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Trainer profile

Rose Dobbin

277 runners in the last 5 seasons · 46 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2024 99% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
from 1 Jan 2022
25–277
Wins / Runs
9%
Strike rate
n=277
68 (25%)
Placed
0.85
Fair A/E
n=277 · 0.74 incl. margin
−98.28
£1 level stake
n=277 at SP · −35.5%
£289k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.1%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.85).

Deterministic profile computed from 277 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec Craig Nichol: 9.2% from 173 Claiming riders: 10%
The read

The record is strongest at Kelso (17.6%, n=51), clear of the yard's 9% baseline. It is weakest at Perth (5.3% over 38 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Craig Nichol rides 62% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.2%, A/E 0.85). The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (13.3%, n=45) and in Class 4 (12%, n=125). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 6% over 84 runners, 3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 5: Fair A/E 0.58 across 92 runners (6.5% strike, −59.62 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfred Eider at Newcastle (Feb 2016, £53,176). The stable star of the record: Robin's Command (IRE) — 8 wins from 29 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.4%−0.6
n=83 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −39.62
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−9.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
11.1%+2.1
n=9 · A/E 1.50 · £1 +12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
12.5%+3.5
n=16 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −3.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=18 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −3.28
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
10%+1.0
n=80 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −14.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Kelso 17.6% vs 9% · n=51
Over 1m5f – 2m 13.3% vs 9% · n=45
In Class 4 12% vs 9% · n=125
At Perth 5.3% vs 9% · n=38
On Soft going 6% vs 9% · n=84
In Class 5 6.5% vs 9% · n=92
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 138 15 10.9% −42.41
Hurdle 133 9 6.8% −70.87
NH Flat 4 1 25% +17.00
Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft 97 8 8.2% −19.75
Soft 84 5 6% −41.62
Good 73 7 9.6% −36.16
Heavy 19 3 15.8% −1.00
Good to Firm 4 2 50% +0.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kelso 51 9 17.6% +5.88
Newcastle 38 3 7.9% −9.25
Perth 38 2 5.3% −25.62
Ayr 29 2 6.9% −14.17
Musselburgh 29 4 13.8% +5.50
Doncaster 16 2 12.5% −3.50
Carlisle 16 1 6.3% −7.00
Wetherby 14 0 0% −14.00
Sedgefield 14 1 7.1% −7.00
Catterick 10 0 0% −10.00
Hexham 9 1 11.1% −6.12
Market Rasen 4 0 0% −4.00
Cartmel 2 0 0% −2.00
Southwell 2 0 0% −2.00
Newbury 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 125 15 12% −16.29
Class 5 92 6 6.5% −59.62
Class 3 48 4 8.3% −10.37
Class 2 10 0 0% −10.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 23 6 26.1% 0.90 −8.28
2nd–3rd fav 56 8 14.3% 0.81 −12.00
4th–6th fav 123 10 8.1% 1.00 −24.00
7th+ in betting 75 1 1.3% 0.34 −54.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
84.5% completed · 271 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 138 80.4% 3 5 18 1 0
Hurdle 133 88.7% 0 2 13 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Get With It (IRE)then Dan Skelton 19 2 5 18 Feb 24
Limerick Leader (FR)from Aidan Fitzgerald · then Olly Murphy 18 1 8 16 May 24
Aazza (IRE)then Paul Robson 15 1 3 26 May 24
Captain Quint (IRE)then Paul Robson 14 3 6 8 May 24
Rath An Iuir (IRE) 14 2 3 24 Feb 24
Cliffs Of Dooneen (IRE)from Ralph Beckett 13 1 3 10 May 24
Okavango Delta (IRE)then Paul Robson 11 1 4 26 May 24
Firth Of Forth (IRE) 10 0 3 14 Jan 24
Slanelough (IRE) 10 2 2 15 Dec 23
Cailin Dearg (IRE)from James Daniel Dullea 9 1 3 10 May 24
Wild Polly (IRE) 9 0 0 15 Apr 24
Shanbally Rose (IRE) 9 1 4 18 May 23
All 46 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 46 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 37 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Paul Robson (5); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
3810510033020131113
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderCraig Nichol
62% of all rides
9.2% SR · A/E 0.85
RiderRWSR£1
Craig Nichol 173 16 9.2% −62.03
Dylan Johnston 62 6 9.7% −7.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
195
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£1.60m
Prize money
2021
Best season · 25 wins
Rocking Blues (FR) — Betfred Eider (Handicap Chase) Newcastle · Feb 2016 · Class 2
£53,176
Bigirononhiship (IRE) — Persimmon Homes Scottish Borders National Handicap Chase Kelso · Dec 2019 · Class 3
£37,818
