3:45 Down Royal

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Ballyfad KTB Selection73/100

   Form 11203- · Gordon Elliott · Jack Kennedy

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Ballyfad arrives off a string of placed efforts and showed promise when winning on his only previous run here. The yard's 21% strike rate at Down Royal is above their overall figure and Kennedy's 31% at the track is also above average. He has won both starts on yielding ground and placed at today's trip though his dam's limited family record adds a note of caution. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, he should be well positioned in a muddling tactical affair. The 5-year-old carries strong course and going credentials into this beginners chase and is the KTB Selection.

2. 2Timeless Treaty70/100

   Form 1324-2 · R K Watson · Harry Sexton(7)

   Timeless Treaty has shown fair form in recent starts and won once from two runs at this track. He drops back in trip today having last run over 3m, though his one previous try at this distance brought no success, and he failed to place on his only run on yielding ground. The trainer's 3% strike rate at Down Royal is in line with their record elsewhere while the jockey's 11% strike rate here is also in line with his record at other courses. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead with high confidence, he should be prominent in a race that lacks an obvious front-runner.

3. 3Walks In June67/100

   Form /1610- · Henry de Bromhead · Mike O'Connor

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Walks In June has shown ability with two wins from six starts but finished well beaten on his most recent outing. He drops back in trip today having failed to make an impact at this distance on his only previous attempt. The trainer has a 22% strike rate at Down Royal from 227 runs while the jockey records a 16% strike rate from 38 rides here. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead with high confidence, he should be to the fore in a muddling tactical race. His placed effort on yielding ground offers some encouragement though the family record is limited.

4. 4Sept Etoiles67/100

   Form 41613- · Gordon Elliott · Jordan Gainford

   Family: the dam has had 2 other runners, none of them a winner.

   Sept Etoiles won over this trip on debut and has since shown mixed form over longer distances, including a win here from two starts at Down Royal. The drop back in trip looks a positive given the 1 from 1 record at this distance, while the going also suits with one win from three runs on similar ground. Gordon Elliott has a 21% strike rate at the track from 947 runs, above his 15% elsewhere, and Jordan Gainford posts a 13% strike rate here from 60 rides. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will look to come from off the pace in a race that should suit those ridden handy.

5. 5Polepatrick65/100

   Form /31-23 · Dermot A McLoughlin · Keith Donoghue

   Family: half-brother to Angelo Dundee (1 win from 7 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Polepatrick has shown some ability with placed efforts on his last two starts and was second over course and distance on his penultimate run. He steps back up in trip today having failed to trouble the judge when tried at this range previously. The trainer holds a 12% strike rate at Down Royal from 171 runs which is above his overall figure while the jockey records a 10% strike rate here from 185 rides in line with his wider record. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, he should be well placed in a muddling tactical contest though he remains unproven on yielding ground.

6. 6Zanndabad63/100

   Form /2110- · A. J. Martin · Conor Stone-Walsh

   Zanndabad arrives off the back of a winless 2024 and steps up in trip having last run over 2m1f. He has won at today's distance in the past but remains unproven on yielding ground. The trainer's 8% strike rate at Down Royal is in line with his record elsewhere while the jockey's 9% mark here matches his wider figures. Usually held up, he will look to produce his effort late.

7. 7Kazansky63/100

   Form 112P7- · Gordon Elliott · Sam Ewing

   Family: half-brother to Knockanard Lady (1 win from 10 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Kazansky brings some useful bumper form and has already shown ability over hurdles though the recent P7 finishes suggest he is finding life tougher at the moment. He drops back in trip today having last run over 3m and that is a fresh question. The trainer has a 21% strike rate at Down Royal from 947 runs which is above their rate at other courses while the jockey sits on 14% here from 94 rides in line with his record elsewhere. Usually held up, he will be ridden for a late effort.

8. 8Arcadian Emperor62/100

   Form 4221-2 · W. P. Mullins · Mark Walsh

   Arcadian Emperor brings solid recent form with two seconds and a win from his last four starts and has already won over today's trip. He has shown ability on yielding ground with one win from two starts. The yard's 16% strike rate at Down Royal sits below their overall figure while Walsh matches his usual rate here. Usually racing handily, he should be prominent in this tactical affair.

9. 9Port Authority61/100

   Form 1/14- · Gordon Elliott · Danny Gilligan

   Port Authority is lightly raced with just two runs in the last year and an absence since. The yard has a 21% strike rate at Down Royal from 947 runs, above their 15% at other tracks, while Danny Gilligan posts 19% here from 52 rides, also above his 10% elsewhere. Trip form shows one run at this distance without success and the small sample makes going suitability unknown. Usually racing handily, he should be close to the pace.

10. 10Matin Midi Et Soir61/100

    Form 1/218- · Henry de Bromhead · Darragh O'Keeffe

    Family: half-brother to Jour De Fete I (1 win from 10 runs). The dam has had 4 other runners, 2 of them winners.

    Matin Midi Et Soir arrives off an interrupted campaign that produced two wins and a second from four starts. The yard hold a 22% strike rate at Down Royal from 227 runs, above their 13% elsewhere, while Darragh O'Keeffe has a 12% record here in line with his overall figure. First-time headgear is now fitted as the four-year-old steps up in trip for the first time, a move that remains an open question. Usually racing handily, though with limited evidence.

11. 11Largy Hill59/100

    Form 3211/5 · W. P. Mullins · J. J. Slevin

    Largy Hill arrives with a patchy recent record of 3211/5 and is making his first start at Down Royal. The yard's 16% strike rate here is below their 22% at other tracks while the jockey's 11% is in line with his overall figure. He has placed at today's trip without winning and showed nothing on his only run on yielding ground. Typically settles in midfield.

12. 12Daydream Nation54/100

    Form 130-53 · William Harvey · Ben Harvey

    Daydream Nation has shown fair form with a win at this trip and another on yielding ground from limited attempts. He arrives in decent nick after two placed efforts this year yet remains lightly raced overall. The trainer has yet to score from nine runs at Down Royal while the jockey's 8% strike rate here sits in line with his record elsewhere. Usually racing handily, he should be close to the pace.

13. 13Grey Ace41/100

    Form 6 · R K Watson · Peter Smithers(5)

    Grey Ace has a single run under his belt and showed little when sixth on debut over 2m6f. He drops back in trip today to a distance he has not tried, which asks a fresh question of this lightly raced 5-year-old. The trainer holds a 3% strike rate at Down Royal from 251 runs, in line with his record elsewhere, while the jockey is 8% from 13 rides at the track. Usually racing handily though with limited evidence.

14. 14Maganey40/100

    Form /PF1-1 · Seamus Neville · Philip Donovan

    Family: full brother to Minelladestination (2 wins from 11 runs). The dam has had 4 other runners, 3 of them winners.

    Maganey is a debutant with a solid family background as a full brother to Minelladestination and out of a dam who has produced three winners from four runners. The yard has a 0% strike rate from 15 runs at Down Royal while the jockey is operating at a 4% strike rate here from 26 rides, in line with his record elsewhere. With no racecourse form and low data confidence this is very much an unknown on yielding ground.