Francisco Bay (GB)
Francisco Bay won two of 28 starts, both at Class 5 level over 1m2f – 1m4f. One success came on good ground at Doncaster in Mar 2021 from an official rating of 70 and the other on Standard (AW) at Kempton in Jun 2020 from a mark of 65. The gelding, who raced on turf and all-weather surfaces, finished 4 of 10 at Carlisle in Aug 2022 when last seen off an official rating of 62.
- 2–28Wins / Runs
- 7.1%Strike rate
- 7 (25%)Placed
- −17.00£1 level staken=28 at SP
- 0.76Fair A/E n=28 · 0.66 incl. margin
- 74Highest OR
- 22dBetween runs (median)longest 337 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 111
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 10 | 96B | 85.5 | — |
| Good | 6 | 107C | 91 | — |
| Soft | 4 | 100A | 89 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 104A | 89.5 | — |
| Heavy | 2 | 97A | 93.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 18 | 107C | 91 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 92A | 74 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 111A | 107.5 | — |
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 3 | 93C | 65 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 93C | 65 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 28 figures from 28 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.2% of 3,450 runs since Apr 2014 (269 horses).
Weakest on heavy going: 3.9% from 103.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 24 | 1 | 4.2% | −5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 672 | 75 | 11.2% | +2 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 641 | 60 | 9.4% | +0.2 | 1 from 6 |
| Good to Soft | 405 | 38 | 9.4% | +0.2 | 0 from 5 |
| Soft | 381 | 25 | 6.6% | −2.6 | 0 from 4 |
| Heavy | 103 | 4 | 3.9% | −5.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,224 | 113 | 9.2% | 0 | 1 from 10 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 434 | 40 | 9.2% | 0 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,513 | 151 | 10% | +0.8 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 778 | 65 | 8.4% | −0.8 | 0 from 5 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 453 | 42 | 9.3% | +0.1 | 2 from 18 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 187 | 14 | 7.5% | −1.7 | 0 from 5 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 69 | 4 | 5.8% | −3.4 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 15 | 0 | 0% | −9.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −9.2 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2014 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
6 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Kalamity Kitty (GB) (4 wins).
The wins came over 1m2f–2m; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Kalamity Kitty (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalamity Kitty (GB) | 17 | 4 | 1m4f–2m | Class 5 |
| Run Of Luck (GB) | 16 | 3 | 1m2f–1m4f | Class 5 |
| Lucky Draw (GB) | 35 | 1 | 1m3½f | Class 5 |
| Private Bryan (GB) | 26 | 1 | 1m3f | Class 6 |
| Lasswade (GB) | 12 | 0 | — | — |
| Breeze Up (GB) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 10 | 1 | 10% | −4.50 |
| Good | 6 | 1 | 17% | −0.50 |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 14 | 2 | 14% | −3.00 |
| Class 4 | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| Class 6 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kempton (AW) | 8 | 1 | 13% | −2.50 |
| Carlisle | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Newbury | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Haydock | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Hamilton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Worcester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Stratford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 18 | 2 | 11% | −7.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Bentley | 5 | 1 | 20% | +0.50 |
| David Bass | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Callum Shepherd | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Laura Coughlan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| P J McDonald | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kieran Shoemark | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Miss Sophie Smith | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Probert | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Trevor Whelan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kieran O'Neill | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Louis Steward | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Callum Hutchinson | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| Tom Marquand | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pat Cosgrave | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Andrew Mullen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Rob Hornby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2021 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −3.50 |
| 2020 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −0.50 |
| 2019 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2018 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat | 25 | 2 | 8% | −14.00 |