Jonniesofa (IRE) — Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (Registered As The Prestige Novices' Hurdle) (Grade 2) Haydock · Feb 2016 · Grade 2
£17,138
Notable horses
Robin's Command (IRE) Honourable Gent (GB) Slanelough (IRE) Politeness (FR) Jonniesofa (IRE) Purcell's Bridge (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Flemensfirth (USA) 12.2% · 6–49
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,267 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Getaway (GER) 10.3% · 4–39
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,898 runs since 2008 (1,025 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.
Joshua Tree (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 11.9% of 830 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Strongest on Good going: 22.2% from 158. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 17.9% from 123.
Beat Hollow (GB) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,028 runs since 2008 (412 horses).
Galileo (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,188 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 888.
Robin Des Champs (FR) 23.1% · 3–13
Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,006 runs since 2008 (425 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,952 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,952 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2009 to 26 May 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 May 24 Kelso Aazza (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Five Star Taxis Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 9/1
26 May 24 Kelso Okavango Delta (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Schloss Roxburghe Hotel Handicap Chase (For The Wilfred & Patricia Crawford Memorial Trophy)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 12/1
16 May 24 Perth Limerick Leader (FR)J: Craig Nichol Edinburgh Cannonball Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 8/1
16 May 24 Perth Uncle Mac (IRE)J: Edward Austin Edinburgh Gin Classic Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 16/1
10 May 24 Sedgefield Cailin Dearg (IRE)J: Craig Nichol AK Bets Watch All UK Racing Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 10/1
10 May 24 Market Rasen Cliffs Of Dooneen (IRE)J: Dylan Johnston Book Summer Plate Ladies Day Now Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 10/1
10 May 24 Market Rasen Okavango Delta (IRE)J: Dylan Johnston Jeff Fleet Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 13/2
08 May 24 Kelso Captain Quint (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Racing TV Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 10/1
26 Apr 24 Perth Uncle Mac (IRE)J: Edward Austin AK Bets Chat To A Trader Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 25/1
15 Apr 24 Kelso Iwa (FR)J: Craig Nichol Support The Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21.5f · Soft · 11 ran PU 28/1
15 Apr 24 Kelso Wild Polly (IRE)J: Dylan Johnston Support QME Care Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22.5f · Soft · 10 ran PU 33/1
28 Mar 24 Wetherby Pats Dream (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Best Odds Guaranteed Daily At Vickers.Bet Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 8/1
22 Mar 24 Newbury Captain Quint (IRE)J: Craig Nichol Get A Run For Your Money At Betvictor Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 10/1
22 Mar 24 Hexham Wild Polly (IRE)J: Henry Brooke Vickers.Bet Independent Family Owned Bookmaker Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Heavy · 6 ran PU 25/1
19 Mar 24 Wetherby Cliffs Of Dooneen (IRE)J: Ciaran O'Shea Bosch Home Appliances At Maxwell's Northallerton Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 100/1
16 Mar 24 Newcastle Iwa (FR)J: Craig Nichol Guinness Draught Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16.5f · Heavy · 5 ran 4th 12/1
10 Mar 24 Kelso Limerick Leader (FR)J: Craig Nichol Rubstic Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 17f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 9/4F
09 Mar 24 Ayr Aazza (IRE)J: Dylan Johnston Virgin Bet Best Odds Daily Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 15 ran 10th 11/2
26 Feb 24 Ayr Wild Polly (IRE)J: Dylan Johnston Coral Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 6th 10/1
24 Feb 24 Newcastle Iwa (FR)J: Craig Nichol Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 17f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Rose Dobbin's strike rate?
Rose Dobbin has won 25 of 277 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Rose Dobbin do best at?
Kelso by strike rate: 9 wins from 51 runners (17.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Rose Dobbin?
Craig Nichol, with 173 runners since 2022 — 62% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (9.2%).
What is Rose Dobbin's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 277 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).