6:45 Wolverhampton (AW)
This Class 6 handicap over 6f20y at Wolverhampton on standard going brings together a field of 13, several of whom arrive in modest recent form yet hold handicapping chances on their best efforts. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with Two And Two heading the list on 58, followed closely by Savannah Smiles, A Lott of Kane, My Mate Kev and Dance Fantasy. With a strong pace confidently expected, the shape of the race is likely to place emphasis on those who can be produced late off a strong gallop.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with at least two habitual front-runners present and several more who like to race prominently or on the pace. Candy Warhol and Imagine That are both inclined to lead, while A Lott of Kane and Macarone should be up there as well, ensuring an honest gallop that has the potential to collapse in the final furlong. This sets up a race that could be won from off the pace, with hold-up performers likely to be favoured as the leaders tire.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Two And Two KTB Selection58/100
Two And Two tops the KTB Fit ratings on 58 and is the selection. A 3-year-old with an official rating of 60, he is held up and usually produces his effort late with high confidence in that run-style. The Simon Hodgson yard has an 8% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 1.01 from 97 runs, while Marco Ghiani has a 13% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.79 from 484 rides. He has shown ability on standard ground with 1 win from 2 starts and 1 placed effort, though he has no previous course form. His recent form reads 504057 and he is drawn in stall 1, a position that could be ideal given the expected strong pace.
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2Savannah Smiles54/100
Savannah Smiles is rated 54 on KTB Fit and has been a regular performer at this level. The 6-year-old carries an official rating of 59 and is another who is usually held up, producing her effort late with high confidence. The Grace Harris stable has a 5% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 0.82 from 271 runs, but the booking of Ashley Lewis is a plus as he has a 17% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.18 from 46 rides. She has recorded 2 wins from 14 starts on standard ground with 4 placed efforts and has won here once from 8 starts. Her recent form is 269546 and she is drawn in stall 4.
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3A Lott of Kane53/100
A Lott of Kane comes in with a KTB Fit of 53 and boasts some of the strongest course form in the race. The 3-year-old is rated 59 officially and tends to make the running or race on the pace with medium confidence in that style. Chelsea Banham has a 10% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 0.86 from 249 runs, while Joey Haynes has a 7% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.8 from 849 rides. He has performed well on standard ground with 4 wins from 11 starts and 5 placed efforts, and has won here 3 times from 5 starts. Recent form reads 451141 and he is drawn widest in stall 13.
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4My Mate Kev50/100
My Mate Kev is rated exactly 50 on KTB Fit. A 4-year-old with an official rating of 55, he usually races prominently, on or close to the lead with medium confidence. Chris Dwyer has a 13% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 1.06 from 609 runs, and Harry Davies has a 13% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.85 from 225 rides. He has 1 win from 6 starts on standard ground with 2 placed efforts, though his sole previous run here resulted in a fourth-place finish without winning or placing. His recent form is 672774 and he is drawn in stall 8.
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5Dance Fantasy50/100
Dance Fantasy is also rated 50 on KTB Fit and represents a powerful yard-jockey combination. The 3-year-old is rated 60 officially and is usually held up, producing her effort late with medium confidence. The Simon & Ed Crisford stable has a 21% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 0.85 from 243 runs, while Oisin Murphy has a 23% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.94 from 643 rides. She has had 4 runs on standard ground without winning or placing, and her only previous start here saw her finish third without winning or placing. Recent form reads -83455 and she is drawn in stall 9.
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6Macarone48/100
Macarone is rated 48 on KTB Fit. A 5-year-old with an official rating of 56, he usually races prominently with medium confidence. The Grace Harris yard has a 5% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 0.82 from 271 runs, though Ben Ffrench Davis has a 0% strike rate at the track from 26 rides. He has 3 wins from 12 starts on standard ground with 4 placed efforts and has won here twice from 8 starts. Recent form is 525111 and he is drawn in stall 10.
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7Candy Warhol46/100
Candy Warhol has a KTB Fit of 46. The 7-year-old is rated 53 officially and tends to make the running or race on the pace with high confidence. Scott Dixon has a 7% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 0.79 from 1109 runs, while Tyler Heard has a 6% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.8 from 283 rides. He has 3 wins from 34 starts on standard ground with 12 placed efforts and has won here 3 times from 25 starts. Recent form reads 233526 and he is drawn in stall 12.
