Horse profile
Metal Merchant (IRE)
31 runs · 12 courses · from May 2022
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
4 wins · 4 courses
Last run 14 Oct 2026 · 7th of 13
Last raced off OR 78
KTB Profile
Metal Merchant is a gelding with four wins from 31 starts, three of them on turf. He won the Class 2 OLBG Spring Cup Handicap at Newbury in Apr 2024 over 1m – 1m1f on good to soft from an official rating of 91, and has also scored at Ascot, Ayr and Chelmsford City (AW). All wins came over 6f – 7f or 1m – 1m1f. He finished 7 of 13 at Kempton (AW) in Oct 2026.
Based on 31 archived runs · run-style from 11 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance
OR ↓ 20lb off peak
- 4–31Wins / Runs
- 12.9%Strike rate
- 9 (29%)Placed
- +9.00£1 level staken=31 at SP
- 1.64Fair A/E n=31 · 1.37 incl. margin
- 98Highest OR
- 26dBetween runs (median)longest 322 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating78↓ 20lb off peak
78
76–98
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 97
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 8 | 104C | 77.5 | 1 run · — |
| Standard (AW) | 7 | 97B | 88 | 5 runs · 97 / 91 |
| Good to Firm | 6 | 106C | 93.5 | — |
| Soft | 4 | 91C | 67.5 | 1 run · — |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 110C | 85 | 1 run · — |
| Heavy | 2 | 84A | 66.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 19 | 110C | 84 | 3 runs · 95 / 87 |
| 6f – 7f | 10 | 106C | 83 | 4 runs · 97 / 83.5 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 88B | 81.5 | 1 run · — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 31 figures from 31 runs · as at 22 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 11 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Mid-division 6 (55%) · 0 wins
- Held up 3 (27%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 2 (18%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,628 runs since Apr 2019 (298 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 1 | 20% | +8.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 342 | 43 | 12.6% | +1.5 | 0 from 6 |
| Good | 873 | 99 | 11.3% | +0.2 | 2 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 438 | 56 | 12.8% | +1.7 | 1 from 4 |
| Soft | 705 | 73 | 10.4% | −0.7 | 0 from 4 |
| Heavy | 276 | 25 | 9.1% | −2 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 989 | 105 | 10.6% | −0.5 | 1 from 7 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 81 | 7 | 8.6% | −2.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 848 | 95 | 11.2% | +0.1 | 1 from 10 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,054 | 108 | 10.2% | −0.9 | 3 from 19 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 795 | 94 | 11.8% | +0.7 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 545 | 73 | 13.4% | +2.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 232 | 22 | 9.5% | −1.6 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 63 | 2 | 3.2% | −7.9 | — |
| Over 3m | 10 | 1 | 10% | −1.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2019 · as at 7 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Nibras Gold (IRE) (8 wins).
