3:37 Carlisle
This Class 5 handicap hurdle at Carlisle over 2m3f218y brings together a field of 13 where the KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top end. The principals are headed by Drop Kick on 61, just ahead of Royal Rhythm on 60, with Vanilla Dancer, Knockeranna Rose and Is She Now completing the main players between 57 and 52. Several runners remain unproven on the ground while others bring placed course form or recent wins into the equation, and the overall standard of form is typical for the grade.
How the race shapes up
A strong pace is anticipated with high confidence, driven by at least two habitual front-runners in Royal Rhythm and Vanilla Dancer. Knockeranna Rose is likely to race prominently alongside them while several others settle in mid-division or are held up. This shape raises the strong possibility of the pace collapsing late, which would hand the advantage to those racing off the pace and producing their effort from off it.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Drop Kick KTB Selection61/100
Drop Kick is the KTB selection. He is a useful performer who has won once from three starts at Carlisle and has also won at today's trip. His recent form figures of 23238- reflect consistent placed efforts mixed with the occasional lesser run. The trainer operates at a 10% strike rate at Carlisle from 137 runs while the jockey is on 9% from 181 rides here, both in line with their records elsewhere. He remains unproven on the ground but his course success and consistency at the trip make him the one to beat.
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2Royal Rhythm60/100
Royal Rhythm is a useful performer who arrives in solid form after two wins and a close fourth from his last four starts. He has won both at this track and at today's trip while dropping in class. The yard posts an 18% strike rate at Carlisle from 40 runs which matches their record elsewhere and the jockey's 24% strike rate from 96 rides here is above average. He remains unproven on this ground which adds a question mark yet his prominent run-style as a front-runner will be ideally suited to the expected strong pace.
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3Vanilla Dancer57/100
Vanilla Dancer is a useful performer who has shown consistent form without winning lately and finished fourth on his only previous run here at Carlisle. He has placed at today's trip on five of twelve starts and holds an official rating of 95. The trainer's 6% strike rate at Carlisle from 280 runs is in line with his record elsewhere while the jockey's 18% strike rate at the track from 222 rides is also in line with his overall figure. He remains unproven on this ground and his front-running style will see him right up there in a race with a strong pace.
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4Knockeranna Rose55/100
Knockeranna Rose is a fair performer who has shown consistent placed form at Carlisle, finishing in the first four on all three visits including a second last time. She has placed three times at today's trip without winning and arrives in reasonable nick on recent form of 32-402. Both trainer and jockey hold in-line strike rates at the track. She remains unproven on this ground yet her prominent run-style should see her track the pace in a race that could fall apart late.
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5Is She Now52/100
Is She Now is a useful performer on her day but arrives out of form having finished well down the field on her latest start. She has placed once from a single run at Carlisle and was competitive when placed on her only attempt on this sort of ground. The step up in trip is a fresh question while the trainer and jockey both operate at a 6-7% strike rate here that sits in line with their records elsewhere. Her held-up run-style could prove well suited if the strong pace collapses as expected.
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6Getaway Master51/100
Getaway Master is a fair performer who won over this trip earlier in his career but has been well held in both starts this season. He has won once from two runs at Carlisle, drops back in trip from his latest 3m run and remains unproven on the current going while his held-up style could be favoured if the pace collapses.
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7Micks Jet51/100
Micks Jet is a useful performer who has won twice over this trip from eight attempts. He was pulled up here on his only previous visit to Carlisle and showed little on his return from a break last time. Trainer and jockey are both in line with their overall strike rates at the track while he remains unproven on the ground and his held-up run-style may suit the shape.
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8Jack Dempsey51/100
Jack Dempsey is a fair performer on his official rating of 84 but arrives in poor form having failed to complete or finish in the first four on his last four starts. The yard holds a 13% strike rate at Carlisle from 55 runs in line with their record elsewhere while the jockey is on 5% from 38 rides here. He is unproven on the ground, steps up in trip and makes his first appearance at the course with a held-up style.
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9Order Another One51/100
Order Another One is a fair performer who showed useful form when winning on hurdling debut last season before struggling in stronger company. He has only four career runs in total so remains relatively unexposed though he was well held on his latest start and has failed to place in his one attempt at this trip. Half-sister to Away To Milan (1 win from 15 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner. He remains unproven on the ground and his held-up style could be an asset.
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10Joto50/100
Joto is a modest performer who has shown a bit of ability on his one visit to Carlisle when finishing third. He has placed once at today's trip from four attempts but remains unproven on this ground and comes into the race on the back of a string of modest efforts. Trainer and jockey both have too few runs here to draw any firm conclusions while his prominent run-style will see him race handily.
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11Dusky Days49/100
Dusky Days is a fair handicapper whose recent form has been modest with a string of unplaced efforts. The yard has a 10% strike rate at Carlisle in line with their record elsewhere while the jockey is still seeking a first course winner from 12 rides. Dropping back in trip for the first time poses a fresh question and the horse remains unproven on this ground with a prominent run-style.
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12Fourofakind48/100
Fourofakind is a useful performer on his day with a solid career record and has won three times at today's trip. He has shown only modest form on his two previous runs at Carlisle and is unproven on this ground. The yard's 4% strike rate here is in line with their record elsewhere while the jockey's 10% strike rate at the track is also in line with his overall figure and he typically settles in mid-division.
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13Brave Move41/100
Brave Move is a fair handicapper who arrives in modest form after a pulled-up effort last time. He drops back from 3m to a trip he has tried three times without success and is unproven on the ground. The trainer holds a 12% strike rate at Carlisle from 263 runs in line with their record elsewhere while the jockey is 1-23 here and his held-up style may suit if the pace collapses.
KTB verdict
Drop Kick is the KTB selection. He brings solid course form with a win from three starts at Carlisle plus a previous success at today's trip and his recent placed efforts underline his consistency. The combination of his mid-division run-style and the forecast strong pace that could collapse late looks ideal. Royal Rhythm and Vanilla Dancer head the dangers as front-runners who will set the shape while Knockeranna Rose and Is She Now are also capable of figuring if things fall their way.
KTB Selection Drop Kick
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:27 UTC, 22 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Drop Kick | 9/2 | Bet365 |
| Royal Rhythm | 15/2 | Bet365 |
| Vanilla Dancer | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Knockeranna Rose | 15/2 | William Hill |
| Is She Now | 11/2 | 7Bet |
| Getaway Master | 13/2 | Bet Victor |
| Micks Jet | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Jack Dempsey | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Order Another One | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Joto | 9/1 | William Hill |
| Dusky Days | 20/1 | Bet365 |
| Fourofakind | 10/1 | Bet365 |
| Brave Move | 22/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 3:37 Carlisle. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Carlisle racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Carlisle results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Carlisle racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is unproven on the ground yet has the strongest recent form among the principals?
Royal Rhythm is unproven on this ground yet arrives in solid form after two wins and a close fourth from his last four starts.
How many front-runners are expected to ensure a strong pace?
Two or more habitual front-runners are present with the pace shape assessed as strong with high confidence.
Which runner has placed on every visit to Carlisle?
Knockeranna Rose has finished in the first four on all three visits to Carlisle including a second last time.
Who has won over this trip on the most occasions in the field?
Fourofakind has won three times at today's trip.
Which horse's dam has produced multiple winners according to the family line?
Order Another One is half-sister to Away To Milan (1 win from 15 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.
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