4:20 Down Royal

The KTB Fit ranking

1. 1Premier Division KTB Selection65/100

   Form 332- · Gordon Elliott · Mr H C Swan

   Premier Division has shown consistent placed form in three starts over hurdles and now drops back in trip to 2m for the first time. The yard holds a 21% strike rate at Down Royal from 947 runs which is above their 15% at other tracks while jockey Mr H C Swan has a 16% strike rate here from 31 rides in line with his record elsewhere. With only three career runs and low data confidence this remains a lightly raced profile that needs to be treated with caution. He has been placed on both starts on yielding ground without winning, and his prominent run style should see him race handily. The selection comes here with recent form figures of 332- and the trainer and jockey combination carries a solid 18% strike rate together.

2. 2Passenger61/100

   Form /132-3 · D K Weld · Mr Finian Maguire

   Family: half-brother to Rose De Pierre, a Listed winner (4 wins from 8 runs). The dam has had 3 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Passenger showed useful form when placed in two of his three completed starts last season and was not disgraced when third on return at Punchestown. He drops back in trip today having been placed once at this distance without winning. First-time headgear is now fitted and he is a half-brother to Listed winner Rose De Pierre. The dam has had three other runners, one of them a winner. He races prominently with high confidence in that assessment and the trainer and jockey combination shows a strong 29% strike rate together, though he remains unproven on yielding ground.

3. 3Getaway Harry58/100

   Form 3-8 · Yvonne Latta · Mr O McGill(5)

   Getaway Harry has shown very little in one bumper run and now tries a hurdle with first-time headgear. The yard holds a 40% strike rate at Down Royal from five runs. Jockey has a 10% strike rate here from 30 rides, in line with his record elsewhere. He tends to make the running or race on the pace according to the limited evidence available, though that read comes with low confidence. The four-year-old is unproven on yielding ground and arrives with form figures of 3-8.

4. 4Silver Song55/100

   Derek O'Connor · Mr B M Coonan(7)

   Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

   Silver Song is a debutant with no racecourse experience. The dam has produced just one other runner which failed to win, and the yard has no recorded runners at Down Royal. Jockey has only three rides at the track so far, too small a sample to judge. By Nathaniel, whose progeny show a 12% overall win rate. This is very much an unknown quantity in a race where experience could count.

5. 5Nine Toes Tim53/100

   Form 2- · S. R. B. Crawford · Mr S Connor(7)

   Family: half-brother to Crown Of Gold (2 wins from 18 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

   Nine Toes Tim is lightly raced with just one run to go on and the small sample means this assessment must be treated with caution. He showed ability when finishing second on debut so that is a positive to take forward. Trainer has a 7% strike rate at Down Royal from 446 runs in line with his record elsewhere while jockey is 8% from 50 rides here also in line with his figures at other tracks. He usually races held up and produces his effort late according to limited evidence. Half-brother to Crown Of Gold who won twice from eighteen runs, with the dam having produced one other winner from two runners.

6. 6Rokanako51/100

   Form 142252 · Edward F Power · Mr J Dunne(7)

   Rokanako has shown consistent placed form at this trip including two seconds from two starts though he drops back from 2m3f today. Recent form of 142252 confirms he is competitive at this level yet remains lightly raced with only seven career runs. Trainer has only two runs at Down Royal while the jockey records an 8% strike rate here from 13 rides. Settles in midfield with medium confidence and remains unproven on yielding ground.

7. 7Ifuknowuknow51/100

   Form 67-1 · S G Carey · Miss A B O'Connor

   Family: half-brother to Onlyamatteroftime (2 wins from 11 runs). The dam has had 3 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Ifuknowuknow won a point on only his third start last time and now switches to rules racing. He drops back to 2m having been beaten on his sole previous run at the trip. The yard has only four runs at Down Royal so far which is too small a sample to judge while the jockey has a 14% strike rate here from seven rides. Usually held up with medium confidence and showed no win or place from his one run on yielding ground. Half-brother to Onlyamatteroftime who won twice from eleven runs.

8. 8Hilly Filly44/100

   Form 127 · Ross O'Sullivan · Mr A P Ryan(3)

   Family: half-sister to Fascile Mode (4 wins from 27 runs). The dam has had 3 other runners, 3 of them winners.

   Hilly Filly showed useful promise when winning on debut over this trip before finishing second here last time. That placed effort matches the yard's modest 6% strike rate at Down Royal which sits in line with their record elsewhere. The 0% record from 13 rides for the jockey and the very limited overall sample both mean this lightly-raced profile must be treated with real caution. Usually held up with medium confidence and unproven on yielding ground. Half-sister to Fascile Mode who won four times from twenty-seven runs.

9. 9Gaelic Seer43/100

   Form 35 · John E & Thomas Kiely · Mr J L Gleeson

   Family: half-sister to The Glen Rovers (6 wins from 20 runs). The dam has had 2 other runners, 2 of them winners.

   Gaelic Seer has shown minor promise in two starts so far, finishing third then fifth. The yard has only three runs at Down Royal, too small a sample to judge, while jockey Mr J L Gleeson has a 19% strike rate from 16 rides here. Lightly raced with low data confidence, he steps up in trip today as a fresh question and is a half-sister to The Glen Rovers who won six times. Races prominently with medium confidence and remains unproven on yielding ground.

10. 10Sumoscalier41/100

    S Curling · Mr D Doyle(5)

    Family: the dam has had 1 other runner, not a winner.

    Sumoscalier is a debutant with no racecourse form to go on. The dam has produced just one other runner that failed to win, so the pedigree offers little encouragement either. Trainer at Down Royal has a 13% strike rate from 15 runs while the jockey is still seeking a first course success from six rides. By Sumbal, whose progeny show a 4% overall win rate.

11. 11Hoof And Hustle40/100

    Form 0-80 · N Dooly · Miss Ella Herbison(7)

    Family: half-brother to Pectora (1 win from 3 runs). The dam has had 6 other runners, 1 of them a winner.

    Hoof And Hustle has shown little in three starts and arrives here on the back of an 80-length defeat. The drop back to 2m poses a fresh question after his last run over 2m2f where he failed to make the frame at this trip on his only attempt. Trainer N Dooly has a 0% strike rate from six runs at Down Royal while jockey Miss Ella Herbison has no recorded rides at the track. Usually held up with medium confidence and showed no win or place from his one run on yielding ground.