What is Rhys Elliott's strike rate?

Rhys Elliott has won 53 of 840 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Rhys Elliott do best at?

Redcar by strike rate: 6 wins from 51 rides (11.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Rhys Elliott ride most for?

Michael Dods, with 174 rides since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (6.9%).

Is Rhys Elliott in form?

In the last 14 days: 20 rides, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 6.3% since 2022.

What is Rhys Elliott's Fair A/E?

0.80, from 838 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Rhys Elliott

840 rides in the last 5 seasons · 352 individual horses

As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)

from 1 Jan 2022

53–840

Wins / Runs

6.3%

Strike rate

n=840

190 (23%)

Placed

0.80

Fair A/E

n=838 · 0.68 incl. margin

−206.75

£1 level stake

n=840 at SP · −24.6%

£619k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 170 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.80). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (66 rides). The rider is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 840 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 9 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul 27.3% when favourite Michael Dods: 6.9% from 174 LTO winners: 12.1% Claiming: 6.4% Rides the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Redcar (11.8%, n=51), clear of the rider's 6.3% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.1% (n=66, Fair A/E 0.92), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.2% (n=84, Fair A/E 0.30). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −223.67 to a £1 stake over 352 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 0 from 20 rides in the last 14 days (0%, 6.3pts below the 6.3% baseline). Michael Dods supplies 21% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.9%, A/E 0.81). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (13%, n=77). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 37 rides, 6.3pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.3%−2.0

n=352 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −223.67

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.1%+5.8

n=66 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −23.12

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

1.2%−5.1

n=84 · A/E 0.30 · £1 −65.00

When favourite

27.3%

n=44 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −5.83

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

6.4%+0.1

n=813 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −188.25

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.2%−2.1

n=96 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −20.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.3

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 13% vs 6.3% · n=77

On last-time-out winners 12.1% vs 6.3% · n=66

With David Thompson 12.3% vs 6.3% · n=57

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 6.3% · n=37

At Redcar 11.8% vs 6.3% · n=51

With Mark Walford 11% vs 6.3% · n=73

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 60.9% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 249 22 8.8% −89.96

Standard (AW) 246 9 3.7% −152.87

Good to Firm 153 11 7.2% −78.75

Soft 88 5 5.7% +140.83

Good to Soft 78 5 6.4% −4.00

Heavy 26 1 3.8% −22.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 195 9 4.6% −101.87

Ayr 110 6 5.5% +121.00

Musselburgh 80 7 8.8% −31.17

Hamilton 73 6 8.2% −1.79

Redcar 51 6 11.8% −15.50

Catterick 42 2 4.8% −17.50

Beverley 40 1 2.5% −21.00

Thirsk 37 1 2.7% −34.75

Carlisle 34 3 8.8% −13.00

Ripon 28 8 28.6% +31.33

York 25 0 0% −25.00

Southwell (AW) 23 0 0% −23.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 23 0 0% −23.00

Pontefract 16 0 0% −16.00

Doncaster 15 1 6.7% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 437 37 8.5% −131.58

Class 5 218 9 4.1% +47.83

Class 4 129 6 4.7% −76.50

Class 3 31 1 3.2% −21.50

Class 2 23 0 0% −23.00

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 53 13 24.5% 0.97 −11.33

2nd–3rd fav 118 18 15.3% 0.96 −16.92

4th–6th fav 284 13 4.6% 0.59 −164.50

7th+ in betting 385 9 2.3% 0.77 −14.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Royal Duke (GB) 25 3 8 4 Nov 26

Sassy Glory (IRE) 17 3 8 30 Oct 26

Zuffolo (IRE) 16 3 7 16 Oct 26

Stallone (IRE) 15 0 2 28 May 25

Stormy Pearl (GB) 14 3 9 27 Oct 26

Krissy (IRE) 14 4 7 16 Oct 26

Langholm (IRE) 14 1 3 16 Jul 26

Martin's Brig (IRE) 14 3 6 20 Apr 26

Golden Valour (GB) 13 1 4 20 Jul 26

Novamay (GB) 12 4 4 17 Oct 26

Due Respect (IRE) 12 1 4 30 Sep 26

Lord Abama (IRE) 12 0 4 19 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 352 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

