Horse profile
Cerulean Bay (IRE)
by New Bay (GB) out of Kathy Sun (IRE) (Intikhab)
35 runs · 14 courses · from Jun 2023
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
7 wins · 5 courses
Last run 11 Oct 2026 · 8th of 13
Last raced off OR 102
KTB Profile
Cerulean Bay is a gelding who has won seven of 35 starts on turf. He gained two of those wins at Goodwood in Class 2 handicaps over 1m – 1m1f on good and good to soft going, most recently in the Inkerman London Handicap in Oct 2025 off a mark of 100. Five of his wins came over 6f – 7f, including two at Thirsk in 2024. He finished 8 of 13 in the Inkerman London Handicap Stakes at Goodwood in Oct 2026 off an official rating of 102. Typically ridden with patience, he was held up in four of six analysed runs.
Based on 35 archived runs · run-style from 25 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 1 Nov 2026
- 7–35Wins / Runs
- 20%Strike rate
- 14 (40%)Placed
- −3.75£1 level staken=35 at SP
- 1.64Fair A/E n=35 · 1.37 incl. margin
- 106Highest OR
- 36dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating102↓ 4lb off peak
102
85–106
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 109
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 1 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 13 | 105A | 87 | 1 run · — |
| Good to Firm | 12 | 112A | 91 | 6 runs · 109 / 91 |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 120A | 74 | 2 runs · 112 / 90.5 |
| Soft | 4 | 109A | 93 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 1 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 21 | 120A | 97 | 9 runs · 112 / 97 |
| 6f – 7f | 14 | 109A | 85 | 1 run · — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 35 figures from 35 runs · as at 19 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
The forward record. KTB’s figures on this horse since 11 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 11 Oct 2026. Each pick was the figure’s choice before the off, settled against the result the next morning; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races since 5 Oct 2026.
Run style from 25 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Prominent 9 (36%) · 3 wins
- Held up 8 (32%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 7 (28%) · 1 win
- Led 1 (4%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 3,987 runs since Jun 2020 (425 horses).
Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 8 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 587 | 92 | 15.7% | +1.4 | 0 from 12 |
| Good | 995 | 140 | 14.1% | −0.2 | 4 from 13 |
| Good to Soft | 471 | 70 | 14.9% | +0.6 | 2 from 5 |
| Soft | 625 | 81 | 13% | −1.3 | 1 from 4 |
| Heavy | 183 | 27 | 14.8% | +0.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,118 | 161 | 14.4% | +0.1 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 102 | 11 | 10.8% | −3.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,184 | 183 | 15.5% | +1.2 | 5 from 14 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,278 | 165 | 12.9% | −1.4 | 2 from 21 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,093 | 165 | 15.1% | +0.8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 272 | 40 | 14.7% | +0.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 53 | 7 | 13.2% | −1.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jun 2020 · as at 31 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Kathy Sun (IRE) (Intikhab)
9 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Fortamour (IRE) (11 wins).
The wins came over 5f–7f; the highest grade won is Listed (Simmie (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortamour (IRE) | 72 | 11 | 6f–7f | Class 2 |
| Simmie (IRE) | 16 | 3 | 5f–5½f | Listed |
| Ballyconneely Bay (IRE) | 14 | 2 | 6f | Class 4 |
| Trebetherick (IRE) | 12 | 2 | 6f–6½f | — |
| Sunny Harbor (IRE) | 2 | 1 | 6f | Class 5 |
| Soleil Blanc (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Cooldine Cat (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| Simone On Time (IRE) | 9 | 0 | — | — |
| Howtonstreet Harry (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 13 | 4 | 31% | +4.25 |
| Good to Firm | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 2 | 40% | +5.50 |
| Soft | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.50 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 2 | 22 | 3 | 14% | −10.50 |
| Class 4 | 6 | 3 | 50% | +11.00 |
| Class 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 3 | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.25 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haydock | 8 | 1 | 13% | −4.50 |
| Ascot | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| York | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Goodwood | 4 | 2 | 50% | +4.25 |
| Thirsk | 2 | 2 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Pontefract | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Beverley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ayr | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Hamilton | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 21 | 2 | 10% | −12.75 |
| 6f – 7f | 14 | 5 | 36% | +9.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Tudhope | 13 | 3 | 23% | −1.50 |
| David Nolan | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jason Watson | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.50 |
