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Jockey profile

Tommy Dowling

299 rides in the lifetime window · 149 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Mar 2018 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
28–299
Wins / Runs
9.4%
Strike rate
n=299
62 (21%)
Placed
1.21
Fair A/E
n=299 · 1.05 incl. margin
−53.05
£1 level stake
n=299 at SP · −17.7%
£186k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.8%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.21). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 11% off breaks of two months or more (73 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 299 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 11% Charlie Mann: 16.7% from 84 First rides: 10.1%
The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.3% (n=61, Fair A/E 0.95). Charlie Mann supplied 28% of the rides and beats the rider's average (16.7% vs 9.4%, A/E 1.57) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 61-180-day break (16.7%, n=30) and in Chase races (13.7%, n=73). The market has also underrated the rider in Class 4: Fair A/E 1.44 across 146 rides (12.3% strike, +8.20 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 4.7% over 64 rides, 4.7pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10.1%+0.7
n=149 · A/E 1.62 · £1 −12.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
10%+0.6
n=20 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −8.88
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
11%+1.6
n=73 · A/E 1.66 · £1 −14.92
When favourite
33.3%
n=12 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −0.80
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
9.1%−0.3
n=297 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −66.05
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.3%−6.1
n=61 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Charlie Mann 16.7% vs 9.4% · n=84
Off a 61-180-day break 16.7% vs 9.4% · n=30
With horses switching code 3.8% vs 9.4% · n=52
Over 2m5f – 3m 4.7% vs 9.4% · n=64
In Chase races 13.7% vs 9.4% · n=73
In Class 4 12.3% vs 9.4% · n=146
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 205 17 8.3% −44.30
Chase 73 10 13.7% +4.25
NH Flat 20 1 5% −12.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 106 9 8.5% −15.00
Good 67 6 9% −17.38
Good to Soft 60 6 10% −14.00
Heavy 48 5 10.4% +1.00
Good to Firm 15 2 13.3% −4.67
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Plumpton 25 8 32% +33.70
Fontwell 18 2 11.1% −7.50
Exeter 15 1 6.7% −7.00
Lingfield 12 1 8.3% +1.00
Worcester 11 1 9.1% −7.00
Newton Abbot 10 1 10% −1.00
Huntingdon 10 1 10% +16.00
Kempton 10 0 0% −10.00
Chepstow 10 0 0% −10.00
Warwick 10 0 0% −10.00
Taunton 10 0 0% −10.00
Uttoxeter 9 1 11.1% +6.00
Market Rasen 9 1 11.1% −4.00
Fakenham 9 1 11.1% −5.00
Towcester 9 1 11.1% +4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 146 18 12.3% +8.20
Class 5 78 7 9% −33.25
Class 3 24 1 4.2% −11.00
Class 6 6 1 16.7% +2.00
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 14 5 35.7% 1.14 +2.70
2nd–3rd fav 45 11 24.4% 1.52 +12.25
4th–6th fav 104 9 8.7% 1.17 +12.00
7th+ in betting 136 3 2.2% 0.76 −80.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
79.9% completed · 278 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 73 76.7% 1 6 10 0 0
Hurdle 205 81% 6 4 29 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Bridal Suite (IRE) 11 1 2 15 Feb 16
Gowanauthat (IRE) 8 1 2 19 Apr 16
Changing The Guard (GB) 7 0 1 25 Nov 17
Royals And Rebels (IRE) 7 1 1 22 Mar 17
Finnegan's Garden (IRE) 6 1 3 21 Mar 18
Georgieshore (IRE) 6 1 2 15 Mar 18
Hope's Wishes (GB) 6 0 2 10 Feb 18
Mister Fizz (GB) 5 0 1 23 Nov 17
Nimbus Gale (IRE) 5 0 1 14 Oct 15
Miller Of Glanmire (IRE) 5 0 0 10 May 15
Sands Cove (IRE) 4 1 1 17 Mar 18
Yourholidayisover (IRE) 4 0 1 11 Mar 18
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 149 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
48161401460901016
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardCharlie Mann
28% of all rides
16.7% SR · A/E 1.57
TrainerRWSR£1
Charlie Mann 84 14 16.7% +31.95
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
28
Archived wins
£186k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 10 wins
The Game Is A Foot (IRE) — Call Star Sports On 0800 521321 Handicap Hurdle Towcester · Feb 2018 · Class 3
£7,988
Kilinakin (IRE) — Sherwood Rangers Yeomanry Handicap Chase Leicester · Mar 2018 · Class 4
£6,758
Generous Day (IRE) — Lincolnshire Tyres And Nexen Handicap Hurdle Market Rasen · Dec 2017 · Class 4
£6,498
Notable horses
Frank N Fair (GB) Libeccio (FR) Baltic Storm (IRE) Bridal Suite (IRE) Gowanauthat (IRE) Royals And Rebels (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Craigsteel (GB) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,393 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 291. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 763.
Oscar (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Golan (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,151 runs since 2008 (288 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 258.
Sulamani (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,246 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.
Brian Boru (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 11% of 4,124 runs since 2009 (285 horses).
Kayf Tara (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,756 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 299 · newest first