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8Em Jay Kay46/100
Em Jay Kay is rated 46 on KTB Fit and is dropping in class. A 7-year-old with an official rating of 51, he is usually held up with high confidence. Phil McEntee has an 8% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 0.82 from 888 runs, and Grace McEntee has an 8% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.9 from 298 rides. He has 3 wins from 35 starts on standard ground with 11 placed efforts and has won here once from 14 starts. Recent form is 080443 and he is drawn in stall 5.
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9Thanks Dad45/100
Thanks Dad has a KTB Fit of 45 and is dropping in class. The 6-year-old is rated 55 officially and is usually held up with high confidence. Scott Dixon has a 7% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 0.79 from 1109 runs, and Cam Hardie has a 7% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.83 from 1280 rides. He has 2 wins from 20 starts on standard ground with 7 placed efforts and has been placed once from 4 starts here without winning. Recent form is 086185 and he is drawn in stall 11.
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10Imagine That44/100
Imagine That is rated 44 on KTB Fit. A 3-year-old with an official rating of 52, he tends to make the running or race on the pace with medium confidence. Henry Candy has a 13% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 0.96 from 151 runs, while Nicola Currie has an 8% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.8 from 376 rides. He has had 1 run on standard ground without winning or placing and has no course form on record. Recent form reads 554555 and he is drawn in stall 6.
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11The Feminine Urge40/100
The Feminine Urge has a KTB Fit of 40 and is dropping in class. The 4-year-old is rated 54 officially and is usually held up with high confidence. Grace Harris has a 5% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 0.82 from 271 runs, and Seamus Cronin has a 7% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.58 from 28 rides. She has had 2 runs on standard ground without winning or placing and has been unplaced from 2 starts here. Recent form is 326520 and she is drawn in stall 3.
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12Ten Cuidado37/100
Ten Cuidado is rated 37 on KTB Fit. A 3-year-old with an official rating of 47, he is usually held up with medium confidence. Mark Usher has an 8% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 0.84 from 1208 runs, and Gina Mangan has an 8% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1 from 325 rides. He has had 5 runs on standard ground without winning or placing and has been unplaced from 3 starts here. Recent form is -06309 and he is drawn in stall 7.
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13Beautiful Rumour33/100
Beautiful Rumour has the lowest KTB Fit on 33 and is dropping in class. The 4-year-old is rated 45 officially and has recent form of 945. Scott Dixon has a 7% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 0.79 from 1109 runs, and James Sullivan has a 7% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.83 from 1078 rides. She has had 3 runs on standard ground without winning or placing and finished fifth on her only start here. She is drawn in stall 2.
KTB verdict
Two And Two is the KTB Selection. He tops the Fit ratings, is drawn low in a race where the strong pace is expected to collapse late, and his hold-up style looks perfectly suited to the shape. The yard and jockey both have solid enough records at Wolverhampton, and his ability on standard ground adds to the appeal. Main dangers are likely to come from Savannah Smiles, who also likes to come from off the pace and has course-winning form, and A Lott of Kane, whose prolific course record and front-running style could see him hold on if the pace does not overdo it.
KTB Selection Two And Two
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 19 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Two And Two | 11/1 | Midnite |
| Savannah Smiles | 9/1 | Bet365 |
| A Lott of Kane | 7/2 | BoyleSports |
| My Mate Kev | 13/2 | Bet365 |
| Dance Fantasy | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Macarone | 9/2 | William Hill |
| Candy Warhol | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Em Jay Kay | 9/1 | William Hill |
| Thanks Dad | 28/1 | William Hill |
| Imagine That | 9/1 | Bet365 |
| The Feminine Urge | 28/1 | Bet365 |
| Ten Cuidado | 40/1 | Bet365 |
| Beautiful Rumour | 40/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 6:45 Wolverhampton (AW). For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Wolverhampton (AW) racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Wolverhampton (AW) results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Wolverhampton (AW) racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horses are likely to set the strong pace?
Candy Warhol and Imagine That tend to make the running, while A Lott of Kane and Macarone are also inclined to race on or close to the lead.
Why does the pace shape favour hold-up horses?
A strong pace with two or more habitual front-runners is likely and could collapse late, which would favour hold-up horses.
How many course wins does A Lott of Kane have at Wolverhampton?
A Lott of Kane has won here 3 times from 5 starts.
Which jockey has the strongest strike rate at Wolverhampton in this field?
Oisin Murphy has a 23% strike rate at Wolverhampton.
Which trainer has the highest strike rate at Wolverhampton among those with runners here?
Simon & Ed Crisford have a 21% strike rate at Wolverhampton.
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