| Daniel Muscutt | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Oisin Murphy | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.25 |
| Cieren Fallon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jamie Melham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Rossa Ryan | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Mirai Iwata | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Doyle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Harry Davies | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Probert | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kevin Stott | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Colin Keane | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean Levey | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richard Kingscote | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ryan Sexton | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| 2025 | 12 | 2 | 17% | −3.75 |
| 2024 | 10 | 3 | 30% | −0.50 |
| 2023 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +10.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 10 runs | ||||||||||
| 11 Oct 26+15d | Goodwood | Inkerman London Handicap Stakes Held up at the back from the start - always off the pace and no threat late on - finished 8th | 8/13 | ¾ | 10-0 | 102 | 112C | 101A | Cieren Fallon | 3/1J |
| 26 Sep 26+37d | Haydock | William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes Settled among the pack early - moved left and made progress with 2f left - unable to quicken inside the final furlong and a half | 5/9 | ¾ | 10-0 | 104 | 97A | 104A | Daniel Tudhope | 4/1 |
| 20 Aug 26+12d | York | Sir Kevin Sinfield 7 In 7 Grand Finale Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Held up towards the back - urged into effort with 2f left - stayed on at one speed inside final furlong to finish well held | 12/14 | 1¼ | 9-9 | 105 | 69C | 94A | Daniel Tudhope | 12/1 |
| 08 Aug 26+8d | Ascot | Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Class 2 Handicap) Slow to break - held up towards the back - dropped away from the pack approaching 2f out - well held at the finish | 9/10 | 2½ | 10-1 | 106 | 60B | 83A | Jamie Melham | 7/1 |
| 31 Jul 26+5d | Goodwood | Coral Golden Mile (Class 2 Heritage Handicap) Settled in the pack - moved left and pressed for effort 2f out - gained ground into the final furlong - closed on leader in the last 110yds to edge clear for second | 2/18 | 1¼ | 9-12 | 105 | 106C | 112A | Daniel Tudhope | 12/1 |
| 26 Jul 26+15d | Pontefract | William Hill Pomfret Stakes (Listed Race) racing midfield - driven over 2f out - improved into third over 1f out - unable to threaten the leading duo and dropped back late on | 4/6 | shd | 9-7 | 105 | 109A | 95B | David Nolan | 15/2 |
| 11 Jul 26+24d | York | John Smith's Racing Handicap Stood up at the start - towards the back - came under the whip over 2f out - battled on without ever getting competitive | 8/13 | 2 | 10-2 | 105 | 70C | 94A | Daniel Tudhope | 3/1J |
| 17 Jun 26+34d | Ascot | Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Moved across to the far rail early - settled towards the back - shifted left approaching final furlong and pushed along - kept on inside to finish fifth | 5/28 | ½ | 9-7 | 105 | 89C | 107A | Daniel Tudhope | 25/1 |
| 14 May 26+19d | York | Oakmere Homes Hambleton Handicap Settled in the pack early - pushed along with two furlongs left and closed on the front group - stayed on well to finish second beaten a short head | 2/18 | nk | 9-6 | 103 | 104C | 115A | Daniel Tudhope | 6/1 |
| 25 Apr 26+178d | Haydock | William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Settled at the back early - urged into contention 2f out - boxed in briefly with a furlong left - found space and closed strongly to finish 4th just short | 4/12 | hd | 9-10 | 103 | 93A | 107A | Daniel Muscutt | 12/1 |
| 2025 · 12 runs | ||||||||||
| 29 Oct 25+11d | Nottingham | PricedUp Robin Hood Stakes (Listed) (Formerly Known As The Ben Marshall Stakes) Sent clear early - driven to keep advantage before being overtaken 2f out - kept battling to the line finishing third | 3/8 | ½ | 9-4 | 103 | 101A | 104A | David Nolan | 10/1 |
| 18 Oct 25+6d | Ascot | Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) (Str) Settled in the pack early - made headway 3f out - pressed for effort but found no extra approaching final furlong - dropped away close home | 13/20 | hd | 9-3 | 95 | 69C | 92A | Daniel Tudhope | 9/1 |
| 12 Oct 25+18d | Goodwood | Inkerman London Handicap Sat close to the front pace - moved up strongly with a furlong left before hitting the front inside the last - kept finding more to score | 1/12 | 10-0 | 100 | 105A | 112A | Oisin Murphy | 9/4F | |
| 24 Sep 25+34d | Goodwood | Heineken Handicap Sat close to the pace - pushed to the front inside the final furlong - kept finding to the line | 1/12 | 9-5 | 95 | 120A | 111A | Rossa Ryan | 4/1C | |
| 21 Aug 25+12d | York | Clipper Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Settled handy on the wide side - pushed along to challenge from 2f out - stayed on to grab second close home | 2/17 | 1 | 9-5 | 93 | 81C | 100A | Oisin Murphy | 20/1 |