| Hurdle | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 01 Aug 22+17d | Carlisle | Thomas Sendall Appreciation Handicap (Professional And Amateur Female Jockeys) | 4/10 | nk | 9-10 | 62 | 98A | 72A | Laura Coughlan | 6/1 |
| 15 Jul 22+36d | Hamilton | Hampton By Hilton Onsite Hotel Handicap | 4/6 | 1 | 9-13 | 62 | 111A | 70B | Laura Coughlan | 6/1 |
| 09 Jun 22+14d | Newbury | OCS Goodliffe Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Div 1) | 6/12 | 2 | 10-9 | 63 | 75A | 69A | Miss Sophie Smith | 7/1 |
| 26 May 22+13d | Carlisle | Thornby Handicap | 3/4 | 1 | 9-8 | 64 | 91C | 71B | P J McDonald | 4/1 |
| 13 May 22+18d | Newbury | Starlight Charity Remembers Christopher Hanbury Handicap | 11/15 | 1¼ | 9-1 | 67 | 107C | 64A | David Probert | 22/1 |
| 25 Apr 22+164d | Southwell (AW) | 29th And 30th May Antiques Fair Handicap | 4/4 | 6½ | 9-8 | 71 | 90C | 54B | Trevor Whelan | 14/1 |
| 2021 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 12 Nov 21+17d | Worcester | Read Kevin Blake On attheraces.com Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 6/10 | 32 | 11-4 | — | 65C | 92C | David Bass | 150/1 |
| 26 Oct 21+22d | Bangor-on-Dee | Halloween Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) | 9/13 | 19 | 10-12 | — | 41C | 97C | David Bass | 66/1 |
| 04 Oct 21+25d | Stratford | Retraining Of Racehorses Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | 5/9 | 10 | 10-12 | — | 93C | 89C | David Bass | 14/1 |
| 09 Sep 21+34d | Epsom Downs | Emplas Express Jump Jockeys Derby Handicap | 10/11 | 6 | 10-12 | 73 | 57C | 52C | David Bass | 14/1 |
| 06 Aug 21+71d | Haydock | Watch On RacingTV Handicap | 10/10 | 54 | 9-2 | 73 | -32C | 54C | Kieran Shoemark | 10/1 |
| 27 May 21+10d | Carlisle | MansionBet Supports British Racing Handicap | 6/8 | 2¾ | 9-0 | 73 | 104A | 64A | Kieran O'Neill | 10/3 |
| 17 May 21+32d | Carlisle | Brisco Handicap | 3/11 | 1¼ | 9-7 | 73 | 83A | 90A | Louis Steward | 9/2 |
| 15 Apr 21+19d | Newcastle (AW) | quinnbet.com Handicap | 6/8 | 2¼ | 9-3 | 74 | 57A | 76A | P J McDonald | 6/1 |
| 27 Mar 21+158d | Doncaster | 32Red.com Apprentice Handicap (Div 2) | 1/14 | 9-7 | 70 | 91C | 90A | Callum Hutchinson | 9/2 | |
| 2020 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 20 Oct 20+13d | Yarmouth | Follow At The Races On Twitter Handicap (Div 2) | 4/11 | ½ | 9-12 | 70 | 97A | 87A | Harry Bentley | 7/1 |
| 07 Oct 20+27d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap | 4/12 | nk | 9-4 | 71 | 92A | 78A | Tom Marquand | 9/2 |
| 10 Sep 20+9d | Haydock | Watch On Racing TV Handicap | 2/6 | 2¼ | 8-5 | 69 | 95A | 70B | Harry Bentley | 11/4F |
| 01 Sep 20+70d | Kempton (AW) | Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap (Div 1) | 2/11 | 1¼ | 9-12 | 69 | 95A | 83A | Harry Bentley | 11/2 |
| 23 Jun 20+12d | Kempton (AW) | Try Our New Runner Boost At Unibet Handicap | 1/13 | 9-4 | 65 | 96B | 85A | Harry Bentley | 9/2 | |
| 11 Jun 20+337d | Newbury | MansionBet's Beaten By A Head Handicap | 6/10 | ½ | 8-10 | 67 | 83B | 67A | Harry Bentley | 6/1 |
| 2019 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 10 Jul 19+26d | Kempton (AW) | 32Red Casino Handicap (Div 1) | 3/9 | ¾ | 9-0 | 68 | 92A | 80A | Pat Cosgrave | 12/1 |
| 14 Jun 19+7d | Sandown | Beck Celebrating 25 Years Of Excellence Handicap | 6/8 | shd | 8-12 | 69 | 100A | 68A | Kieran Shoemark | 10/1 |
| 07 Jun 19+196d | Haydock | Join Racing TV Now Handicap | 2/8 | 5 | 8-5 | 69 | 90A | 77A | Andrew Mullen | 50/1 |
| 2018 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 23 Nov 18+28d | Kempton (AW) | 32Red Casino Nursery | 10/10 | ½ | 9-5 | 73 | 74A | 50A | Callum Shepherd | 25/1 |
| 26 Oct 18+11d | Kempton (AW) | 32Red.com / British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes | 6/11 | 3½ | 9-2 | — | 73A | 63A | Rob Hornby | 33/1 |
| 15 Oct 18+14d | Kempton (AW) | 100% Profit Boost At 32RedSport.com Novice Median Auction Stakes (Div 2) | 5/9 | nk | 9-2 | — | 81A | 71A | Callum Shepherd | 66/1 |
| 01 Oct 18 | Kempton (AW) | 32Red Casino EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10) (Div 1) | 9/9 | 11 | 9-2 | — | 50C | 49C | Callum Shepherd | 50/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Francisco Bay won?
- Francisco Bay (GB) won 2 of 28 archived starts between 2018 and 2022, a strike rate of 7.1%. Placed 7 times in total (25% of starts).
- Who trained Francisco Bay?
- Francisco Bay (GB) was trained by Ed de Giles on the most recent run on record, at Carlisle on 1 August 2022.
- Who is Francisco Bay's sire?
- Francisco Bay (GB) is by Paco Boy (IRE) out of Lucky Breeze (IRE), whose sire is Key Of Luck.
- What going does Francisco Bay prefer?
- Francisco Bay (GB) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 6 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Francisco Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 62, from the run on 1 August 2022. The highest on record is 74.
- What is Francisco Bay's sire's record?
- Paco Boy (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.2% of 3,450 runs since Apr 2014 (269 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 3.9% from 103.
- Who are Francisco Bay's siblings?
- Out of Lucky Breeze (IRE), Francisco Bay (GB) has 6 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Kalamity Kitty (GB) (4). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Kalamity Kitty (GB)). The wins came over 1m2f–2m. As at Nov 2026.