Amy Jo Hayes
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.34). Rides mostly for Andrew Slattery — 44% of rides in the window.
It is weakest at Dundalk (AW) (0% over 47 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides in big fields of 14 or more are the standout value angle: 9.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.74 and +43.50 to a £1 stake over 104 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Andrew Slattery supplies 44% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (6.5% vs 8.6%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Good going (19%, n=63) and over 1m2f – 1m4f (15%, n=40). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 0% over 47 rides, 8.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.32 across 55 rides (1.8% strike, −42.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2020→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 207 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 207 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 January 2020 to 13 June 2025.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Amy Jo Hayes's strike rate?
- Amy Jo Hayes has won 15 of 174 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Amy Jo Hayes do best at?
- Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 0 wins from 47 rides (0%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Amy Jo Hayes ride most for?
- Andrew Slattery, with 77 rides since 2022 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6.5%).
- What is Amy Jo Hayes's Fair A/E?
- 1.34, from 174 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.