The latest 50 of 299 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 July 2009 to 21 March 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
21 Mar 18 Chepstow Finnegan's Garden (IRE)T: Zoe Davison Haasco Gold Cup Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 6 ran UR 9/2
17 Mar 18 Kempton Sands Cove (IRE)T: James Evans Matchbook Betting Podcast Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 25/1
16 Mar 18 Fakenham Alpha Indi (IRE)T: James Evans Walter Wales Memorial Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Soft · 4 ran 3rd 9/4
15 Mar 18 Towcester Georgieshore (IRE)T: Zoe Davison Imperial Classic Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 8th 15/2
14 Mar 18 Huntingdon Appletree Lane (GB)T: Tom Gretton 188bet Faller Refunds At Cheltenham Thursday Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 6 ran PU 7/1
12 Mar 18 Taunton Whiskey John (GB)T: Laura Young Event Care Global Ltd Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Heavy · 13 ran 10th 25/1
11 Mar 18 Market Rasen Yourholidayisover (IRE)T: Tom Gretton 188bet 10% Back At Cheltenham Tuesday Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 17f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 7/1
09 Mar 18 Leicester Kilinakin (IRE)T: Zoe Davison Sherwood Rangers Yeomanry Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 5 ran 1st 4/1
08 Mar 18 Wincanton Karl Marx (IRE)T: Mark Gillard Smarkets Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 7/1
05 Mar 18 Lingfield Touch Screen (IRE)T: Mark Gillard 188Bet Casino Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 8/1
05 Mar 18 Lingfield Georgieshore (IRE)T: Zoe Davison Best Odds Guaranteed At 188Bet Novices' ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 3 ran 2nd 20/1
26 Feb 18 Plumpton Poyntzpass (IRE)T: Richard Harper Strong Flavours Catering Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25f · Good · 8 ran 4th 14/1
25 Feb 18 Southwell Alpha Indi (IRE)T: James Evans Visit grandnational.fans Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 14 ran 4th 6/1
24 Feb 18 Chepstow Finnegan's Garden (IRE)T: Zoe Davison Pertemps Commercial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 4/1F
23 Feb 18 Exeter Corsecombe (GB)T: Mark Gillard Play Slots At 188Bet Casino Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 17f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 200/1
23 Feb 18 Exeter Madame Claud (GB)T: Mark Gillard Bet & Watch At 188bet.co.uk Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 200/1
19 Feb 18 Lingfield Finnegan's Garden (IRE)T: Zoe Davison 188bet Live Casino Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 6 ran 3rd 5/2
18 Feb 18 Ffos Las Cold Shoulder (GB)T: Tom Symonds Diane Morgans Special Birthday Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 7/1
17 Feb 18 Wincanton The Greenvet (IRE)T: Laura Young Betway Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Soft · 18 ran 13th 12/1
15 Feb 18 Leicester Dylanseoghan (IRE)T: Zoe Davison Thurnby Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 15/8F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tommy Dowling's strike rate?
Tommy Dowling has won 28 of 299 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Tommy Dowling ride most for?
Charlie Mann, with 84 rides since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (16.7%).
What is Tommy Dowling's Fair A/E?
1.21, from 299 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).