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Horse profile

Francisco Bay (GB)

6yo gelding (at last run, Aug 2022) · Last trainer Ed de Giles · Last owner C C Shand Kydd Partner
by Paco Boy (IRE) out of Lucky Breeze (IRE) (Key Of Luck)
28 runs · 14 courses · from Oct 2018
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 1 Aug 2022 — 1,556 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Aug 2022 · 4th of 10 2 wins · Doncaster & Kempton (AW) Last raced off OR 62
KTB Profile

Francisco Bay won two of 28 starts, both at Class 5 level over 1m2f – 1m4f. One success came on good ground at Doncaster in Mar 2021 from an official rating of 70 and the other on Standard (AW) at Kempton in Jun 2020 from a mark of 65. The gelding, who raced on turf and all-weather surfaces, finished 4 of 10 at Carlisle in Aug 2022 when last seen off an official rating of 62.

Based on 28 archived runs · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance All wins at Class 5 OR ↓ 12lb off peak
Official rating62↓ 12lb off peak
62 62–74

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 111 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Hamilton, 15 Jul 2022

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 25 figures · best 111A · median 91
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)1096B85.5—
Good6107C91—
Soft4100A89—
Good to Soft2104A89.5—
Heavy297A93.5—
Good to Firm1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
1m2f – 1m4f18107C91—
1m – 1m1f592A74—
1m5f – 2m2111A107.5—
Jumps 3 figures · best 93C · median 65
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
Good to Soft393C65—
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
1m5f – 2m393C65—

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 28 figures from 28 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating (flat) 72A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Carlisle, 1 Aug 2022 Official rating 62 at the last flat run, 1 Aug 2022

Best recent KTB Rating (jumps) 97C the best of the last 3 rated runs · Bangor-on-Dee, 26 Oct 2021

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 25 figures · best 90A · median 70
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)1085A73.5—
Good690A69—
Soft490A69—
Good to Soft269A66.5—
Heavy287A82—
Good to Firm1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
1m2f – 1m4f1890A71.5—
1m – 1m1f580A63—
1m5f – 2m270B67—
Jumps 3 figures · best 97C · median 92
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
Good to Soft397C92—
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
1m5f – 2m397C92—

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 28 figures from 28 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 9.2% of 3,450 runs since Apr 2014 (269 horses).

Weakest on heavy going: 3.9% from 103.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm2414.2%−5—
Good to Firm6727511.2%+20 from 1
Good641609.4%+0.21 from 6
Good to Soft405389.4%+0.20 from 5
Soft381256.6%−2.60 from 4
Heavy10343.9%−5.30 from 2
Standard (AW)1,2241139.2%01 from 10
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f434409.2%0—
6f – 7f1,51315110%+0.8—
1m – 1m1f778658.4%−0.80 from 5
1m2f – 1m4f453429.3%+0.12 from 18
1m5f – 2m187147.5%−1.70 from 5
2m1f – 2m4f6945.8%−3.4—
2m5f – 3m1500%−9.2—
Over 3m100%−9.2—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2014 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Lucky Breeze (IRE) (Key Of Luck)

6 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Kalamity Kitty (GB) (4 wins).

