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Jockey profile

Adam Grant

113 rides in the last 5 seasons · 75 individual horses
As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 2 days ago 99% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)
from 1 Jan 2022
6–113
Wins / Runs
5.3%
Strike rate
n=113
33 (29%)
Placed
0.69
Fair A/E
n=113 · 0.54 incl. margin
−72.50
£1 level stake
n=113 at SP · −64.2%
£120k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.6%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.69).

Deterministic profile computed from 113 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 8 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming: 5.4%
The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 5.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −71.50 to a £1 stake over 112 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.69 across 112 rides (5.4% strike, −71.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.3%+0.0
n=75 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −48.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
11.1%+5.8
n=9 · A/E 0.74 · £1 +1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−5.3
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
When favourite
12.5%
n=8 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −4.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.4%+0.1
n=112 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −71.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
5%−0.3
n=60 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −42.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Dundalk (AW) 7.7% vs 5.3% · n=52
On Standard (AW) going 7.7% vs 5.3% · n=52
In Flat races 5.4% vs 5.3% · n=112 · A/E 0.69
When claiming 5.4% vs 5.3% · n=112 · A/E 0.70
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 8.3% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 112 6 5.4% −71.50
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 52 4 7.7% −28.50
Soft 26 0 0% −26.00
Good 21 1 4.8% −14.00
Heavy 8 1 12.5% +2.00
Good to Soft 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 52 4 7.7% −28.50
Curragh 9 0 0% −9.00
Naas 8 0 0% −8.00
Navan 7 0 0% −7.00
Gowran Park 7 0 0% −7.00
Bellewstown 5 1 20% +5.00
Leopardstown 5 1 20% +2.00
Down Royal 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00
Limerick 4 0 0% −4.00
Killarney 2 0 0% −2.00
Thurles (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00
Sligo (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00
Galway 1 0 0% −1.00
Fairyhouse 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 2 18.2% 0.91 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 18 2 11.1% 0.75 −4.00
4th–6th fav 32 2 6.3% 0.83 −13.50
7th+ in betting 52 0 0% 0.00 −52.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Storm Eric (IRE) 7 1 4 6 Nov 26
Nakasero (IRE) 6 1 3 25 Sep 26
Barbapapa (IRE) 5 1 3 9 Oct 26
Moyassr (IRE) 3 1 1 15 May 26
Fast Tara (IRE) 3 0 2 25 Apr 26
Timandi (IRE) 3 0 0 15 Mar 26
Waystar (IRE) 3 0 1 13 Jan 26
Prince Of Love (IRE) 3 0 0 19 Oct 25
Red Glory (IRE) 2 0 1 8 Oct 26
Little Sure Shot (IRE) 2 0 0 2 Oct 26
Stepdance (IRE) 2 0 0 27 Aug 26
Young Churchill (IRE) 2 0 1 5 Aug 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 75 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
140000008107014
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardHenry De Bromhead
28% of all rides
6.3% SR · A/E 0.62
TrainerRWSR£1
Henry De Bromhead 32 2 6.3% −16.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→
6
Archived wins
£120k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 3 wins
Barbapapa (IRE) — Bar One Double Odds First Goalscorer Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Oct 2025
£12,980
Little Queenie (IRE) — BAR 1 Betting Download New App Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Dec 2025
£11,800
Nakasero (IRE) — TOTE Handicap Leopardstown · Aug 2025
£11,800
Notable horses
Storm Eric (IRE) Nakasero (IRE) Barbapapa (IRE) Moyassr (IRE) Little Queenie (IRE) Arch Enemy (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Estidhkaar (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 6.9% of 1,595 runs since 2020 (112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 119. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 229.
Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,886 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.
Starspangledbanner (AUS) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,225 runs since 2014 (664 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,199.
Camacho (GB) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,326 runs since 2009 (596 horses).
Fast Company (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,602 runs since 2014 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.
Mehmas (IRE) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,232 runs since 2020 (753 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 113 · newest first

The latest 50 of 113 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 June 2025 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Storm Eric (IRE)T: Jamie Flynn BAR 1 Betting 'Acca Boost' Apprentice Handicap12f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 11/1
04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Miss Glenville (IRE)T: Paul Power Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 40/1
30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Storm Eric (IRE)T: Jamie Flynn Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 11/2
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Premier View (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Fastfix Quay Celtic 60th Anniversary Nursery Handicap5f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 3/1F
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Phoenix Pairc (IRE)T: W. McCreery Halloween Mid-Term Racing Next Week Apprentice Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 7/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Laser Luck (GB)T: Patrick Magee Navan Racecourse Handicap14f · Yielding · 23 ran 18th 66/1
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Senna's Girl (IRE)T: Diego Dias Bill Hanlon Memorial Fillies Maiden12f · Yielding · 7 ran 7th 66/1
17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Silent Kingdom (IRE)T: Diego Dias Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 15 ran 9th 200/1
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Navy Guitar (IRE)T: Diego Dias Boyle Maiden10.5f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 25/1
11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Guy's Girl (IRE)T: W. McCreery TRM Calphormin - Strong Foundation, Strong Future Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 7/2F
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Storm Eric (IRE)T: Jamie Flynn View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 6/1
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Barbapapa (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 3/1F
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Red Glory (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Welcome Back To Thurles Handicap12.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 100/30J
07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) My Cubby Bear (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Buy Now & Save With The Real Deal Bundle Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 3rd 2/1
02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Little Sure Shot (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Maiden7f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 25/1
30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Arch Enemy (IRE)T: Patrick Magee Paddy Woods Memorial Apprentice Series Final Apprentice Handicap12.5f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 1st 9/1
28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Barbapapa (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap7f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 9/2F
25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Nakasero (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Bookings Open For Christmas Parties At Dundalk Stadium Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 18/1
25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Storm Eric (IRE)T: Jamie Flynn Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 4/1
19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Anushka (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Racing Again October 2nd & 3rd Race7f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 7th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Adam Grant's strike rate?
Adam Grant has won 6 of 113 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Adam Grant do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 52 rides (7.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Adam Grant in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Adam Grant's Fair A/E?
0.69, from 113 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 8 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).