3:47 Bath
This Class 5 nursery handicap over a mile at Bath features a field of 13 two-year-olds on good ground. The KTB Fit ratings point to a competitive but modest contest overall, with Give Hand heading the figures on 61 and the next four principals closely grouped between 58 and 54. Several runners are dropping in class while a number tackle the trip for the first time, and the strong pace anticipated should play into the hands of those who come from off the pace.
How the race shapes up
With two or more habitual front-runners present the pace shape is strongly positive and looks likely to be run at a searching gallop. Scrappetalene, Kiah, Desert Symphony, Artemis Star and Absolute Diamond all tend to go forward or race prominently, which could set the race up for those held up towards the rear. The key question is whether the leaders will pay for their exertions in the closing stages on this stiff mile, potentially allowing hold-up performers to come through late.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Give Hand KTB Selection61/100
Give Hand has shown fair form in three runs so far, finishing third on each occasion including when stepped up to 7f last time. He now tackles 1m for the first time which asks a fresh question of him. The yard has a strong 29% strike rate at Bath while Lewis Edmunds brings an 11% record at the track. From his draw in stall 5 and with a run-style that sees him usually held up and producing his effort late, he is well placed to benefit if the strong pace collapses. Dropping in class from an OR of 75, he holds solid claims as the selection.
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2Scrappetalene58/100
Scrappetalene has shown consistent modest form in three starts, finishing placed over this trip on one of her two attempts at the distance. The yard holds a strong 25% strike rate at Bath from 28 runs, though Saffie Osborne is operating at a below-par 9% here from 100 rides. With only three career runs behind her the filly remains lightly raced and not fully exposed. Her front-running style means she will be prominent early in what is expected to be a strong gallop, which could leave her vulnerable late on. Dropping in class from an OR of 74, she is one of the main dangers if she can dictate matters.
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3Kiah55/100
Kiah is a modest performer who has shown some ability on her better days, finishing second and third in maidens earlier this season before two lesser efforts. She steps up to 1m for the first time today having looked stretched at 7f last time, which asks a fresh question of her. The yard has a solid 17% strike rate at Bath from a big sample while Kieran Shoemark is 12% from 154 rides here. As a front-runner she is sure to be towards the front end in a race with a strong pace likely, which may prove demanding. From her OR of 74 and with no experience of good ground she carries risks.
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4Quest For Glory55/100
Quest For Glory is a modest performer who has shown consistent placed form in three starts at maiden level. Drawn wide in stall 11 and now drops into a handicap for the first time while trying the same trip again after one previous run without success. Trainer records a modest 8% strike rate at Bath from 13 runs while the jockey has a solid 14% strike rate from a small sample of seven rides here. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, he will be in the thick of the strong pace anticipated. Unproven on good ground, his overall profile makes him vulnerable in this company.
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5Agitator54/100
Agitator is a modest performer with a recent string of placed efforts including a third here over this trip last time. Has shown enough at the distance to suggest he can be competitive again but his overall form lacks real depth. Trainer has only a tiny sample at Bath while the jockey's modest 6% strike rate here adds little encouragement. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is the type to benefit if the front-runners go too hard in a strongly-run race. From an OR of 73 and with two runs on good ground without placing, he remains in the mix without being the strongest contender.
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6Desert Symphony52/100
Desert Symphony is a modest performer on the balance of four runs with form figures of 8927. Steps up to 1m for the first time today which asks a fresh question. Trainer holds a solid 16% strike rate at Bath while the jockey's 9% record is more modest. A front-runner, he will be prominent early in what looks a strongly-run contest.
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7Nascent Star51/100
Nascent Star is a modest performer on the balance of his seven runs with a string of placed efforts but no win. Steps up to 1m for the first time today which asks a fresh question of him. Trainer has a solid 20% strike rate at Bath while the jockey's 11% record here is about as expected. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, he should get a suitable pace to run at.
