% vs 8% · n=40
Off a 61-180-day break 2.9% vs 8% · n=70
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 528 44 8.3% −236.73
Hurdle 16 0 0% −16.00
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 166 16 9.6% −57.38
Good to Firm 129 12 9.3% −50.80
Standard (AW) 122 7 5.7% −79.30
Good to Soft 63 2 3.2% −46.00
Soft 52 6 11.5% −12.25
Heavy 13 1 7.7% −8.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 59 2 3.4% −48.80
Doncaster 51 3 5.9% −20.50
Leicester 50 3 6% −33.13
Southwell (AW) 49 2 4.1% −34.50
Bath 36 3 8.3% −26.88
Redcar 33 3 9.1% +3.00
Haydock 33 4 12.1% −5.50
Newmarket 27 7 25.9% +16.50
Nottingham 26 1 3.8% −19.50
Carlisle 23 5 21.7% +8.00
Beverley 18 0 0% −18.00
Chester 18 1 5.6% −11.50
Newcastle (AW) 13 3 23.1% +5.00
Newmarket 12 2 16.7% +0.83
York 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 200 15 7.5% −105.18
Class 6 181 13 7.2% −85.88
Class 4 107 7 6.5% −53.75
Class 2 24 2 8.3% −13.50
Class 3 20 7 35% +17.58
Class 1 15 0 0% −15.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 35 10 28.6% 1.24 −0.31
2nd–3rd fav 89 18 20.2% 1.23 +4.58
4th–6th fav 150 12 8% 1.05 −53.00
7th+ in betting 273 4 1.5% 0.55 −207.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Royal Musketeer (GB)from Charles Hills 35 3 10 2 Jan 26
Albeseeingyer (GB) 31 6 10 6 Oct 26
Angel Shared (GB) 30 7 10 18 Sep 26
Pepsi Cat (IRE) 30 7 17 3 May 25
Malham Tarn Cove (GB) 26 1 7 30 Oct 25
Myal (GB) 23 7 12 3 Oct 26
Alchemystique (IRE)from Joseph Tuite 17 0 6 27 Apr 24
Alseeyerthere (GB) 16 1 5 17 Aug 24
Dragon Spin (GB) 15 2 6 16 Oct 26
Albeyours (GB) 14 2 4 21 Sep 26
Al Simmo (GB) 14 3 7 19 Jul 24
Harry Mole (GB) 12 0 5 15 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 72 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Declan Carroll (2) and Kevin Ryan (2); 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 55 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 12
Only 12 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
15041111831376021
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDougie Costello
36% of all rides
9.2% SR · A/E 1.06
RiderRWSR£1
Dougie Costello 196 18 9.2% −88.35
Clifford Lee 47 8 17% +4.75
David Allan 45 5 11.1% −6.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
82
Archived wins
£863k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 11 wins
Myal (GB) — Ladbrokes Handicap Chester · May 2025 · Class 2
£25,770
Myal (GB) — Try Unibet's New Same Race Multis Handicap Haydock · Apr 2025 · Class 2
£23,193
Pepsi Cat (IRE) — Sky Bet Request A Bet Handicap Newmarket · May 2024 · Class 3
£15,462

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Al Kazeem (GB) 18.3% · 21–115
Progeny have won 10.8% of 1,262 runs since 2008 (88 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.2% from 127. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7% from 415.
Tamayuz (GB) 18.4% · 7–38
Progeny have won 10.4% of 5,180 runs since 2008 (401 horses).
Acclamation (GB) 8.6% · 3–35
Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.
Harry Angel (IRE) 23.3% · 7–30
Progeny have won 12.7% of 2,747 runs since 2008 (261 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.5% from 331.
Heeraat (IRE) 3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 8% of 2,994 runs since 2008 (194 horses).
Inns Of Court (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,217 runs since 2008 (230 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,338 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,338 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 December 2013 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Oct 26 Leicester Corduroy (GB)J: Dougie Costello racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 12th 125/1
09 Oct 26 Newmarket Albemagic (GB)J: P. J. McDonald HKJC World Pool Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 11th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Steph Hollinshead's strike rate?
Steph Hollinshead has won 44 of 547 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Steph Hollinshead do best at?
Haydock by strike rate: 4 wins from 33 runners (12.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Steph Hollinshead?
Dougie Costello, with 196 runners since 2022 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (9.2%).
Is Steph Hollinshead in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Steph Hollinshead's Fair A/E?
1.06, from 545 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).