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Trainer profile

Miss Kate McGivern

102 runners in the last 5 seasons · 11 individual horses
As at 30 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 21 days ago 95% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2022
11–102
Wins / Runs
10.8%
Strike rate
n=102
26 (26%)
Placed
1.54
Fair A/E
n=102 · 1.26 incl. margin
−10.59
£1 level stake
n=102 at SP · −10.4%
£299k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
13%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.54).

Deterministic profile computed from 102 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 30 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Chris Hayes: 11.1% from 54
The read

Chris Hayes rides 53% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.1%, A/E 1.61) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (19.6%, n=51) and on Good going (17.4%, n=46). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 2.6% over 38 runners, 8.2pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Sky Bet Extra Places Every Day Premier Handicap at Curragh (Jun 2024, £29,500). The stable star of the record: Kendall Roy (GB) — 6 wins from 24 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
14.3%+3.5
n=14 · A/E 2.87 · £1 +23.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
33.3%+22.5
n=3 · A/E 6.00 · £1 +7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−10.8
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
16.7%+5.9
n=6 · A/E 2.92 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−10.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
50%
n=6 · A/E 1.92 · £1 +4.41
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−10.8
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5.6%−5.2
n=18 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +11.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At trips under 6f 19.6% vs 10.8% · n=51
Over 6f – 7f 2.6% vs 10.8% · n=38
On Good going 17.4% vs 10.8% · n=46
With a new jockey booking 12.8% vs 10.8% · n=39
In Flat races 11.3% vs 10.8% · n=97 · A/E 1.61
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 97 11 11.3% −5.59
Hurdle 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 46 8 17.4% +28.50
Standard (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00
Soft 15 1 6.7% −13.09
Good to Firm 12 1 8.3% −2.00
Good to Soft 7 1 14.3% −2.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 20 3 15% +22.50
Dundalk (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00
Curragh 18 1 5.6% −14.00
Naas 16 3 18.8% +0.00
Tipperary 4 0 0% −4.00
Bellewstown 3 1 33.3% +7.00
Leopardstown 3 0 0% −3.00
York 2 0 0% −2.00
Fairyhouse (IRE) 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 2 0 0% −2.00
Ayr 1 0 0% −1.00
Longchamp (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Goodwood 1 0 0% −1.00
Wexford 1 0 0% −1.00
Ascot 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 18 1 5.6% +11.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 2 1 50% −0.09
Class 4 1 1 100% +7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 3 42.9% 1.73 +3.41
2nd–3rd fav 14 3 21.4% 1.43 +1.00
4th–6th fav 25 4 16% 2.19 +12.00
7th+ in betting 56 1 1.8% 0.66 −27.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Kendall Roy (GB) 24 6 11 26 Sep 26
So Majestic (IRE) 24 2 6 1 Sep 24
Temperance (IRE) 19 1 4 9 Oct 26
Luna Beaux (IRE)then Adrian Wintle 8 0 0 3 Dec 25
Al Yasat (IRE) 6 0 0 5 Aug 24
Grayrobin (GB)from Archie Watson 5 2 3 2 Oct 26
Eaton Lady (IRE)from Paul Nolan · then Gary Brown 5 0 2 5 Aug 22
Ebony Reign (IRE) 4 0 0 9 Oct 26
Palavar (IRE)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien · then Daragh Bourke 3 0 0 19 Dec 25
Fox Degree (IRE)from Ralph Beckett 3 0 0 30 Jun 23
North East Star (IRE) 1 0 0 9 Dec 22
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 11 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 8 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
·002210271908000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderChris Hayes
53% of all rides
11.1% SR · A/E 1.61
RiderRWSR£1
Chris Hayes 54 6 11.1% +10.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
11
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£302k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 4 wins
Kendall Roy (GB) — Sky Bet Extra Places Every Day Premier Handicap Curragh · Jun 2024
£29,500
Kendall Roy (GB) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Midsummer Sprint Stakes (Listed) Cork · Jun 2026 · Listed
£29,450
Kendall Roy (GB) — Doneraile Handicap (Premier Handicap) Cork · Jul 2024
£26,550
Notable horses
Kendall Roy (GB) So Majestic (IRE) Grayrobin (GB) Temperance (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Siyouni (FR) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 13% of 8,342 runs since 2008 (978 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 457.
Twilight Son (GB) 25% · 6–24
Progeny have won 9.6% of 3,657 runs since 2008 (283 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.6% from 618.
Churchill (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 11% of 4,823 runs since 2008 (461 horses).
Saxon Warrior (JPN) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 11.5% of 2,908 runs since 2008 (362 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.9% from 941. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 142.
Starspangledbanner (AUS) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,180 runs since 2008 (662 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,191.
Havana Grey (GB) 40% · 2–5
Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,576 runs since 2008 (418 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 418.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 30 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 110 · newest first

The latest 50 of 110 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 June 2021 to 9 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Ebony Reign (IRE)J: Keithen Kennedy View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 100/1
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Temperance (IRE)J: Chris Hayes BAR 1 Betting 'First For Football' Handicap8f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 25/1
02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Temperance (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap7f · Standard · 5 ran 3rd 25/1
02 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Grayrobin (GB)J: Gavin Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Legacy Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 13/2
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Temperance (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Izuzu Ireland Handicap7f · Yielding · 10 ran 7th 25/1
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Kendall Roy (GB)J: Chris Hayes Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap5f · Yielding · 20 ran 20th 25/1
21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Temperance (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap7f · Good · 12 ran 8th 33/1
21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Ebony Reign (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Kilminfoyle House Stud Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 17 ran 13th 300/1
03 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Grayrobin (GB)J: Chris Hayes Prix D'arenbergClass 1 · 5f · Very Soft · 5 ran 5th 8/1
30 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Kendall Roy (GB)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Abergwaun Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 5f · Yielding · 8 ran 8th 7/2
23 Aug 26 Naas (IRE) Temperance (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Tally-Ho Stud Irish EBF Ballyogan Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 8 ran 7th 100/1
16 Aug 26 Curragh (IRE) Grayrobin (GB)J: Chris Hayes William Hill Irish EBF Juvenile Sprint Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 15/2
14 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Temperance (IRE)J: Chris Hayes NFP Irish EBF Platinum Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 7th 100/1
08 Aug 26 Ascot Kendall Roy (GB)J: Mme Frida Valle Skar Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Class 2 Handicap)Class 2 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 6th 9/1
24 Jul 26 Cork (IRE) Kendall Roy (GB)J: Chris Hayes Doneraile Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 3rd 15/2
24 Jul 26 Cork (IRE) Grayrobin (GB)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms EBF Rated Race5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 9/1
22 Jul 26 Naas (IRE) Temperance (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Yeomanstown Stud Irish EBF Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 15 ran 11th 66/1
18 Jul 26 Curragh (IRE) Kendall Roy (GB)J: Chris Hayes Tulfarris Hotel And Golf Resort Sapphire Stakes (Group 2)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 40/1
02 Jul 26 Bellewstown Grayrobin (GB)J: Chris Hayes Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 9/1
28 Jun 26 Curragh Temperance (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Jebel Ali Racecourse & Stables Dash Stakes (Listed)6f · Good · 9 ran 6th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Miss Kate McGivern's strike rate?
Miss Kate McGivern has won 11 of 102 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.8% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Miss Kate McGivern?
Chris Hayes, with 54 runners since 2022 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (11.1%).
What is Miss Kate McGivern's Fair A/E?
1.54, from 102 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 30 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).