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8High Calibre49/100
High Calibre is a modest performer who has shown a bit of ability on his better days, finishing second in two of his last three starts including over this trip. Drops back from 1m0½f today which looks a sensible move given he has already placed once at a mile. Trainer and jockey both have solid 15% strike rates at Bath from decent-sized samples. His held-up run-style should see him come from off the pace in a strongly-run race.
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9Artemis Star49/100
Artemis Star is a modest performer who has shown some consistency in four starts, finishing placed on two occasions including a solid third over 7f last time. Steps up to 1m for the first time today which asks a fresh question, though the yard has a modest 8% strike rate here from 39 runs. Tom Marquand improves matters with an 18% strike rate from 249 rides at Bath. As a front-runner she will be on the pace in what is set to be a strong gallop.
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10Absolute Diamond45/100
Absolute Diamond is a modest performer who has shown mixed form across eight runs, including a win and a second but also some lesser efforts. First time at Bath and unproven on good ground, though the trip has been tried once without success. Trainer operates at a 9% strike rate here while the jockey has no recorded rides at the track. A front-runner, he will be towards the front end early.
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11Sweet Katarina45/100
Sweet Katarina has shown modest form in three starts to date and is dropping back to 1m having failed to land a blow at either that trip or the slightly longer 1m0½f. The yard's modest record at Bath is another negative while the wide draw in stall 13 adds to the difficulties. This looks like a stiff task for a horse yet to prove herself. Her held-up run-style is based on limited evidence.
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12Kaito44/100
Kaito is a modest performer who has shown little progress across four runs and was well held in a similar race last time. Stall two might help him get a decent early position but the trip has already proven beyond him once. Trainer has a solid 22% strike rate at Bath yet the jockey is operating below par with a 10% record from 39 rides here. Usually held up with limited evidence, he steps up in class.
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13Magical Life35/100
Magical Life is a limited performer who has already been tried over this trip and ground. Has a win to her name at a mile but her six runs this season show a clear downward trend and she has been well held both starts at Bath. The yard's modest record here and the apprentice's complete lack of success at the track add further negatives. Usually held up with high confidence, she has course form of sixth and tenth.
KTB verdict
Give Hand is the KTB Selection. He has shown fair form with three placed efforts from as many starts and is dropping in class while the yard's strong record at Bath adds to his appeal. His held-up style is ideally suited to the strong pace that is expected, which could see the race fall apart late in his favour. The main dangers are the front-running Scrappetalene, who remains lightly raced, and Kiah, though both must prove they can handle a searching gallop over this trip. High Calibre and Agitator are others who could capitalise on a strong pace from off the speed.
KTB Selection Give Hand
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:07 UTC, 19 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Give Hand | 7/2 | Bet365 |
| Scrappetalene | 13/2 | William Hill |
| Kiah | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Quest For Glory | 11/1 | William Hill |
| Agitator | 15/2 | Bet365 |
| Desert Symphony | 28/1 | William Hill |
| Nascent Star | 9/1 | Bet365 |
| High Calibre | 8/1 | Bet365 |
| Artemis Star | 11/2 | William Hill |
| Absolute Diamond | 22/1 | Bet365 |
| Sweet Katarina | 22/1 | William Hill |
| Kaito | 8/1 | BoyleSports |
| Magical Life | 28/1 | William Hill |
This is the narrative read of the 3:47 Bath. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Bath racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Bath results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Bath racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which runners are likely to set the strong pace?
Scrappetalene, Kiah, Desert Symphony, Artemis Star and Absolute Diamond all tend to make the running or race prominently.
Why is the race expected to favour hold-up horses?
The pace shape is strong with two or more habitual front-runners, meaning the pace could collapse late and favour those held up towards the rear.
Which horse is stepping up to 1m for the first time?
Give Hand, Scrappetalene, Kiah, Desert Symphony, Nascent Star and Artemis Star are all tackling the trip for the first time.
Who has the strongest trainer record at Bath among the principals?
Harry Charlton has a 29% strike rate at Bath with an A/E of 1.54 from 14 runs.
Which jockey has the best strike rate at the track in the field?
Tom Marquand has an 18% strike rate at Bath with an A/E of 1.06 from 249 rides.
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