| 09 Aug 25+14d | Ascot | Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) (Rnd) Sat close to the front pack early - improved into contention inside final furlong under pressure - nabbed second right on the line - held short of the winner by a neck | 2/10 | ½ | 9-7 | 92 | 98B | 94A | Mirai Iwata | 28/1 |
| 26 Jul 25+21d | Ascot | Moet & Chandon International Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Settled towards back on the near flank - pressed for effort with 2f left - faded quickly - eventually well beaten in 16th | 16/21 | 1 | 9-2 | 95 | 74C | 72A | James Doyle | 25/1 |
| 05 Jul 25+16d | Haydock | Never Ordinary At bet365 Handicap Sat close to the front group early - drifted left and interfered with another runner around 5f out - dropped away inside the final furlong - finished seventh beaten 4.5 lengths | 7/11 | ½ | 9-8 | 95 | 73A | 91A | Harry Davies | 11/2 |
| 19 Jun 25+19d | Ascot | Buckingham Palace Stakes (Handicap) Settled far flank early - sat second for a spell - unable to match rivals over the far rail - lost momentum in the closing furlong - finished 12th | 12/27 | 1¼ | 9-3 | 96 | 82C | 89A | David Probert | 66/1 |
| 31 May 25+16d | Chester | Ladbrokes Handicap Sat close to the front group early - pressed for effort a furlong out - stayed on without quickening to finish 5th beaten 2 1/2 lengths | 5/13 | shd | 9-4 | 97 | 92C | 95A | Kevin Stott | 12/1 |
| 15 May 25+19d | York | Oakmere Homes Hambleton Handicap Held up in the pack throughout - unable to make ground - finished well off the pace in 11th | 11/14 | 1½ | 9-7 | 98 | 65C | 84A | David Nolan | 28/1 |
| 26 Apr 25+224d | Haydock | Try Unibet's New Same Race Multis Handicap Sat just off the front group on the rail - asked for effort over 2f out but found nothing approaching the final furlong - dropped away in the closing stages | 7/10 | 4¼ | 9-3 | 99 | 85A | 86A | Daniel Muscutt | 17/2 |
| 2024 · 10 runs | ||||||||||
| 14 Sep 24+15d | Leopardstown | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Sovereign Path Handicap (Premier Handicap) Held up towards the back - improved into contention approaching 2f out and pushed along with a furlong left in 6th - unable to find more late and finished seventh | 7/17 | 1 | 9-10 | 100 | 99C | 101A | Colin Keane | 7/2F |
| 30 Aug 24+27d | Thirsk | Best Price Guaranteed Daily At Vickers.Bet Handicap Settled in the pack towards the wide side - crept through to challenge going into the last two furlongs - hit the front approaching the final furlong then opened up - kept going strongly to the line | 1/9 | 9-9 | 96 | 94A | 102A | Daniel Tudhope | 9/4F | |
| 03 Aug 24+14d | Thirsk | William Hill Offers Proper Prices Handicap Sat close to the leading duo - asked for effort with 2f left before going clear inside the last furlong - stayed strong under pressure to win | 1/8 | 9-13 | 92 | 84B | 94A | Daniel Tudhope | 7/4F | |
| 20 Jul 24+8d | Haydock | Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Handicap | 1/5 | 9-11 | 87 | 85C | 99B | Jason Watson | 5/2F | |
| 12 Jul 24+14d | Ascot | Long Harbour Derek Lucie-Smith Handicap (Rnd) | 2/9 | ¾ | 9-6 | 85 | 74B | 98A | Sean Levey | 7/1 |
| 28 Jun 24+20d | Yarmouth | Join Moulton Racing Syndicate Handicap | 5/9 | 1 | 9-11 | 87 | 112A | 93A | Jason Watson | 6/1 |
| 08 Jun 24+14d | Haydock | Betfred 'Bet Builder' Sankey Handicap (Div 1) | 4/9 | nk | 9-11 | 87 | 87A | 94A | Daniel Tudhope | 7/2F |
| 25 May 24+14d | Haydock | Betfred Silver Bowl Handicap (Heritage Handicap) | 8/12 | nk | 8-11 | 87 | 68A | 81A | Richard Kingscote | 9/2C |
| 11 May 24+16d | Haydock | Pertemps Network Handicap | 3/9 | hd | 9-9 | 85 | 102C | 100A | Daniel Tudhope | 4/1 |
| 25 Apr 24+236d | Beverley | Alan McGuinness And Robin Lunness Memorial Handicap | 4/7 | ¾ | 9-9 | 86 | 109A | 92A | Daniel Tudhope | 11/2 |
| 2023 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 02 Sep 23+54d | Sandown | Virgin Bet Solario Stakes (Group 3) | 6/6 | 8 | 9-3 | 87 | 47A | 64B | Jason Watson | 25/1 |
| 10 Jul 23+19d | Ayr | EBF Stallions Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 1/6 | 9-11 | — | 68B | 91B | Daniel Tudhope | 9/2 | |
| 21 Jun 23 | Hamilton | Hamilton Park EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 1/9 | 9-1 | — | 104A | 78A | Ryan Sexton | 7/1 | |
Quick answers
- How many races has Cerulean Bay won?
- Cerulean Bay (IRE) won 7 of 35 archived starts between 2023 and 2026, a strike rate of 20%. Placed 14 times in total (40% of starts).
- Who trains Cerulean Bay?
- Cerulean Bay (IRE) is trained by David O'Meara, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 11 October 2026.
- Who is Cerulean Bay's sire?
- Cerulean Bay (IRE) is by New Bay (GB) out of Kathy Sun (IRE), whose sire is Intikhab.
- What going does Cerulean Bay prefer?
- Cerulean Bay (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Cerulean Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 102, from the run on 11 October 2026. The highest on record is 106.
- What is Cerulean Bay's sire's record?
- New Bay (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 3,987 runs since Jun 2020 (425 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
- Who are Cerulean Bay's siblings?
- Out of Kathy Sun (IRE), Cerulean Bay (IRE) has 9 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Fortamour (IRE) (11). Highest grade won: Listed (Simmie (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–7f. As at Nov 2026.