0 from 20 0% · −6.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days0%

5-season base6.3%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

05107681265300

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMichael Dods

21% of all rides
6.9% SR · A/E 0.81

TrainerRWSR£1

Michael Dods 174 12 6.9% −86.50

Jim Goldie 96 7 7.3% +181.83

R Mike Smith 77 4 5.2% −45.00

Mark Walford 73 8 11% −13.00

David Thompson 57 7 12.3% +23.38

Gary Rutherford 40 3 7.5% −26.87

Patrick Morris 35 3 8.6% −21.92

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→

Archived wins

£619k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 23 wins

Krissy (IRE) — Sky Bet Club Fillies' Handicap Musselburgh · Apr 2026 · Class 5

£10,468

Pearl Eye (GB) — Tennent's Lager Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) Ayr · Sep 2026 · Class 3

£8,246

Kodiac Thriller (IRE) — Armstrong Memorial Handicap Ripon · Apr 2026 · Class 4

£7,216

Notable horses

Krissy (IRE) Novamay (GB) Royal Duke (GB) Sassy Glory (IRE) Zuffolo (IRE) Stormy Pearl (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–29

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,988 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Music Master (GB) 12% · 3–25

Progeny have won 6.4% of 233 runs since 2019 (17 horses).

Kodiac (GB) 4.5% · 1–22

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,603 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Oasis Dream (GB) 15% · 3–20

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,047 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 485. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Churchill (IRE) 0% · 0–19

Progeny have won 11% of 4,851 runs since 2021 (462 horses).

Profitable (IRE) 0% · 0–19

Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,449 runs since 2021 (358 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 840 · newest first

The latest 50 of 840 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 July 2023 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Dollar's Dream (IRE)T: Philip Kirby Join The Midnite Movement Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 16.5f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 25/1

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Moira Express (IRE)T: Simon Whitaker AWC Season 14 Has Begun Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 80/1

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Keats House (IRE)T: Michael & David Easterby All-Weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 9/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Heathers Feather (IRE)T: Tracy Waggott Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 20/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Ana Emaraaty (IRE)T: Jim Goldie All-Weather Championship Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 50/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Thistle Nil (IRE)T: Jim Goldie Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 28/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Hoosthat (GB)T: William Muir & Chris Grassick All-Weather Championship Is Back Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 40/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Falaise Blanc (FR)T: Katie Scott Burton Roofing Merchants Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 12.5f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 7/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Galistra (FR)T: Alan Brown Burton Roofing Merchants Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 12.5f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 125/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Royal Duke (GB)T: R. Mike Smith Veronika Walker: Moments That Matter Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 25/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Victory Sound (IRE)T: Mark Usher AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 17/2

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Tomorrow Day (GB)T: Mark Usher Aw Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 16/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Roaring Ralph (GB)T: Michael Dods Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 16/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Try Storm Cat (IRE)T: Jessica Macey Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 12/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Sassy Glory (IRE)T: Mark Walford Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 28/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Togeather Forever (IRE)T: Jim Goldie Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 14/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Pol Roger (IRE)T: Michael Dods Jumps Season Starts 20th November Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 22/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Masterpiece (GB)T: Patrick Morris Bet At racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 66/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Penny Ghent (GB)T: Simon Whitaker Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 15 ran 9th 66/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Stormy Pearl (GB)T: David Thompson Celebrating Helen MacKinnon's LX Years Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 27 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Rhys Elliott's strike rate?: Rhys Elliott has won 53 of 840 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Rhys Elliott do best at?: Redcar by strike rate: 6 wins from 51 rides (11.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Rhys Elliott ride most for?: Michael Dods, with 174 rides since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (6.9%).
Is Rhys Elliott in form?: In the last 14 days: 20 rides, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 6.3% since 2022.
What is Rhys Elliott's Fair A/E?: 0.80, from 838 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.