Horse profile
On The Bubble (GB)
by Land Force (IRE) out of O Fourlunda (GB) (Halling)
42 runs · 15 courses · from Jul 2023
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
2 wins · Hexham & Redcar
Ran 23 days ago
Last raced off OR 81
KTB Profile
On The Bubble (GB) is 2 from 42. Hasn't won since Jun 2024. Both wins have come on turf — 0 from 7 on the all-weather. Last raced off a career-high mark of 81.
Based on 42 archived runs · run-style from 19 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
All wins on turf
OR at career high
- 2–42Wins / Runs
- 4.8%Strike rate
- 6 (14.3%)Placed
- −28.12£1 level staken=42 at SP
- 0.74Fair A/E n=42 · 0.63 incl. margin
- 81Highest OR
- 29dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating81At career-high mark
81
42–81
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 117
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 33C | 32 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 15 | 97A | 79 | 6 · 88 / 74.5 |
| Standard (AW) | 7 | 66A | 52 | 1 · — |
| Soft | 6 | 80A | 62.5 | 1 · — |
| Good to Firm | 5 | 96B | 79 | 3 · 92 / 79 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 82A | 52 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 23 | 97A | 76 | 6 · 88 / 71 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 8 | 92A | 69 | 5 · 92 / 73 |
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 80A | 50 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 42 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 40 figures from 42 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 19 analysed runs
- Led 7 (37%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 6 (32%) · 0 wins
- Held up 5 (26%) · 0 wins
- Midfield 1 (5%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 7.6% of 1,452 runs since Jan 2008 (155 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | +3.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 275 | 22 | 8% | +0.4 | 0 from 6 |
| Good | 338 | 32 | 9.5% | +1.9 | 0 from 18 |
| Good to Soft | 144 | 14 | 9.7% | +2.1 | 0 from 4 |
| Soft | 124 | 10 | 8.1% | +0.5 | 2 from 7 |
| Heavy | 38 | 4 | 10.5% | +2.9 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 524 | 28 | 5.3% | −2.3 | 0 from 7 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 334 | 30 | 9% | +1.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 716 | 40 | 5.6% | −2 | 0 from 5 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 282 | 28 | 9.9% | +2.3 | 1 from 23 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 94 | 12 | 12.8% | +5.2 | 0 from 8 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 17 | 1 | 5.9% | −1.7 | 1 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 9 | 0 | 0% | −7.6 | 0 from 3 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
O Fourlunda (GB) (Halling)
5 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Alternative Fact (GB) (3 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m2f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Alternative Fact (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternative Fact (GB) | 37 | 3 | 1m–1m2f | Class 3 |
| Four Poets (GB) | 11 | 1 | 7f | Class 6 |
| Joeljalu (GB) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Abshir Zain (IRE) | 9 | 0 | — | — |
| Four Cheers (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 18 | 0 | 0% | −18.00 |
| Soft | 7 | 2 | 29% | +6.88 |
| Standard (AW) | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Good to Firm | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 31 | 1 | 3% | −20.00 |
| Class 5 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Class 4 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.12 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musselburgh | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Ayr | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Carlisle | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Redcar | 3 | 1 | 33% | +8.00 |
| Ripon | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Catterick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Hamilton | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Perth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kelso | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sedgefield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hexham | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.88 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 23 | 1 | 4% | −12.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.12 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Fairley | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| Rhys Elliott | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Andrew Mullen | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Amie Waugh | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Richie McLernon | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.12 |
