Skip to content
Trainer profile

John E & Thomas Kiely

218 runners in the last 5 seasons · 34 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 6 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)
from 1 Jan 2022
14–218
Wins / Runs
6.4%
Strike rate
n=218
55 (25%)
Placed
0.64
Fair A/E
n=218 · 0.51 incl. margin
−137.68
£1 level stake
n=218 at SP · −63.2%
£202k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.64). With a claiming rider up the record reads 10% (98 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 218 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Mr J L Gleeson: 10.9% from 64 Claiming riders: 10.2%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 10.2% (n=98, Fair A/E 1.06), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.6% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.29). Mr J L Gleeson rides 29% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.9% vs 6.4%, A/E 0.94). The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.40 across 77 runners (3.9% strike, −54.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.6%−3.8
n=38 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −36.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.4
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
4.5%−1.9
n=22 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
12.5%+6.1
n=8 · A/E 2.05 · £1 +4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.4
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
35.3%
n=17 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −0.43
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
10.2%+3.8
n=98 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −33.76
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Mr J L Gleeson 10.9% vs 6.4% · n=64
With claiming riders up 10.2% vs 6.4% · n=98
Off a 15-30-day break 3.9% vs 6.4% · n=77
In NH Flat races 9.1% vs 6.4% · n=44
With horses switching code 4% vs 6.4% · n=50
Over 1m5f – 2m 8.4% vs 6.4% · n=95
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 96 5 5.2% −53.67
Flat 67 5 7.5% −41.55
NH Flat 44 4 9.1% −31.46
Chase 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 79 4 5.1% −46.30
Good 62 5 8.1% −32.88
Good to Soft 39 3 7.7% −27.25
Heavy 26 1 3.8% −22.50
Standard (AW) 9 1 11.1% −5.75
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 21 3 14.3% −3.71
Tramore 17 2 11.8% −7.80
Punchestown 17 0 0% −17.00
Killarney 15 1 6.7% −8.50
Tipperary 14 0 0% −14.00
Listowel 14 1 7.1% +1.00
Leopardstown 14 1 7.1% −12.50
Wexford 12 1 8.3% −8.75
Limerick 12 2 16.7% +3.50
Fairyhouse 11 0 0% −11.00
Dundalk (AW) 9 1 11.1% −5.75
Gowran Park 8 0 0% −8.00
Naas 7 0 0% −7.00
Galway 6 1 16.7% −1.50
Navan 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 23 6 26.1% 0.96 −6.43
2nd–3rd fav 51 4 7.8% 0.49 −32.75
4th–6th fav 69 2 2.9% 0.39 −50.50
7th+ in betting 75 2 2.7% 0.91 −48.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Liberated Light (IRE)from John E Kiely 32 3 7 26 Sep 26
Fraher Field (IRE) 15 2 7 14 Oct 26
Joyeux Vivo (FR)from John E Kiely 15 0 5 30 Oct 25
Miss Aytan (IRE) 14 0 0 5 Sep 24
Amboyna (IRE) 13 1 5 26 Oct 25
The Names Jock (IRE)from John E Kiely 13 0 2 22 Jul 25
Black Soul (IRE)from John E Kiely · then Paul Stephen Kiely 13 0 3 15 Nov 24
A Dream To Share (IRE)from John E Kiely 11 1 2 1 Feb 26
Major Barry (IRE)then Paul Stephen Kiely 10 2 5 6 Sep 24
Moyassr (IRE)from Owen Burrows · then Paul W Flynn 8 1 2 5 Jun 25
Meitheal (IRE) 8 2 4 13 Jan 25
Ma Belle Etoile (IRE)then Henry De Bromhead 7 1 3 3 Jun 24
All 34 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 34 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John E Kiely (11); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Paul Stephen Kiely (2); 26 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0000566108987
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr J L Gleeson
29% of all rides
10.9% SR · A/E 0.94
RiderRWSR£1
Mr J L Gleeson 64 7 10.9% −27.96
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→
14
Archived wins
£202k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 7 wins
Fraher Field (IRE) — Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle Listowel (IRE) · Sep 2026
£10,500
Major Barry (IRE) — Fermoy Handicap Hurdle Cork · Aug 2024
£8,850
A Dream To Share (IRE) — Leopardstown Members (Q.R.) Maiden Leopardstown · Jun 2025
£8,850
Notable horses
Liberated Light (IRE) Fraher Field (IRE) Major Barry (IRE) Meitheal (IRE) Amboyna (IRE) A Dream To Share (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Muhaarar (GB) 9.3% · 4–43
Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,781 runs since 2008 (411 horses).
Order Of St George (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,133 runs since 2008 (197 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.5% from 474.
Kapgarde (FR) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,607 runs since 2008 (723 horses).
Mount Nelson (GB) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,257 runs since 2008 (538 horses).
Excelebration (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 9% of 3,605 runs since 2008 (244 horses).
Elvstroem (AUS) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 5.9% of 454 runs since 2008 (66 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 218 · newest first

