What is Toby Moore's strike rate?

Toby Moore has won 17 of 164 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Is Toby Moore in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 8 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Toby Moore's Fair A/E?

0.80, from 163 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Toby Moore

164 rides in the last 5 seasons · 132 individual horses

As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)

from 1 Jan 2022

17–164

Wins / Runs

10.4%

Strike rate

n=164

45 (27%)

Placed

0.80

Fair A/E

n=163 · 0.68 incl. margin

−89.77

£1 level stake

n=164 at SP · −54.7%

£269k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.80).

Deterministic profile computed from 164 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026

The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.8% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.52). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 9.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −83.02 to a £1 stake over 132 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The rider also reads well in Class 4 (16.7%, n=42) and over 1m – 1m1f (13.5%, n=37). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 0% over 33 rides, 10.4pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.1%−1.3

n=132 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −83.02

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.3%+3.9

n=28 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −17.25

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.1%−3.3

n=14 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −11.12

When favourite

30.8%

n=26 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −4.27

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

10.1%−0.3

n=158 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −89.77

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.8%−7.6

n=36 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −33.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 2 0% vs 10.4% · n=33

In Class 4 16.7% vs 10.4% · n=42

In Class 5 4.3% vs 10.4% · n=46

Off a 15-30-day break 13.2% vs 10.4% · n=68

Over 1m – 1m1f 13.5% vs 10.4% · n=37

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 7.5% vs 10.4% · n=40

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 54 7 13% −24.37

Good to Firm 40 4 10% −25.12

Good 30 3 10% −16.38

Soft 17 1 5.9% −14.90

Good to Soft 13 1 7.7% −10.00

Heavy 10 1 10% +1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 23 4 17.4% −11.87

Doncaster 18 1 5.6% −14.25

Lingfield (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00

Ascot 11 0 0% −11.00

Newmarket 8 1 12.5% −6.38

Goodwood 8 0 0% −8.00

Newmarket (July) 8 2 25% −0.62

Chester 7 0 0% −7.00

Southwell (AW) 7 2 28.6% +6.50

Haydock 7 2 28.6% +6.10

Wolverhampton (AW) 7 1 14.3% −2.00

Sandown 7 1 14.3% −1.00

Yarmouth 6 0 0% −6.00

York 4 2 50% +2.75

Ffos Las 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 46 2 4.3% −30.50

Class 4 42 7 16.7% −9.88

Class 2 33 0 0% −33.00

Class 6 25 4 16% −10.25

Class 3 15 4 26.7% −3.14

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 26 8 30.8% 1.02 −4.27

2nd–3rd fav 39 6 15.4% 0.86 −13.00

4th–6th fav 49 2 4.1% 0.45 −33.50

7th+ in betting 50 1 2% 0.55 −39.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Havana Smile (GB) 5 0 2 20 Oct 26

Platinum Prince (GB) 4 0 1 22 Oct 26

Happier (IRE) 4 1 2 21 Oct 26

City Queen (IRE) 4 2 4 27 Jun 26

Oj Lifestyle (IRE) 3 0 1 10 Sep 26

Yaa Min (GB) 2 1 1 16 Oct 26

Into The Light (GB) 2 0 0 9 Oct 26

Fifty Nifty (IRE) 2 0 1 19 Sep 26

Tycoon (GB) 2 0 1 16 Sep 26

Military Code (GB) 2 0 0 13 Sep 26

Tony Montana (GB) 2 0 1 12 Sep 26

Gentle Warrior (IRE) 2 0 1 4 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 132 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 8

Only 8 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

·001410136121785·

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

Charlie Appleby 25 8 32% +1.23

Gary & Josh Moore 24 0 0% −24.00

Kevin Philippart De Foy 8 0 0% −8.00

Ian Williams 7 2 28.6% +1.00

Ed Dunlop 7 0 0% −7.00

Martin Keighley 5 1 20% −2.00

Hugo Palmer 4 0 0% −4.00

Kevin Ryan 4 0 0% −4.00

Dylan Cunha 3 0 0% −3.00

Richard Spencer 3 0 0% −3.00

David Menuisier 3 0 0% −3.00

K R Burke 3 1 33.3% +0.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→

Archived wins

£269k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 14 wins

Green Sky (IRE) — William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race) York · Jul 2026 · Class 4

£12,885

Inspired (IRE) — Coopers Marquees Apprentice Handicap Stakes York · Sep 2026 · Class 4

£12,885

Man Of Vision (GB) — William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes Newmarket (July) · Aug 2026 · Class 3

£10,308

Notable horses

City Queen (IRE) Happier (IRE) Clansman (GB) Valdorcia (IRE) Yaa Min (GB) Sceptic (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dubawi (IRE) 50% · 5–10

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,943 runs since 2008 (1,524 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Havana Grey (GB) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,547 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.2% from 411.

Kingman (GB) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,478 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 960. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.

Profitable (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,422 runs since 2008 (357 horses).

Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,887 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Gleneagles (IRE) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,552 runs since 2008 (444 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.2% from 279.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 164 · newest first

The latest 50 of 164 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 October 2025 to 22 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Platinum Prince (GB)T: Jamie Moore & Josh Moore CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 4/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Mo Of Cairo (GB)T: Kevin Ryan CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 5/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Happier (IRE)T: Martin Keighley Try Unibet's Improved Acca Boosts Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 4th 10/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Rambuso Creek (IRE)T: Michael Herrington Brandford Restaurants & Bar Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 7/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Havana Smile (GB)T: Gary & Josh Moore Join Moulton Racing Syndicate Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 15/2

17 Oct 26 Ascot Persica (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 14th 22/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Yaa Min (GB)T: Hayley Burton Get Daily Tips At racingtv.com Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 14f · Heavy · 5 ran 5th 6/5F

15 Oct 26 Brighton Platinum Prince (GB)T: Gary & Josh Moore bet365 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 4th 13/2

10 Oct 26 Newmarket Manxman (IRE)T: Simon & Ed Crisford Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 18f · Good · 29 ran 17th 25/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Into The Light (GB)T: Charlie Appleby Bet365 Old Rowley Cup Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 12f · Good · 10 ran 7th 22/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Timely Affair (GB)T: William Knight Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 2nd 5/1

05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Iconic Dawn (GB)T: Hughie Morrison White Swan Fish & Seafood Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 3rd 5/1

03 Oct 26 Ascot Two Tribes (GB)T: Richard Spencer Betmgm Challenge Cup (Class 2 Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 16th 22/1

02 Oct 26 Ascot Northcliff (IRE)T: Jane Chapple-Hyam BetMGM Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 8th 14/1

27 Sep 26 Epsom Havana Smile (GB)T: Gary & Josh Moore Betfred 'Follow Us On X' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 15/2

26 Sep 26 Haydock Yaa Min (GB)T: Hayley Burton William Hill Daily Winnings Boost Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Heavy · 9 ran 1st 10/1

26 Sep 26 Haydock Royal Acclamation (GB)T: Charlie Appleby J&P Civil Engineering British EBF Maiden Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 6 ran 2nd 2/1F

25 Sep 26 Haydock Kotari (FR)T: Gary & Josh Moore Turf Services Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 11/2

25 Sep 26 Haydock Jassas (GB)T: Charlie Appleby Ashlar Construction Ebf Novice Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only)Class 3 · 7f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 11/10F

25 Sep 26 Haydock Noble Prince (GB)T: Charlie Appleby Everton In The Community Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 2/1F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Toby Moore's strike rate?: Toby Moore has won 17 of 164 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Toby Moore in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 8 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Toby Moore's Fair A/E?: 0.80, from 163 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.