Ben Sutton
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 40 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 16% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.05). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 24% (33 rides).
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 24.2% (n=33, Fair A/E 1.23), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 8.7% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.65). The rider also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (20.8%, n=48). The record reads poorly in Chase races — 5.4% over 37 rides, 10.1pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Santos Blue (GB) — 6 wins from 17 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 15.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2020→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 196 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 196 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 March 2020 to 23 April 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Ben Sutton's strike rate?
- Ben Sutton has won 30 of 194 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 15.5% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- What is Ben Sutton's Fair A/E?
- 1.05, from 194 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.