The latest 50 of 218 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 May 2023 to 14 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Fraher Field (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Matchbook Betting Exchange Mares Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 4/1
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Shuil Solas (IRE)J: Mr Derek O'Connor Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 9/2
10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Gaelic Seer (IRE)J: Anna McGuinness Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 10 ran 5th 9/4F
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) The Last Line (IRE)J: Mr Hugh Lillingston GavinLynchRacing.com Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 12th 20/1
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Liberated Light (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 9th 7/2F
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Shuil Solas (IRE)J: Mr Derek O'Connor Shanahan Power Irish EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 14/1
21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Liberated Light (IRE)J: Conor Cusack Gerard Lynch Memorial Handicap14f · Yielding · 15 ran 5th 14/1
20 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Fraher Field (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Kinisla Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran 1st 14/1
11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Gaelic Seer (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson John Madden & Sons (Pro-Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 5 ran 3rd 5/1
02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Liberated Light (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Kilberry (Q.R.) Handicap16f · Good · 16 ran 3rd 28/1
01 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Fraher Field (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Racing Again September 19th Maiden14f · Yielding · 13 ran 12th 33/1
13 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Fraher Field (IRE)J: Miss A B O'Connor Conor Lannen Country Store (Ladies) Maiden16f · Good · 9 ran 4th 14/1
07 Aug 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Liberated Light (IRE)J: Miss O M Queally 1XBET.IE COMMITMENT TO IRISH RACING (Ladies) Handicap12.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 15/2
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Shuil Solas (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Good · 12 ran 9th 7/4F
03 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Fraher Field (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan www.mourneabbeyoil.ie Mares Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 18 ran 2nd 12/1
17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Fraher Field (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Killarney Grand Mares Maiden Hurdle23f · Good · 15 ran 6th 11/2
07 Jul 26 Tramore Liberated Light (IRE)J: Ben Coen August Festival Early Bird Packages On tramoreraces.ie Handicap16f · Good · 11 ran 5th 11/1
06 Jul 26 Roscommon Shuil Solas (IRE)J: Miss M O'Sullivan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 16 ran 5th 3/1J
02 Jul 26 Limerick Friends Of Barry (FR)J: Phillip Enright Munster Suite At Limerick Races Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)22.5f · Good · 18 ran 5th 5/1
18 Jun 26 Leopardstown Fraher Field (IRE)J: Mr J Dunne BOYLE Sports Squad Builder (Q.R.) Maiden15f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 8th 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John E & Thomas Kiely's strike rate?
John E & Thomas Kiely has won 14 of 218 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for John E & Thomas Kiely?
Mr J L Gleeson, with 64 runners since 2022 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (10.9%).
Is John E & Thomas Kiely in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is John E & Thomas Kiely's Fair A/E?
0.64, from 218 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).