The wins came over 1m4f–2m; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Nibras Gold (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nibras Gold (IRE) | 38 | 8 | 1m4f–2m | Class 4 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 8 | 2 | 25% | +11.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 7 | 1 | 14% | +1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 1 | 25% | +9.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 2 | 13 | 1 | 8% | +0.00 |
| Class 3 | 8 | 2 | 25% | +11.00 |
| Class 4 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascot | 6 | 1 | 17% | +0.00 |
| Newbury | 5 | 1 | 20% | +8.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Goodwood | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newmarket | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Haydock | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sandown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ayr | 1 | 1 | 100% | +12.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 19 | 3 | 16% | +13.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 10 | 1 | 10% | −2.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Probert | 9 | 1 | 11% | +4.00 |
| Rossa Ryan | 5 | 2 | 40% | +14.00 |
| Sean Levey | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tom Marquand | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ronan Whelan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| David Egan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jack Gilligan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cieren Fallon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Harry Davies | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Neil Callan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Doyle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ryan Moore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| George Bass | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| William Buick | 1 | 1 | 100% | +7.00 |
| Darragh Keenan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 30 | 4 | 13% | +10.00 |
| Blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2024 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +7.00 |
| 2023 | 10 | 1 | 10% | −4.00 |
| 2022 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +16.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 14 Oct 26+21d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race) Back in the pack - pushed along and gained ground 2f out - stayed on inside the final furlong before flattening out late to finish 7th | 7/13 | 2½ | 9-2 | 78 | 88B | 79A | Sean Levey | 40/1 |
| 23 Sep 26+18d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Stakes Settled off the pace early - pushed along in pursuit 2f out - lost momentum inside final furlong - finished seventh | 7/13 | ½ | 9-8 | 80 | 97B | 81A | Sean Levey | 22/1 |
| 05 Sep 26+24d | Haydock | Betfair.Betfair Handicap Stakes Wide berth early - held a forward spot then drifted left - urged on with 2f left - squeezed for room inside the last furlong - lost touch and finished ninth | 9/12 | 3¼ | 9-11 | 82 | 64A | 72A | Sean Levey | 28/1 |
| 12 Aug 26+18d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (Div II) Held up towards the back of the pack - nudged into contention approaching 2f out but failed to threaten - dropped away steadily in the closing stages | 9/11 | ¾ | 9-7 | 83 | 91A | 83A | David Egan | 5/1 |
| 25 Jul 26+28d | Newcastle (AW) | Brack Burger On Uber Eats Beeswing Handicap Stakes (Div II) Tracked the pace - driven over 1f out - stayed on strongly inside the final furlong to finish fourth | 4/12 | nse | 10-1 | 84 | 95A | 102A | Jack Gilligan | 20/1 |
| 27 Jun 26+36d | Newcastle (AW) | Education Network Handicap Settled towards the back - pushed along with 2f left - made no impression - finished well beaten in 14th | 14/14 | 1½ | 8-12 | 87 | 76B | 72A | Cieren Fallon | 50/1 |
| 22 May 26+55d | Goodwood | Edward Bulmer Natural Paint Handicap Settled in the pack - moved up to third approaching the final 2f - pressed for effort inside the last but dropped back and faded through the line | 13/14 | 2¾ | 9-9 | 90 | 45C | 64C | Harry Davies | 20/1 |
| 28 Mar 26+322d | Doncaster | William Hill Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Fought for control early - settled in the pack through the race - pushed along and gave way inside the final furlong - finished well beaten in 20th | 20/21 | ¾ | 9-1 | 93 | 87C | 61C | Neil Callan | 50/1 |
| 2025 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 10 May 25+28d | Ascot | Schweppes Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Settled in the pack early - nudged for effort with a furlong and a half remaining - failed to threaten leaders - eventually held in 12th | 12/17 | ½ | 9-1 | 96 | 99C | 86A | David Probert | 11/1 |
