What is Adam Grant's strike rate?

Adam Grant has won 6 of 111 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Adam Grant do best at?

Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 50 rides (8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Adam Grant in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Adam Grant's Fair A/E?

0.69, from 111 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Adam Grant

111 rides in the last 5 seasons · 74 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 5 days ago 99% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)

from 1 Jan 2022

6–111

Wins / Runs

5.4%

Strike rate

n=111

32 (29%)

Placed

0.69

Fair A/E

n=111 · 0.55 incl. margin

−70.50

£1 level stake

n=111 at SP · −63.5%

£119k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.69).

Deterministic profile computed from 111 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Claiming: 5.5%

The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 5.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.71 and −69.50 to a £1 stake over 110 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.70 across 110 rides (5.5% strike, −69.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.4%+0.0

n=74 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −47.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

11.1%+5.7

n=9 · A/E 0.74 · £1 +1.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

0%−5.4

n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00

When favourite

12.5%

n=8 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −4.50

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.5%+0.1

n=110 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −69.50

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.1%−0.3

n=59 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −41.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Dundalk (AW) 8% vs 5.4% · n=50

On Standard (AW) going 8% vs 5.4% · n=50

In Flat races 5.5% vs 5.4% · n=110 · A/E 0.70

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 110 6 5.5% −69.50

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 50 4 8% −26.50

Soft 26 0 0% −26.00

Good 21 1 4.8% −14.00

Heavy 8 1 12.5% +2.00

Good to Soft 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 50 4 8% −26.50

Curragh 9 0 0% −9.00

Naas 8 0 0% −8.00

Navan 7 0 0% −7.00

Gowran Park 7 0 0% −7.00

Bellewstown 5 1 20% +5.00

Leopardstown 5 1 20% +2.00

Down Royal 4 0 0% −4.00

Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00

Limerick 4 0 0% −4.00

Killarney 2 0 0% −2.00

Thurles (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00

Sligo (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00

Galway 1 0 0% −1.00

Fairyhouse 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 11 2 18.2% 0.91 −3.00

2nd–3rd fav 18 2 11.1% 0.75 −4.00

4th–6th fav 31 2 6.5% 0.85 −12.50

7th+ in betting 51 0 0% 0.00 −51.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Storm Eric (IRE) 6 1 3 30 Oct 26

Nakasero (IRE) 6 1 3 25 Sep 26

Barbapapa (IRE) 5 1 3 9 Oct 26

Moyassr (IRE) 3 1 1 15 May 26

Fast Tara (IRE) 3 0 2 25 Apr 26

Timandi (IRE) 3 0 0 15 Mar 26

Waystar (IRE) 3 0 1 13 Jan 26

Prince Of Love (IRE) 3 0 0 19 Oct 25

Red Glory (IRE) 2 0 1 8 Oct 26

Little Sure Shot (IRE) 2 0 0 2 Oct 26

Stepdance (IRE) 2 0 0 27 Aug 26

Young Churchill (IRE) 2 0 1 5 Aug 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 74 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

140000008107014

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardHenry De Bromhead

29% of all rides
6.3% SR · A/E 0.62

TrainerRWSR£1

Henry De Bromhead 32 2 6.3% −16.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→

Archived wins

£119k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 3 wins

Barbapapa (IRE) — Bar One Double Odds First Goalscorer Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Oct 2025

£12,980

Little Queenie (IRE) — BAR 1 Betting Download New App Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Dec 2025

£11,800

Nakasero (IRE) — TOTE Handicap Leopardstown · Aug 2025

£11,800

Notable horses

Nakasero (IRE) Storm Eric (IRE) Barbapapa (IRE) Moyassr (IRE) Little Queenie (IRE) Arch Enemy (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,883 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

Estidhkaar (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 6.9% of 1,592 runs since 2020 (112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 119. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 229.

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,203 runs since 2014 (664 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,196.

Camacho (GB) 20% · 1–5

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,324 runs since 2009 (596 horses).

Fast Company (IRE) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,599 runs since 2014 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.

Mehmas (IRE) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,201 runs since 2020 (751 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 111 · newest first

The latest 50 of 111 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 June 2025 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Storm Eric (IRE)T: Jamie Flynn Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 11/2

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Premier View (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Fastfix Quay Celtic 60th Anniversary Nursery Handicap5f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 3/1F

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Phoenix Pairc (IRE)T: W. McCreery Halloween Mid-Term Racing Next Week Apprentice Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 7/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Laser Luck (GB)T: Patrick Magee Navan Racecourse Handicap14f · Yielding · 23 ran 18th 66/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Senna's Girl (IRE)T: Diego Dias Bill Hanlon Memorial Fillies Maiden12f · Yielding · 7 ran 7th 66/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Silent Kingdom (IRE)T: Diego Dias Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 15 ran 9th 200/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Navy Guitar (IRE)T: Diego Dias Boyle Maiden10.5f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 25/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Guy's Girl (IRE)T: W. McCreery TRM Calphormin - Strong Foundation, Strong Future Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 7/2F

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Storm Eric (IRE)T: Jamie Flynn View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 6/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Barbapapa (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 3/1F

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Red Glory (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Welcome Back To Thurles Handicap12.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 100/30J

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) My Cubby Bear (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Buy Now & Save With The Real Deal Bundle Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 3rd 2/1

02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Little Sure Shot (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Maiden7f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 25/1

30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Arch Enemy (IRE)T: Patrick Magee Paddy Woods Memorial Apprentice Series Final Apprentice Handicap12.5f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 1st 9/1

28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Barbapapa (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap7f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 9/2F

25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Nakasero (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Bookings Open For Christmas Parties At Dundalk Stadium Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 18/1

25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Storm Eric (IRE)T: Jamie Flynn Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 4/1

19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Anushka (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Racing Again October 2nd & 3rd Race7f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 7th 22/1

18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Nakasero (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Apprentice Handicap12f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 4/1

18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Storm Eric (IRE)T: Jamie Flynn SIS, Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Adam Grant's strike rate?: Adam Grant has won 6 of 111 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Adam Grant do best at?: Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 50 rides (8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Adam Grant in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Adam Grant's Fair A/E?: 0.69, from 111 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.