| Ryan Mania | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Miss Kayla Ruddy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jake Dickson | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Cieren Fallon | 2 | 1 | 50% | +9.00 |
| Miss Emma J Brown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Clifford Lee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jared Huggan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jack Nicholls | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kieran O'Neill | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jonny Peate | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Andrew Breslin | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 21 | 0 | 0% | −21.00 |
| Hood | 10 | 2 | 20% | +3.88 |
| Visor | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Blinkers | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| 2025 | 19 | 0 | 0% | −19.00 |
| 2024 | 8 | 2 | 25% | +5.88 |
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat | 37 | 1 | 3% | −26.00 |
| Hurdle | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.12 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep 26+8d | Perth | A Place For You Here Handicap Hurdle Race Settled midpack early - lost touch before fading - pulled up before 2 out | PU/12 | — | 10-9 | 81 | — | — | Ryan Mania | 18/1 |
| 16 Sep 26+16d | Kelso | RacingTV Proudly Supports Teenage Cancer Trust Handicap Hurdle Race Settled just behind the pace - pressed into gear after the second-last - stayed on late but never in contention - finished 5th beaten 8 lengths | 5/8 | 4¾ | 10-10 | 81 | 117B | 93A | Ryan Mania | 50/1 |
| 31 Aug 26+4d | Ripon | Aja Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes Handy early - tracking front-runner from the 3f mark - driven from 4f out and lost ground under pressure inside final 2f | 8/10 | ½ | 9-12 | 49 | 57A | 51A | Miss Emma J Brown | 18/1 |
| 27 Aug 26+23d | Carlisle | Paul Kavanagh Memorial AJA Novice Flat Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Jockeys With Three Wins Or Fewer At Start Of Season) Set the pace early - opened up a big advantage - margin cut back with 4f left - overtaken 2f out and dropped away inside the final furlong | 7/8 | 6 | 9-11 | 49 | 35C | 35C | Miss Kayla Ruddy | 40/1 |
| 04 Aug 26+15d | Catterick | Racingtv.com Handicap Stakes Fought for control early - handy in the pack before easing back to fourth 3f out - stayed on at one speed to finish fourth | 4/8 | 4 | 9-7 | 50 | 70B | 55A | Clifford Lee | 10/1 |
| 20 Jul 26+5d | Ayr | Try Racing TV For Free Now Handicap Stakes made the running in front at an even gallop - driven when overtaken 3f out - lost ground 2f out and faded 1f out | 10/10 | ½ | 8-7 | 44 | 92A | 46A | Jared Huggan | 18/1 |
| 15 Jul 26+15d | Catterick | AJA Novice Flat Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (For Riders With 3 Wins Or Fewer At Start Of Season) Set the pace from the start and opened an advantage after two furlongs - had the margin cut back with three furlongs left - driven with two furlongs to run and challenged in the final furlong - overtaken near the finish | 2/6 | ½ | 9-11 | 44 | 79B | 67B | Miss Kayla Ruddy | 22/1 |
| 30 Jun 26+8d | Musselburgh | Catherine & Charlotte Roche Handicap Went straight to front - pressed for effort when overtaken 2f out - lost place steadily to finish fifth | 5/6 | 3¾ | 9-2 | 45 | 73A | 45B | Greg Fairley | 33/1 |
| 22 Jun 26+16d | Musselburgh | Watch On Racing TV Apprentice Handicap Went straight to the front - driven approaching 2f out then overtaken and urged out inside final furlong - dropped away quickly after finishing 5th | 5/7 | 3¾ | 8-4 | 45 | 76A | 47A | Rhys Elliott | 9/2 |
| 06 Jun 26+16d | Musselburgh | Edinburgh Gin Cannonball Handicap Held handy early - pushed for effort with 2f left - dropped away inside final furlong - finished ninth | 9/11 | nk | 9-1 | 45 | 62A | 45A | Greg Fairley | 5/1 |
| 21 May 26+22d | Musselburgh | Fridge Spares Wholesale Limited Handicap Settled in second early - under pressure with 2f left but unable to close on leader - dropped a place inside the final furlong to finish third | 3/7 | nk | 8-9 | 46 | 88A | 63A | Greg Fairley | 10/1 |
