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Trainer profile

Thomas Coyle

301 runners in the last 5 seasons · 41 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)
from 1 Jan 2022
13–301
Wins / Runs
4.3%
Strike rate
n=301
55 (18%)
Placed
0.86
Fair A/E
n=301 · 0.67 incl. margin
−125.00
£1 level stake
n=301 at SP · −41.5%
£177k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
2.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.86).

Deterministic profile computed from 301 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance James Ryan: 7.5% from 80
The read

The record is strongest at Roscommon (9.7%, n=31), clear of the yard's 4.3% baseline. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −72.50 to a £1 stake over 189 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. James Ryan rides 27% of the entries and edges the yard's average (7.5% vs 4.3%, A/E 1.47) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 39 runners, 4.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.26 across 82 runners (1.2% strike, −65.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.1%−0.2
n=49 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +0.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.3%+1.0
n=19 · A/E 1.88 · £1 +4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.3
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
11.8%+7.5
n=17 · A/E 2.41 · £1 +4.50
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 1.06 · £1 +0.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.2%−0.1
n=189 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −72.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Roscommon 9.7% vs 4.3% · n=31
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 4.3% · n=39
With James Ryan 7.5% vs 4.3% · n=80
In Hurdle races 1.2% vs 4.3% · n=82
Off a 31-60-day break 1.3% vs 4.3% · n=75
At Dundalk (AW) 1.5% vs 4.3% · n=67
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 200 10 5% −79.00
Hurdle 82 1 1.2% −65.00
NH Flat 12 0 0% −12.00
Chase 7 2 28.6% +31.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 95 4 4.2% −25.00
Soft 78 3 3.8% −48.00
Standard (AW) 67 1 1.5% −41.00
Good to Soft 33 2 6.1% −5.00
Heavy 26 3 11.5% −4.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 67 1 1.5% −41.00
Roscommon 31 3 9.7% +5.50
Gowran Park 22 0 0% −22.00
Sligo 21 1 4.8% −4.00
Fairyhouse 17 0 0% −17.00
Ballinrobe 15 0 0% −15.00
Bellewstown 15 2 13.3% −3.00
Curragh 14 2 14.3% +7.50
Navan 12 0 0% −12.00
Galway 11 0 0% −11.00
Naas 11 1 9.1% +4.00
Leopardstown 10 1 10% +0.00
Punchestown 8 0 0% −8.00
Cork 7 0 0% −7.00
Down Royal 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 2 28.6% 1.64 +5.00
2nd–3rd fav 33 2 6.1% 0.50 −18.00
4th–6th fav 63 3 4.8% 0.64 −10.00
7th+ in betting 198 6 3% 1.15 −102.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Manhattan Dandy (IRE)from Ciaran Murphy 53 3 15 12 Oct 26
Selective Power (IRE)from Edward Lynam 31 4 9 12 Oct 26
River Derwent (GB)from R Donohoe 26 1 4 25 Sep 26
Divilabother (IRE)then Tristan Davidson 14 0 6 15 Jul 25
Morning Logic (IRE) 13 1 3 29 Mar 25
Lunar Landscape (GB)from C Byrnes 12 0 3 23 Sep 26
Run Forrest Run (IRE)from Micky Fenton · then Laura Hourigan 12 0 1 17 Dec 25
Tomahawk King (IRE)from Micky Fenton 11 0 2 21 Nov 25
Vocology (IRE) 8 0 0 21 Jul 26
It Might Be You (IRE)from Michael Mulvany 8 0 1 8 Jul 23
Sarfarcat (IRE) 7 0 0 16 Oct 26
Frontier Rose (GB)from T G McCourt 7 0 0 5 Oct 26
All 41 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 41 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C Byrnes (3) and Gavin Cromwell (3); 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for Tristan Davidson (2); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00011309310307
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJames Ryan
27% of all rides
7.5% SR · A/E 1.47
RiderRWSR£1
James Ryan 80 6 7.5% −1.00
Robert Whearty 42 2 4.8% −23.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
16
Archived wins
£221k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 4 wins
Merisi Diamond (IRE) — 1xBet.ie Supports Safe Gambling Handicap Curragh · Apr 2026
£12,369
Fortunate Lighting (IRE) — Lighthouse At Clifford Electrical Handicap Hurdle Sligo · Aug 2025
£11,800
Selective Power (IRE) — Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Handicap (47-65) Curragh · Oct 2024
£11,800
Notable horses
Selective Power (IRE) Manhattan Dandy (IRE) Krujers Girl (IRE) River Derwent (GB) Rolling Revenge (IRE) Morning Logic (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dandy Man (IRE) 5.7% · 3–53
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,917 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Tamayuz (GB) 12.9% · 4–31
Progeny have won 10.4% of 5,180 runs since 2008 (401 horses).
Kingman (GB) 3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,470 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.1% from 959. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.
Markaz (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 9.6% of 997 runs since 2008 (66 horses).
Dream Ahead (USA) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,678 runs since 2008 (528 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6% from 184.
Bobby's Kitten (USA) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 8% of 1,666 runs since 2008 (144 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 501 · newest first

The latest 50 of 501 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 June 2015 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Sarfarcat (IRE)J: James Ryan Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 100/1
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Manhattan Dandy (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div II)7.5f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 18/1
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Selective Power (IRE)J: James Ryan Guinness Handicap7.5f · Soft · 14 ran 10th 7/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Tawny Lea (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 14 ran 12th 9/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Whiskey Serenade (GB)J: Alex Harvey Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 14 ran 9th 22/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Frontier Rose (GB)J: Alex Harvey Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 16 ran 11th 9/2
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) River Moy (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 6 ran 5th 25/1
30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Manhattan Dandy (IRE)J: Jimmy Dalton BOYLE Sports Handicap8f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 14th 7/1
30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Selective Power (IRE)J: James Ryan BOYLE Sports Handicap8f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 1st 11/2J
25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) River Derwent (GB)J: James Ryan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 50/1
25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Sarfarcat (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Claiming Maiden6f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 100/1
23 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Lunar Landscape (GB)J: Alex Harvey Brandon Hotel Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran 12th 7/1
19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Selective Power (IRE)J: James Ryan BOYLE Sports Home Of Early Payout Handicap8f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 5th 7/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Frontier Rose (GB)J: Alex Harvey Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (Div II)19f · Good · 16 ran 5th 9/1
18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Manhattan Dandy (IRE)J: Reese Holohan SIS, Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 66/1
08 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Merisi Diamond (IRE)J: W J Lee Racing In The City Of Tribes Handicap7f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 3/1F
07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Tawny Lea (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes WTW Willis Handicap Hurdle (Div II)22.5f · Yielding · 19 ran 7th 14/1
04 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Sarfarcat (IRE)J: James Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 250/1
01 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Selective Power (IRE)J: Jack Kearney Societies Welcome At Gowran Park Apprentice Handicap8f · Yielding · 16 ran 4th 5/1
31 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Merisi Diamond (IRE)J: W J Lee Lidan Handicap7.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 5th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Thomas Coyle's strike rate?
Thomas Coyle has won 13 of 301 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Thomas Coyle do best at?
Roscommon by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 runners (9.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Thomas Coyle?
James Ryan, with 80 runners since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (7.5%).
Is Thomas Coyle in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Thomas Coyle's Fair A/E?
0.86, from 301 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).