The wins came over 1m2f–2m; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Kalamity Kitty (GB)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Kalamity Kitty (GB)1741m4f–2mClass 5
Run Of Luck (GB)1631m2f–1m4fClass 5
Lucky Draw (GB)3511m3½fClass 5
Private Bryan (GB)2611m3fClass 6
Lasswade (GB)120——
Breeze Up (GB)60——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Standard (AW) 10 1 10% −4.50
Good 6 1 17% −0.50
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Soft 4 0 0% −4.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 5 14 2 14% −3.00
Class 4 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Kempton (AW) 8 1 13% −2.50
Carlisle 4 0 0% −4.00
Newbury 3 0 0% −3.00
Haydock 3 0 0% −3.00
Hamilton 1 0 0% −1.00
Southwell (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Worcester 1 0 0% −1.00
Bangor-on-Dee 1 0 0% −1.00
Stratford 1 0 0% −1.00
Epsom Downs 1 0 0% −1.00
Newcastle (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Doncaster 1 1 100% +4.50
Yarmouth 1 0 0% −1.00
Sandown 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f 18 2 11% −7.00
1m5f – 2m 5 0 0% −5.00
1m – 1m1f 5 0 0% −5.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Harry Bentley 5 1 20% +0.50
David Bass 4 0 0% −4.00
Callum Shepherd 3 0 0% −3.00
Laura Coughlan 2 0 0% −2.00
P J McDonald 2 0 0% −2.00
Kieran Shoemark 2 0 0% −2.00
Miss Sophie Smith 1 0 0% −1.00
David Probert 1 0 0% −1.00
Trevor Whelan 1 0 0% −1.00
Kieran O'Neill 1 0 0% −1.00
Louis Steward 1 0 0% −1.00
Callum Hutchinson 1 1 100% +4.50
Tom Marquand 1 0 0% −1.00
Pat Cosgrave 1 0 0% −1.00
Andrew Mullen 1 0 0% −1.00
Rob Hornby 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2022 6 0 0% −6.00
2021 9 1 11% −3.50
2020 6 1 17% −0.50
2019 3 0 0% −3.00
2018 4 0 0% −4.00