| 29 Apr 26+190d | Musselburgh | Racing TV Handicap Travelled strongly early - went to the front - pressed for effort 2f out - lost command entering last furlong then edged out close to home | 2/7 | 1¾ | 8-9 | 45 | 85A | 72A | Greg Fairley | 16/1 |
| 21 Oct 25+8d | Newcastle (AW) | Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap Settled just off the pace on the near flank - lost touch with the front markers approaching 2f out - dropped away under pressure through the closing stages to finish sixth | 6/8 | 5½ | 8-9 | 46 | 66A | 48A | Greg Fairley | 100/1 |
| 13 Oct 25+12d | Musselburgh | Melissa, Arabella And Oriana Hawthorne Handicap (Div 2) Set the pace early - driven and overtaken 2f out then dropped to third - stayed in touch with front two - asked for effort but faded inside the final furlong to finish fourth | 4/8 | 1½ | 8-10 | 46 | 79A | 65A | Greg Fairley | 11/2 |
| 01 Oct 25+9d | Musselburgh | 75Media Edinburgh Gateway Gallop Handicap Sat close behind front group early - urged into effort with 3f remaining - dropped away inside final furlong - eventually finished 5th | 5/12 | 1¾ | 8-10 | 47 | 80A | 64A | Greg Fairley | 11/1 |
| 22 Sep 25+9d | Hamilton | DX Academy Industry Expertise For You Apprentice Handicap Sent to front early - lost command and pushed along approaching 2f out - dropped away close home - finished 7th | 7/9 | hd | 8-12 | 47 | 48A | 54A | Rhys Elliott | 17/2 |
| 13 Sep 25+18d | Musselburgh | Dovend Electrical Ltd Apprentice Handicap Shared front spot early - pressed for effort with 2f left - still holding claims entering last furlong - overtaken soon after and edged out of second close home | 3/11 | ¾ | 8-9 | 47 | 93A | 64A | Jake Dickson | 18/5F |
| 26 Aug 25+8d | Musselburgh | Racing TV Handicap Raced with plenty of enthusiasm early - went to front soon after start - pushed along a furlong out and challenged - stayed on but overtaken close home | 2/9 | ¾ | 9-0 | 46 | 84B | 71A | Greg Fairley | 11/1 |
| 18 Aug 25+7d | Ayr | Book Christmas Day At Western House Handicap Settled in the pack - crept closer out wide with 2f left - lost momentum in the closing stages to finish 7th | 7/9 | 1¼ | 8-11 | 46 | 96B | 54A | Greg Fairley | 22/1 |
| 11 Aug 25+3d | Ayr | Christmas Parties At Western House Hotel Classified Stakes Set the pace early - dropped in behind before regaining front spot two out - pressed for effort and lost the advantage approaching the final furlong - held for third close home | 3/7 | 1¾ | 9-9 | 42 | 76A | 66A | Greg Fairley | 7/2 |
| 08 Aug 25+19d | Musselburgh | Champagne Pommery Blanc De Blancs Handicap Travelled close up wide - pushed along with 2f left - edged to front near the furlong pole - shaken off but stayed on for third | 3/7 | ¾ | 8-9 | 45 | 97A | 64A | Greg Fairley | 40/1 |
| 20 Jul 25+14d | Redcar | Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Apprentice Handicap Sat close to the pace on the wide side - urged forward with over 3f left - dropped away rapidly with 2f to run - well held at the finish | 11/12 | 3¾ | 9-5 | 45 | 28C | 46C | Amie Waugh | 18/1 |
| 06 Jul 25+5d | Ayr | Book The Sounds Of Summer Racenight Classified Stakes Settled in the pack - pushed along with 2f left - stayed on same gait to the line without getting competitive | 5/11 | 2 | 9-4 | 43 | 82A | 64A | Rhys Elliott | 22/1 |
| 01 Jul 25+13d | Musselburgh | Alan Steel For Retirement Planning Handicap Settled just behind the front group on the rail - came under pressure and lost ground inside the last furlong - finished sixth beaten 5 lengths | 6/9 | 1 | 7-13 | 45 | 80A | 47A | Rhys Elliott | 28/1 |
| 18 Jun 25+20d | Hamilton | racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap Handy early - dropped away with 2f left - no impact from there - finished a distant fifth | 5/8 | 7½ | 8-10 | 45 | 69A | 41A | Jake Dickson | 25/1 |
| 29 May 25+8d | Carlisle | Blogger The Train Stopper Handicap Settled off the pace in midfield - urged to keep tabs on rivals with two furlongs left - then dropped away quickly - finished well beaten in 10th | 10/12 | nk | 8-11 | 45 | 67A | 45A | Amie Waugh | 16/1 |
| 21 May 25+19d | Ayr | Follow racingtv On Instagram Apprentice Handicap Pulling hard early - tracked pace close to the rail - pushed along under pressure before fading inside final furlong | 5/7 | shd | 8-6 | 44 | 77A | 56A | Jack Nicholls | 6/1 |
| 02 May 25+38d | Musselburgh | Travis Perkins Scotland Handicap Held up towards the back - made ground into contention 2f out - challenged for second spot inside the final furlong but couldn't dent the leader's advantage - held on the same pace to the line | 3/6 | 1 | 8-11 | 45 | 88A | 59B | Amie Waugh | 25/1 |
