Skip to content
Trainer profile

John Dawson

50 runners in the last 5 seasons · 18 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
from 1 Jan 2022
6–50
Wins / Runs
12%
Strike rate
n=50
11 (22%)
Placed
1.42
Fair A/E
n=50 · 1.20 incl. margin
−11.00
£1 level stake
n=50 at SP · −22.0%
£44,155
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
11.4%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.3%−3.7
n=12 · A/E 1.61 · £1 −1.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−12.0
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−12.0
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−12.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
100%
n=2 · A/E 3.34 · £1 +4.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−12.0
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
33.3%+21.3
n=3 · A/E 11.88 · £1 +10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 26 1 3.8% −21.00
NH Flat 14 4 28.6% +9.00
Flat 9 0 0% −9.00
Chase 1 1 100% +10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 24 3 12.5% −5.75
Good to Soft 10 0 0% −10.00
Soft 10 2 20% −2.25
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 2 1 50% +11.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle 6 0 0% −6.00
Wetherby 4 1 25% −0.25
Sedgefield 3 0 0% −3.00
Market Rasen 3 2 66.7% +10.25
Carlisle 3 1 33.3% +1.00
Kelso 3 0 0% −3.00
Uttoxeter 3 0 0% −3.00
Worcester 2 0 0% −2.00
Aintree 2 0 0% −2.00
Hexham 2 0 0% −2.00
Musselburgh 2 0 0% −2.00
Doncaster 2 0 0% −2.00
Newcastle (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Cheltenham 2 0 0% −2.00
Catterick 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 22 4 18.2% −1.00
Class 4 14 1 7.1% −9.00
Class 6 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 1 3 1 33.3% +10.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 2 66.7% 2.40 +3.00
2nd–3rd fav 11 2 18.2% 1.14 −2.00
4th–6th fav 15 2 13.3% 1.76 +9.00
7th+ in betting 21 0 0% 0.00 −21.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81.5% completed · 27 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 1 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Hurdle 26 80.8% 0 3 2 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Joto (GB)from Paul Collins 8 0 2 14 Sep 26
Shinealight (IRE) 7 0 1 13 Jun 26
Caledonian Dream (IRE)from Alan Brown 5 0 0 19 Oct 26
Cap Ricochet (GB)from Paul Collins 5 2 2 17 Oct 26
Whin Cover (GB)from Paul Collins 3 0 1 17 Oct 26
The Shanachie (IRE) 3 0 0 4 Apr 26
A Likeable Rogue (IRE) 3 2 2 7 Feb 26
Sievier (GB)from Jack Channon 2 0 0 24 Aug 26
Kingofthefrontier (GB) 2 1 1 2 Jun 26
Don't Tell Dougie (GB) 2 0 0 2 Apr 26
Capricciose (IRE)then Dan Skelton 2 1 2 14 Dec 25
Stretch (GB)from Paul Collins 2 0 0 24 Nov 25
All 18 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 18 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul Collins (4); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 15 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0250005000022050
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Brian Hughes 11 5 45.5% +23.00
Conor O'Farrell 5 1 20% +0.00
Charlie Maggs 5 0 0% −5.00
Alice Stevens 4 0 0% −4.00
Benjamin Macey 3 0 0% −3.00
William Pyle 3 0 0% −3.00
Danny McMenamin 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr John Dawson 2 0 0% −2.00
Jamie Hamilton 2 0 0% −2.00
Jonny Peate 2 0 0% −2.00
Paul O'Brien 1 0 0% −1.00
William Maggs 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
6
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£45,884
Prize money
2026
Best season · 4 wins
A Likeable Rogue (IRE) — William Hill Racing Bet Builder Beacons (Standard Open NH Flat Race) (Listed) (GBB Race) Newbury · Feb 2026 · Listed
£14,238
Kingofthefrontier (GB) — Summer Fun At Southwell Racecourse 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Southwell · Jun 2026 · Class 4
£5,446
Cap Ricochet (GB) — Pertemps Network Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase Market Rasen · Oct 2026 · Class 5
£3,697
Notable horses
Cap Ricochet (GB) A Likeable Rogue (IRE) Kingofthefrontier (GB) Capricciose (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dragon Dancer (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.8% of 566 runs since 2008 (80 horses).
Capri (IRE) 42.9% · 3–7
Progeny have won 10.8% of 120 runs since 2008 (33 horses).
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,815 runs since 2008 (679 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Without Parole (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.1% of 671 runs since 2008 (87 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 19.4% from 139. Weakest on Good going: 6.7% from 165.
Sixties Icon (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10% of 5,665 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.4% from 1,331.
Frontiersman (GB) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 15.7% of 363 runs since 2008 (66 horses). Strongest on Good going: 18.9% from 148.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 55 · newest first

The latest 50 of 55 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 May 2017 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Caledonian Dream (IRE)J: William Pyle bettingsites.co.uk Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 20/1
17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Cap Ricochet (GB)J: Brian Hughes Pertemps Network Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good · 5 ran 1st 5/4F
17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Whin Cover (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell Pertemps Network Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 11/1
08 Oct 26 Market Rasen Cap Ricochet (GB)J: Brian Hughes Malton Marquees Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good · 6 ran 1st 10/1
02 Oct 26 Hexham Whin Cover (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell David Clarke Memorial 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 10/1
22 Sep 26 Beverley Caledonian Dream (IRE)J: William Pyle Churchill Tyres Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 12 ran 5th 17/2
14 Sep 26 Sedgefield Joto (GB)J: Danny McMenamin Paxtons No1 Caseih Dealer Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 5th 20/1
14 Sep 26 Thirsk Caledonian Dream (IRE)J: William Pyle Constant Security Services Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good · 12 ran 6th 40/1
24 Aug 26 Musselburgh Sievier (GB)J: Connor Beasley Watch On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 13th 125/1
24 Aug 26 Musselburgh Caledonian Dream (IRE)J: Andrew Mullen Watch On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 10th 66/1
23 Aug 26 Worcester Joto (GB)J: Brian Hughes Neu-Servo Supports Larsen's Pride Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 13 ran 10th 9/1
23 Aug 26 Worcester Whin Cover (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell Neu-Servo Neigh Bad Repairs Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 5th 40/1
25 Jul 26 Newcastle (AW) Sievier (GB)J: Jonny Peate John And Ross Greenhill Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 9th 125/1
13 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Shinealight (IRE)J: Benjamin Macey Noble Minds Counselling Services Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 9/2
02 Jun 26 Southwell Kingofthefrontier (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell Summer Fun At Southwell Racecourse 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 4/1
30 May 26 Beverley Caledonian Dream (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Platinum Queen Play Live After Racing HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 11th 25/1
25 May 26 Cartmel Shinealight (IRE)J: Benjamin Macey Johnny & Tony Connell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 22f · Good · 11 ran 4th 8/1
23 May 26 Cartmel Howsmenoftomorro (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan Cartmel Sticky Toffee Pudding Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 22f · Good · 10 ran UR 6/1
06 May 26 Kelso Joto (GB)J: Alice Stevens 2000 Sacks Of Carrots Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 21f · Good · 8 ran UR 4/1
02 May 26 Uttoxeter Shinealight (IRE)J: Benjamin Macey Pirtek Stoke Classic Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Dawson's strike rate?
John Dawson has won 6 of 50 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is John Dawson in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is John Dawson's Fair A/E?
1.42, from 50 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).