Horse profile
Excellent Believe (GB)
15 runs · 12 courses · from Mar 2025
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
3 wins · Haydock, Newcastle (AW) & Nottingham
Beaten favourite LTO
Last run 1 Nov 2026 · 7th of 9
Last raced off OR 100
KTB Profile
Excellent Believe (GB) is 3 from 15. Hasn't won since Aug 2025. Last raced off 100, 8lb below the career-high mark.
Based on 15 archived runs · run-style from 14 commented runs since Mar 2025 · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance
OR ↓ 8lb off peak
- 3–15Wins / Runs
- 20%Strike rate
- 8 (53.3%)Placed
- −3.72£1 level staken=15 at SP
- 0.96Fair A/E n=15 · 0.80 incl. margin
- 108Highest OR
- 28dBetween runs (median)longest 181 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating100↓ 8lb off peak
100
95–108
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 111
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 6 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 7 | 117B | 96 | 3 runs · 111 / 102 |
| Soft | 2 | 77A | 72.5 | 2 runs · 77 / 72.5 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 73C | 68 | 2 runs · 73 / 68 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 100A | 99.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 6 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 7 | 102C | 89 | 3 runs · 102 / 77 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 7 | 117B | 96 | 5 runs · 111 / 73 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 14 figures from 14 runs · as at 6 Nov 2026 · 1 recent figure provisional (may move for 7 days) · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 14 analysed runs since Mar 2025
- Held up 5 (36%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 5 (36%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 2 (14%) · 1 win
- Led 2 (14%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,625 runs since Apr 2019 (298 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 1 | 20% | +8.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 342 | 43 | 12.6% | +1.5 | 0 from 2 |
| Good | 873 | 99 | 11.3% | +0.2 | 2 from 7 |
| Good to Soft | 438 | 56 | 12.8% | +1.7 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 705 | 73 | 10.4% | −0.7 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 276 | 25 | 9.1% | −2 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 986 | 105 | 10.6% | −0.5 | 1 from 2 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 81 | 7 | 8.6% | −2.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 848 | 95 | 11.2% | +0.1 | 2 from 7 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,053 | 108 | 10.3% | −0.8 | 1 from 8 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 793 | 94 | 11.9% | +0.8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 545 | 73 | 13.4% | +2.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 232 | 22 | 9.5% | −1.6 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 63 | 2 | 3.2% | −7.9 | — |
| Over 3m | 10 | 1 | 10% | −1.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2019 · as at 6 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
2 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Soul Love (GB) (5 wins).
The wins came over 6f; the highest grade won is Group 3 (Soul Love (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soul Love (GB) | 9 | 5 | 6f | Group 3 |
| Lady Rosalind (GB) | 5 | 1 | 6f | Class 5 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 7 | 2 | 29% | +2.75 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.47 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +3.28 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curragh (IRE) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ascot | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Haydock | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.00 |
| Leopardstown (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Craon (FR) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.53 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 8 | 1 | 13% | −4.25 |
| 6f – 7f | 7 | 2 | 29% | +0.53 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Marquand | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
| Colin Keane | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jack Kearney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Oisin Murphy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Doyle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Toby Moore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cieren Fallon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ioritz Mendizabal | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Edward Greatrex | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| William Buick | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.53 |
| Neil Callan | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| David Probert | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2025 | 7 | 3 | 43% | +4.28 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 01 Nov 26+15d | Curragh (IRE) | Ryans Cleaning Race held up at back throughout - nudged by another runner 2f out while under urging - soon outpaced and left behind to finish 7th | 7/9 | 3¾ | 9-6 | 100 | 68A | 82A | Jack Kearney | 6/4F |