| 25 Mar 25+15d | Newcastle (AW) | 30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap Sent to front and dictated a gentle pace - soon opened a big advantage - margin cut back after 4f - found extra gear past halfway - driven on down the home bend - overtaken 3f out - lost place rapidly from 2f out - well beaten by the finish | 8/8 | 46 | 8-6 | 46 | 59C | 38C | Kieran O'Neill | 100/1 |
| 10 Mar 25+18d | Newcastle (AW) | BetUK: It's Where The UK Bets Handicap Set the pace early - pressed for effort and overtaken approaching the final furlong - dropped back two spots close home - finished fourth beaten 6½ lengths | 4/5 | 5 | 8-3 | 48 | 52C | 43B | Rhys Elliott | 125/1 |
| 20 Feb 25+98d | Newcastle (AW) | Win 1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) Settled midpack on the far flank - improved into contention 3f out - pressed for effort then dropped away fast in final furlongs - well held at the line | 10/11 | 16 | 8-12 | 51 | 50C | 32C | Rhys Elliott | 50/1 |
| 14 Nov 24+17d | Sedgefield | Vickers.Bet Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) Set the pace early - drifted off a straight line at the 2nd and lost the advantage soon after - came down 3 out when close to disputing the lead | F/8 | — | 11-0 | — | — | — | Richie McLernon | 50/1 |
| 28 Oct 24+18d | Redcar | Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Held up towards back of field - under pressure and losing touch approaching 3f out - well held at finish | 13/14 | ½ | 9-4 | 53 | 68C | 50C | Jonny Peate | 28/1 |
| 10 Oct 24+118d | Southwell (AW) | Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Tracked front group early - dropped away with 5f left then pushed along 3f out - trailing badly approaching the final furlong | 11/12 | 2 | 8-13 | 55 | 66A | 39A | Cieren Fallon | 80/1 |
| 14 Jun 24+13d | Market Rasen | Lincs Loos Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) | 8/12 | 5½ | 11-0 | — | 33C | 81C | Richie McLernon | 20/1 |
| 01 Jun 24+22d | Hexham | Most Important 3-Year-Old Race Today Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/5 | 10-5 | — | 31C | 82C | Richie McLernon | 15/8 | |
| 10 May 24+8d | Ripon | Dr Keith Howard OBE Memorial Handicap | 7/12 | hd | 9-0 | 48 | 35B | 57A | Andrew Breslin | 7/2C |
| 02 May 24+75d | Redcar | Racing TV Club Day Here Today Handicap | 1/12 | 9-2 | 48 | 76B | 77A | Cieren Fallon | 10/1 | |
| 17 Feb 24+95d | Newcastle (AW) | Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap | 8/8 | 9½ | 8-9 | 51 | 30C | 23C | Andrew Mullen | 100/1 |
| 14 Nov 23+110d | Newcastle (AW) | BetMGM Take Time Out During SGWeek23! EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) | 9/11 | 2¼ | 8-10 | — | 50C | 42C | Andrew Mullen | 150/1 |
| 27 Jul 23+14d | Doncaster | Simon Piggott Memorial Race EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 6/12 | 2 | 8-13 | — | 47C | 58C | Andrew Mullen | 200/1 |
| 13 Jul 23 | Carlisle | Rachael Bell Wealth Management Irish EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) | 4/6 | 5½ | 9-2 | — | 37B | 39B | Andrew Mullen | 9/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has On The Bubble (GB) won?
- On The Bubble (GB) won 2 of 42 archived starts between 2023 and 2026, a strike rate of 4.8%. Placed 6 times in total (14.3% of starts).
- Who trains On The Bubble (GB)?
- On The Bubble (GB) is trained by Gary Rutherford, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 24 September 2026.
- Who is On The Bubble (GB)'s sire?
- On The Bubble (GB) is by Land Force (IRE) out of O Fourlunda (GB), whose sire is Halling.
- What going does On The Bubble (GB) prefer?
- On The Bubble (GB) has the best record on soft going: 2 wins from 7 starts (28.6%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is On The Bubble (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 81, from the run on 24 September 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is On The Bubble (GB)'s sire's record?
- Land Force (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 7.6% of 1,452 runs since Jan 2008 (155 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are On The Bubble (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of O Fourlunda (GB), On The Bubble (GB) has 5 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Alternative Fact (GB) (3). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Alternative Fact (GB)). The wins came over 7f–1m2f. As at Oct 2026.