| 12 Apr 25+230d | Newbury | OLBG Spring Cup Handicap (Rnd) Checked and shifted left early - settled off the pace in midfield - lost momentum inside final 2f - eventually finished 10th | 10/14 | nk | 9-11 | 97 | 104C | 88A | David Probert | 13/2 |
| 2024 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 25 Aug 24+29d | Goodwood | William Hill Most Top Price Runners Handicap Held up towards the back - improved position inside final furlong - could not land a blow - finished ninth of the field | 9/14 | ¾ | 9-7 | 98 | 83C | 91A | David Probert | 7/1 |
| 27 Jul 24+21d | Ascot | Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) | 4/18 | ½ | 9-5 | 97 | 106C | 100A | David Probert | 9/1 |
| 06 Jul 24+17d | Sandown | Coral Challenge (Handicap) | 7/10 | ½ | 9-2 | 97 | 53A | 88A | David Probert | 7/1 |
| 19 Jun 24+32d | Ascot | Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Str) | 7/29 | ¾ | 8-13 | 97 | 90C | 103A | David Probert | 18/1 |
| 18 May 24+28d | Newbury | OCS Handicap (Str) | 2/12 | 2½ | 9-3 | 96 | 95A | 101A | David Probert | 6/1 |
| 20 Apr 24+168d | Newbury | OLBG Spring Cup Handicap (Str) | 1/21 | 8-10 | 91 | 110C | 110A | David Probert | 12/1 | |
| 2023 · 10 runs | ||||||||||
| 04 Nov 23+29d | Newmarket | Betfred Play Fred's 5 Million Handicap | 13/14 | 12 | 9-13 | 91 | 49C | 69C | David Probert | 9/1 |
| 06 Oct 23+13d | Ascot | Racing Welfare Classified Stakes (Str) | 1/8 | 9-4 | 88 | 97B | 107A | Rossa Ryan | 5/1 | |
| 23 Sep 23+34d | Newbury | Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Handicap (Str) | 2/7 | 1¾ | 9-11 | 87 | 84A | 99A | James Doyle | 3/1F |
| 20 Aug 23+17d | Sandown | Sky Bet Sunday Series Mile Handicap | 6/11 | shd | 9-0 | 89 | 80A | 79A | Tom Marquand | 9/2 |
| 03 Aug 23+20d | Goodwood | Buccellati Handicap | 5/17 | ¾ | 9-8 | 89 | 91C | 98A | Ryan Moore | 10/1 |
| 14 Jul 23+22d | Ascot | Close Brothers Property Division Handicap (Rnd) | 3/11 | ½ | 9-5 | 89 | 77B | 94A | George Bass | 15/2 |
| 22 Jun 23+26d | Ascot | Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Str) | 14/29 | nk | 8-12 | 90 | 65C | 84A | Rossa Ryan | 50/1 |
| 27 May 23+20d | Haydock | Betfred Silver Bowl Handicap (Heritage Handicap) | 3/11 | nk | 8-11 | 90 | 97A | 96A | Ronan Whelan | 22/1 |
| 07 May 23+53d | Newmarket | Howden Handicap | 3/7 | ¾ | 9-6 | 90 | 71A | 87A | Ronan Whelan | 13/2 |
| 15 Mar 23+158d | Kempton (AW) | 'Road To The Kentucky Derby' Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) | 7/7 | 1 | 9-7 | 92 | 84B | 78A | Rossa Ryan | 13/2 |
| 2022 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 08 Oct 22+21d | Newmarket | Godolphin Flying Start Zetland Stakes (Group 3) | 5/9 | 5½ | 9-4 | 84 | 75A | 74A | Rossa Ryan | 18/1 |
| 17 Sep 22+102d | Ayr | Remus Uomo EBF Nursery | 1/11 | 8-12 | 76 | 73A | 93A | Rossa Ryan | 12/1 | |
| 07 Jun 22+15d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 1/9 | 9-5 | — | 69A | 85A | William Buick | 7/1 | |
| 23 May 22+10d | Leicester | Every Race Live On Racing TV Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 5/13 | hd | 9-7 | — | 83C | 73A | Tom Marquand | 11/2 |
| 13 May 22 | Newbury | Starlight Isla And Bella Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 11/14 | ¾ | 9-7 | — | 15C | 62A | Darragh Keenan | 25/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Metal Merchant won?
- Metal Merchant (IRE) won 4 of 31 archived starts between 2022 and 2026, a strike rate of 12.9%. Placed 9 times in total (29% of starts).
- Who trains Metal Merchant?
- Metal Merchant (IRE) is trained by John Butler, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 14 October 2026.
- Who is Metal Merchant's sire?
- Metal Merchant (IRE) is by Make Believe (GB) out of Whipped (IRE), whose sire is Whipper.
- What going does Metal Merchant prefer?
- Metal Merchant (IRE) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 8 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Metal Merchant's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 78, from the run on 14 October 2026. The highest on record is 98.
- What is Metal Merchant's sire's record?
- Make Believe (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,628 runs since Apr 2019 (298 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Metal Merchant's siblings?
- Out of Whipped (IRE), Metal Merchant (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Nibras Gold (IRE) (8). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Nibras Gold (IRE)). The wins came over 1m4f–2m. As at Nov 2026.