TypeRunsWinsSR£1
Flat 25 2 8% −14.00
Hurdle 3 0 0% −3.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2022 · 6 runs
01 Aug 22+17d Carlisle Thomas Sendall Appreciation Handicap (Professional And Amateur Female Jockeys) Class 5 · 1m3f · Good · 10 ran 4/10 nk 9-10 6298A72A Laura Coughlan 6/1
15 Jul 22+36d Hamilton Hampton By Hilton Onsite Hotel Handicap Class 6 · 1m5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4/6 1 9-13 62111A70B Laura Coughlan 6/1
09 Jun 22+14d Newbury OCS Goodliffe Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Div 1) Class 5 · 1m2f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6/12 2 10-9 6375A69A Miss Sophie Smith 7/1
26 May 22+13d Carlisle Thornby Handicap Class 6 · 1m3f · Good · 4 ran 3/4 1 9-8 6491C71B P J McDonald 4/1
13 May 22+18d Newbury Starlight Charity Remembers Christopher Hanbury Handicap Class 5 · 1m4f · Good · 15 ran 11/15 1¼ 9-1 67107C64A David Probert 22/1
25 Apr 22+164d Southwell (AW) 29th And 30th May Antiques Fair Handicap Class 5 · 1m3f · Standard To Slow · 4 ran 4/4 6½ 9-8 7190C54B Trevor Whelan 14/1
2021 · 9 runs
12 Nov 21+17d Worcester Read Kevin Blake On attheraces.com Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 4 · 2m · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6/10 32 11-4 —65C92C David Bass 150/1
26 Oct 21+22d Bangor-on-Dee Halloween Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1) Class 4 · 2m½f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 9/13 19 10-12 —41C97C David Bass 66/1
04 Oct 21+25d Stratford Retraining Of Racehorses Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 4 · 2m½f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5/9 10 10-12 —93C89C David Bass 14/1
09 Sep 21+34d Epsom Downs Emplas Express Jump Jockeys Derby Handicap Class 4 · 1m4f · Good · 11 ran 10/11 6 10-12 7357C52C David Bass 14/1
06 Aug 21+71d Haydock Watch On RacingTV Handicap Class 4 · 1m3½f · Soft · 10 ran 10/10 54 9-2 73-32C54C Kieran Shoemark 10/1
27 May 21+10d Carlisle MansionBet Supports British Racing Handicap Class 4 · 1m6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6/8 2¾ 9-0 73104A64A Kieran O'Neill 10/3
17 May 21+32d Carlisle Brisco Handicap Class 5 · 1m3f · Soft · 11 ran 3/11 1¼ 9-7 7383A90A Louis Steward 9/2
15 Apr 21+19d Newcastle (AW) quinnbet.com Handicap Class 4 · 1m2f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 6/8 2¼ 9-3 7457A76A P J McDonald 6/1
27 Mar 21+158d Doncaster 32Red.com Apprentice Handicap (Div 2) Class 5 · 1m2f · Good · 14 ran 1/14 9-7 7091C90A Callum Hutchinson 9/2
2020 · 6 runs
20 Oct 20+13d Yarmouth Follow At The Races On Twitter Handicap (Div 2) Class 5 · 1m2f · Heavy · 11 ran 4/11 ½ 9-12 7097A87A Harry Bentley 7/1
07 Oct 20+27d Kempton (AW) Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap Class 5 · 1m3f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 4/12 nk 9-4 7192A78A Tom Marquand 9/2
10 Sep 20+9d Haydock Watch On Racing TV Handicap Class 4 · 1m4f · Soft · 6 ran 2/6 2¼ 8-5 6995A70B Harry Bentley 11/4F
01 Sep 20+70d Kempton (AW) Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap (Div 1) Class 5 · 1m3f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 2/11 1¼ 9-12 6995A83A Harry Bentley 11/2
23 Jun 20+12d Kempton (AW) Try Our New Runner Boost At Unibet Handicap Class 5 · 1m3f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 1/13 9-4 6596B85A Harry Bentley 9/2
11 Jun 20+337d Newbury MansionBet's Beaten By A Head Handicap Class 4 · 1m2f · Good · 10 ran 6/10 ½ 8-10 6783B67A Harry Bentley 6/1
2019 · 3 runs
10 Jul 19+26d Kempton (AW) 32Red Casino Handicap (Div 1) Class 5 · 1m · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 3/9 ¾ 9-0 6892A80A Pat Cosgrave 12/1
14 Jun 19+7d Sandown Beck Celebrating 25 Years Of Excellence Handicap Class 4 · 1m2f · Soft · 8 ran 6/8 shd 8-12 69100A68A Kieran Shoemark 10/1
07 Jun 19+196d Haydock Join Racing TV Now Handicap Class 4 · 1m2f · Heavy · 8 ran 2/8 5 8-5 6990A77A Andrew Mullen 50/1
2018 · 4 runs
23 Nov 18+28d Kempton (AW) 32Red Casino Nursery Class 5 · 1m · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 10/10 ½ 9-5 7374A50A Callum Shepherd 25/1
26 Oct 18+11d Kempton (AW) 32Red.com / British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes Class 5 · 1m · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 6/11 3½ 9-2 —73A63A Rob Hornby 33/1
15 Oct 18+14d Kempton (AW) 100% Profit Boost At 32RedSport.com Novice Median Auction Stakes (Div 2) Class 5 · 1m · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 5/9 nk 9-2 —81A71A Callum Shepherd 66/1
01 Oct 18 Kempton (AW) 32Red Casino EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10) (Div 1) Class 4 · 1m · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 9/9 11 9-2 —50C49C Callum Shepherd 50/1

Quick answers

How many races has Francisco Bay won?
Francisco Bay (GB) won 2 of 28 archived starts between 2018 and 2022, a strike rate of 7.1%. Placed 7 times in total (25% of starts).
Who trained Francisco Bay?
Francisco Bay (GB) was trained by Ed de Giles on the most recent run on record, at Carlisle on 1 August 2022.
Who is Francisco Bay's sire?
Francisco Bay (GB) is by Paco Boy (IRE) out of Lucky Breeze (IRE), whose sire is Key Of Luck.
What going does Francisco Bay prefer?
Francisco Bay (GB) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 6 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Francisco Bay's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 62, from the run on 1 August 2022. The highest on record is 74.
What is Francisco Bay's sire's record?
Paco Boy (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.2% of 3,450 runs since Apr 2014 (269 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 3.9% from 103.
Who are Francisco Bay's siblings?
Out of Lucky Breeze (IRE), Francisco Bay (GB) has 6 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Kalamity Kitty (GB) (4). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Kalamity Kitty (GB)). The wins came over 1m2f–2m. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from October 2018. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.