7:15 Wolverhampton (AW)
This Class 5 handicap at Wolverhampton over 1m1f104y on standard going brings together an even field of 11 where the KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top. The principals are separated by just seven points on the KTB scale, with Celtic Chariot heading the ratings on 62. Recent form is mixed across the board and most runners arrive with something to prove, yet several hold solid course records on this surface.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks an obvious leader and points to a steadily-run, tactical contest in which being handy should pay. With the majority of the field, including all five principals, preferring to be held up or race in mid-division, the early fractions are likely to be modest. The key question will be whether those positioned closest to the pace can quicken off it or whether the race will fall into the lap of a strong closer delivered at the right moment from off the rail.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Celtic Chariot KTB Selection62/100
Celtic Chariot tops the KTB Fit ratings on 62 and is the selection. A three-year-old with an official rating of 68, he has shown useful ability on his day, recording two wins earlier in the campaign before mixing modest efforts. The Kevin and Lauren Frost yard posts a 15% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 1.52, while Jack Mitchell's 17% strike rate here and the stable's combined 5/18 record with an A/E of 1.75 and healthy LSP of +£16.50 underline positive trainer and jockey reads. Held up with high confidence, he usually produces his effort late, which could suit the anticipated tactical pace. He has had two runs on standard going without placing and two previous runs here that yielded sixth places, yet the KTB assessment keeps him at the head of proceedings.
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2Little Miss India60/100
Little Miss India is rated just behind on a KTB Fit of 60. A five-year-old mare rated 67, her recent form reads 185047 and she possesses proven ability at this level. James Owen's operation shows a 19% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 1.04 from 274 runs, and the trainer-jockey combination stands at 8/33 with an A/E of 1.13. Ashley Lewis claims 3lb and has a 17% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.18. She has three wins from 11 starts on standard going with seven places and has won twice from six runs here, making both the going and course reads strongly positive. Usually held up with high confidence, she is expected to come from off the pace in a race that may not be run to suit front-runners.
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3Albertini Star58/100
Albertini Star carries a KTB Fit of 58. This three-year-old is rated 68 and arrives in decent nick with recent form figures of 0-2331, including a win last time out. Alan King's record at Wolverhampton is 14% with an A/E of 0.9, while Oisin Murphy boasts a 23% strike rate here with an A/E of 0.94 and the pair combine at 6/30 with an A/E of 1.00. He has been placed once from two starts on standard going without winning and finished third on his sole previous visit to this track. Usually held up with high confidence, his late run could be well suited to a steadily-run affair where the ability to quicken off a modest gallop will be important.
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4No Knee Never56/100
No Knee Never is next on 56. Rated 67, the five-year-old has recent form of 066615 and showed he retains ability when successful on his penultimate start. From the James Owen stable he benefits from a 19% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 1.04, though the specific trainer-jockey partnership with Clifford Lee reads 0/6. He boasts five wins from 21 starts on standard going with nine places and has won three times from six runs over this course, giving him strong course and going credentials. Usually held up with high confidence, he will be delivered late and looks the type to capitalise if the race develops into a sprint off the final bend.
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5Moonjid55/100
Moonjid completes the principals on a KTB Fit of 55. Rated 70, the four-year-old has recent form figures of 175483 and has shown he is competitive at this level. The Michael Appleby yard has an 11% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 0.83, while Oisin Orr holds a 16% strike rate here with an A/E of 1.1 and the pair combine at 3/20 with an A/E of 0.85. He has been placed once from three starts on standard going and finished third on his only previous run at this venue. Typically settling in midfield with medium confidence, he should be well positioned to pick up the pieces if the leaders go hard early, though the steadily-run nature may not play to his strengths.
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6Sea The Light52/100
Sea The Light has a KTB Fit of 52. Rated 69, his recent form of 66-707 suggests he is struggling to recapture best form. The John Butler yard and Robert Havlin partnership reads 0/11 with an A/E of 0.00. He has one win from three starts on standard and finished seventh on his only previous run here.
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7The Anthony Gover50/100
The Anthony Gover is rated 50 on KTB Fit. A three-year-old with an OR of 67, recent form of 632113 includes two course wins. The Dr Richard Newland stable has a 17% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 1.03, though the jockey Cian Horgan is on 8%. He has two wins from six starts on standard with three places and has won twice from five runs here.
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8Reveur49/100
Reveur has a KTB Fit of 49. Rated 70, his recent form reads 104706. The David O'Meara yard posts an 11% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 0.82, while Mark Winn is on 9%. He has had three runs on standard without placing and finished sixth on his only previous visit here.
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9Renesmee48/100
Renesmee sits on 48. A six-year-old rated 68 with form of 065820, she has three wins from 19 starts on standard with six places and has won once from eight runs here. The Michael Keady yard has a modest 3% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 0.29.
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10Blue Mantle47/100
Blue Mantle is rated 47 on KTB Fit. The three-year-old with an OR of 64 has recent form of -25064 and is stepping up in class. He has been placed once from two starts on standard but has no course form on record. The Charlie Johnston yard shows a 12% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 0.79.
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11Man of Desert40/100
Man of Desert is the lowest-rated on KTB Fit with 40. Rated 59, his recent form is 427767 and he is stepping up in class while wearing first-time headgear. He has had three runs on standard without placing and has no course form. The Chris Dwyer stable has a 13% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 1.06.
KTB verdict
Celtic Chariot is the KTB Selection and tops the Fit ratings in a race where the principals are closely matched. His late-run style should be well suited to the steadily-run affair that is anticipated, and the Frost stable's record at the venue adds further encouragement. The main dangers are likely to come from Little Miss India, who boasts a strong course record and proven ability on standard ground, and Albertini Star, who brings progressive recent form and the services of Oisin Murphy. No Knee Never and Moonjid cannot be ruled out either in a contest that could easily fall to a well-timed challenge from off the pace.
KTB Selection Celtic Chariot
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 19 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Celtic Chariot | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Little Miss India | 25/1 | Bet365 |
| Albertini Star | 5/2 | BetTom |
| No Knee Never | 10/1 | Bet365 |
| Moonjid | 8/1 | Coral |
| Sea The Light | 16/1 | Bet365 |
| The Anthony Gover | 7/2 | Bet365 |
| Reveur | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Renesmee | 15/2 | Coral |
| Blue Mantle | 7/1 | William Hill |
| Man of Desert | 20/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 7:15 Wolverhampton (AW). For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Wolverhampton (AW) racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Wolverhampton (AW) results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Wolverhampton (AW) racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Why does the pace shape favour being handy?
The race lacks a leader and is expected to be steadily run, meaning horses that can race prominently or in mid-division should have an advantage over deep closers.
Which horse has the strongest course record at Wolverhampton?
No Knee Never has won three times from six runs here, while Little Miss India and The Anthony Gover have each won twice at the track.
How many of the principals are usually held up?
Four of the five principals – Celtic Chariot, Little Miss India, Albertini Star and No Knee Never – are usually held up with high confidence.
What is the trainer-jockey record for the selection's connections?
Kevin and Lauren Frost combined with Jack Mitchell are 5/18 with an A/E of 1.75 and LSP of +£16.50.
Which runner is wearing first-time headgear?
Man of Desert is the only horse declared with first-time headgear.
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