| 17 Oct 26+21d | Ascot | Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Against the far rail group - prominent early - gentle urging over 2f out - went to front of that group over 1f out - kept going inside final furlong - finished 10th | 10/20 | ¾ | 9-1 | 99 | 64C | 100A | Colin Keane | 9/1 |
| 26 Sep 26+14d | Curragh (IRE) | Izuzu Ireland Handicap Settled towards the back - moving smoothly and made progress into contention with a furlong left - stayed on to the finish but bumped in third late on - unable to get to the front two | 3/10 | 1¼ | 10-0 | 99 | 77A | 107A | Colin Keane | 2/1F |
| 12 Sep 26+70d | Leopardstown (IRE) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Sovereign Path Handicap Held up towards back - roused with a furlong to run and made progress into the pack - finished strongly close home to take 7th | 7/17 | ½ | 9-12 | 99 | 102C | 107A | Oisin Murphy | 15/2 |
| 04 Jul 26+17d | Sandown | Coral Challenge (Handicap) Settled in the pack - pressed for effort with 2f left - dropped away inside final furlong - eventually finished 13th | 13/14 | 4½ | 9-5 | 103 | 73C | 76A | James Doyle | 14/1 |
| 17 Jun 26+38d | Ascot | Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Held position on the far flank early - close enough to the front group - pushed along with 2f left before dropping away steadily | 27/28 | hd | 9-1 | 106 | 63C | 67C | Toby Moore | 33/1 |
| 10 May 26+43d | Leopardstown | Porsche In Support Of Breast Cancer Ireland Amethyst Stakes (Listed) Settled towards rear - 5th at halfway - nudged forward entering the straight - hampered 1f out when 6th - moved into 4th - unable to land a blow and plugged on at one speed to finish 3rd | 3/8 | 1½ | 9-9 | 108 | 111A | 98A | Tom Marquand | 11/4F |
| 28 Mar 26+181d | Doncaster | William Hill Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed) (Str) Sat behind the front pack - pushed along to move into second 2f out before being headed inside the final furlong - held on without finding more late | 3/5 | 3¾ | 9-2 | 108 | 109C | 99B | Cieren Fallon | 9/2 |
| 2025 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 28 Sep 25+22d | Craon (FR) | Prix Haras de Beaumont () (3yo+) (Turf) | 2/9 | 2 | 8-13 | — | — | — | Ioritz Mendizabal | 6/5F |
| 06 Sep 25+28d | Haydock | Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Superior Mile Stakes (Group 3) Tracked pace-setter wide - pressed for advantage 2f out - eased back by winner in final furlong but stayed on strongly to finish 2nd | 2/9 | 2 | 9-0 | 99 | 96A | 100A | Tom Marquand | 12/1 |
| 09 Aug 25+28d | Haydock | Betfred 'Supports Jack Berry House' Handicap Settled in the pack early - made ground 2f out and asked for effort - edged to front and stayed on inside final furlong - held rivals to the line | 1/9 | 9-10 | 95 | 77A | 96A | Tom Marquand | 5/1 | |
| 12 Jul 25+15d | Chester | Raymond & Kathleen Corbett Memorial City Plate Stakes (Listed) Sluggish start - settled around midfield then pushed along from 2f out to keep on for 6th | 6/8 | 1 | 8-13 | 95 | 89B | 88A | Edward Greatrex | 9/2 |
| 27 Jun 25+49d | Newcastle (AW) | JenningsBet In Shiremoor Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) Tracked leading trio from mid-pack - moved ahead of that bunch approaching 2f out - hit the front with 2f left then eased away inside final furlong - kept finding more to win | 1/11 | 9-11 | — | 100A | 102A | William Buick | 8/15F | |
| 09 May 25+53d | Nottingham | Oddschecker Free Bets Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Set off in front from the off - opened a big advantage after the halfway point - pushed along inside the final furlong - powered home unopposed | 1/12 | 9-7 | — | 117B | 104A | Neil Callan | 11/4 | |
| 17 Mar 25 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) Settled just behind the pace - moved right approaching the home turn then drifted left - kept on inside the final furlong - nabbed second right at the line | 2/7 | 1½ | 9-1 | — | 99A | 80A | David Probert | 5/4F |
Quick answers
- How many races has Excellent Believe won?
- Excellent Believe (GB) won 3 of 15 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 20%. Placed 8 times in total (53.3% of starts).
- Who trains Excellent Believe?
- Excellent Believe (GB) is trained by Stephen Thorne, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 1 November 2026.
- Who is Excellent Believe's sire?
- Excellent Believe (GB) is by Make Believe (GB) out of Lambeth Walk (GB), whose sire is Charm Spirit.
- What going does Excellent Believe prefer?
- Excellent Believe (GB) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 7 starts (28.6%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Excellent Believe's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 100, from the run on 1 November 2026. The highest on record is 108.
- What is Excellent Believe's sire's record?
- Make Believe (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,625 runs since Apr 2019 (298 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Excellent Believe's siblings?
- Out of Lambeth Walk (GB), Excellent Believe (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Soul Love (GB) (5). Highest grade won: Group 3 (Soul Love (GB)). The wins came over 6f. As at Nov 2026.