Skip to content
Jockey profile

Morgan Cole

466 rides in the last 5 seasons · 273 individual horses
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2025 100% of rides on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
33–466
Wins / Runs
7.1%
Strike rate
n=466
118 (25%)
Placed
0.81
n=463 · 0.69 incl. margin
−278.08
£1 level stake
n=466 at SP · −59.7%
£356k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.4%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 10% (40 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 466 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 7 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Sep Ed Dunlop: 9.2% from 76 First rides: 8.4% LTO winners: 10%
The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (11%, n=82), clear of the rider's 7.1% baseline. It is weakest at Lingfield (AW) (3.3% over 30 rides) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 6.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −243.03 to a £1 stake over 406 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ed Dunlop supplies 16% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.2% vs 7.1%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (10.4%, n=96). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 2.8% over 36 rides, 4.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good to Firm going: Fair A/E 0.51 across 67 rides (4.5% strike, −44.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
8.4%+1.3
n=261 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −132.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
10%+2.9
n=40 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −29.08
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.5%−1.6
n=73 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −51.75
When favourite
30.8%
n=26 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −3.76
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.9%−0.2
n=406 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −243.03
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.9%−1.2
n=34 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −27.18

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Sir Mark Prescott Bt 18.8% vs 7.1% · n=32
At Wolverhampton (AW) 11% vs 7.1% · n=82
On Soft going 2.8% vs 7.1% · n=36
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 10.4% vs 7.1% · n=96
At Lingfield (AW) 3.3% vs 7.1% · n=30
On Good to Firm going 4.5% vs 7.1% · n=67
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 277 22 7.9% −163.16
Good to Firm 67 3 4.5% −44.50
Good 44 4 9.1% −9.67
Soft 36 1 2.8% −31.50
Good to Soft 30 2 6.7% −23.25
Heavy 9 1 11.1% −3.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 82 9 11% −25.20
Southwell (AW) 52 3 5.8% −36.30
Kempton (AW) 44 4 9.1% −27.28
Chelmsford City (AW) 41 2 4.9% −30.88
Lingfield (AW) 30 1 3.3% −26.50
Newcastle (AW) 28 3 10.7% −17.00
Bath 13 0 0% −13.00
Brighton 13 1 7.7% −6.50
Yarmouth 13 1 7.7% −6.00
Catterick 13 0 0% −13.00
Chepstow 12 2 16.7% −4.17
Haydock 12 0 0% −12.00
Doncaster 12 0 0% −12.00
Lingfield 11 1 9.1% −8.00
Leicester 11 0 0% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 206 16 7.8% −95.90
Class 5 156 11 7.1% −114.51
Class 4 72 5 6.9% −41.17
Class 2 19 1 5.3% −13.50
Class 3 11 0 0% −11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 31 10 32.3% 1.19 −0.76
2nd–3rd fav 99 11 11.1% 0.73 −42.82
4th–6th fav 142 12 8.5% 1.03 −40.50
7th+ in betting 194 0 0% 0.00 −194.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Genesius (IRE) 15 1 8 14 Oct 24
Street Life (GB) 14 1 4 25 Jun 25
The Tron (GB) 14 2 10 7 Dec 23
Battle Point (IRE) 10 0 2 29 Sep 25
Cerulean Summer (IRE) 7 1 5 18 Feb 25
Cubanista (GB) 7 0 3 9 Oct 24
Almodovar Del Rio (IRE) 7 1 3 6 Jun 23
Turner Girl (IRE) 6 1 6 10 May 24
Sterling Knight (GB) 5 1 2 25 May 24
Nikki's Girl (IRE) 5 1 2 27 Feb 24
Royal Mariner (IRE) 5 0 0 20 Feb 24
Gonzaga (GB) 5 0 0 28 Jul 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 273 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
550128310119673
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardEd Dunlop
16% of all rides
9.2% SR · A/E 1.16
TrainerRWSR£1
Ed Dunlop 76 7 9.2% −37.88
Dylan Cunha 48 4 8.3% −7.50
Marco Botti 39 3 7.7% −18.00
Derek Shaw 32 2 6.3% −26.00
Sir Mark Prescott Bt 32 6 18.8% −9.42
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
43
Archived wins
£440k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 18 wins
Soar Above (GB) — Wise Betting At Racing TV Handicap Kempton (AW) · Apr 2022 · Class 2
£12,885
Street Life (GB) — Sky Bet Sunday Apprentice Training Series Handicap Haydock · Sep 2021 · Class 4
£12,885
Toby Tops (GB) — Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Ascot · May 2025 · Class 4
£8,451

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Outstrip (GB) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,289 runs since 2019 (240 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 635. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.7% from 265.
Teofilo (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,085 runs since 2011 (908 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 626.
Havana Gold (IRE) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,064 runs since 2017 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 118. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.
Hot Streak (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 8% of 1,759 runs since 2019 (123 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 782. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.9% from 154.
Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,983 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Muhaarar (GB) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,826 runs since 2019 (415 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 573 · newest first

The latest 50 of 573 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 August 2018 to 30 October 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Sep 25 Chester Run Of Luck (GB)T: Ed de Giles Tribal Society HandicapClass 5 · 14.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 4th 15/2
22 Aug 25 Newmarket Huggable (GB)T: Dylan Cunha JenningsBet Sudbury HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 2nd 9/4

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Morgan Cole's strike rate?
Morgan Cole has won 33 of 466 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Morgan Cole do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 82 rides (11%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Morgan Cole ride most for?
Ed Dunlop, with 76 rides since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (9.2%).
What is Morgan Cole's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 463 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 7 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).