Morgan Cole
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 10% (40 rides).
The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (11%, n=82), clear of the rider's 7.1% baseline. It is weakest at Lingfield (AW) (3.3% over 30 rides) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 6.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −243.03 to a £1 stake over 406 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ed Dunlop supplies 16% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.2% vs 7.1%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (10.4%, n=96). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 2.8% over 36 rides, 4.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good to Firm going: Fair A/E 0.51 across 67 rides (4.5% strike, −44.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Sep.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2018→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 573 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 573 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 August 2018 to 30 October 2025.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Morgan Cole's strike rate?
- Morgan Cole has won 33 of 466 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Morgan Cole do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 82 rides (11%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Morgan Cole ride most for?
- Ed Dunlop, with 76 rides since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (9.2%).
- What is Morgan Cole's Fair A/E?
- 0.81, from 463 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.