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Jockey profile

Dane O'Neill

7,754 rides in the lifetime window · 4,319 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jul 2023 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
947–7,754
Wins / Runs
12.2%
Strike rate
n=7,754
2,547 (33%)
Placed
0.99
Fair A/E
n=7,711 · 0.85 incl. margin
−1,484.80
£1 level stake
n=7,754 at SP · −19.1%
£10.2m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
17%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 410 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (899 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 7,754 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun Fresh horses: 13.1% 35.2% when favourite Henry Candy: 14.5% from 987 LTO winners: 17.9% Rides the favourite in 12% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Beverley (30%, n=60), Redcar (24.5%, n=49) and Southwell (AW) (21.4%, n=117) — all clear of the rider's 12.2% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.9% (n=899, Fair A/E 0.98), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 8.8% (n=1,199, Fair A/E 1.28). Henry Candy supplies 13% of the rides and edges the rider's average (14.5% vs 12.2%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 54 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Commonwealth Cup at Ascot (Jun 2015, £229,854). The standout partner of the record: La Estrella (USA) — 13 wins from 19 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
11.3%−0.9
n=4,187 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −762.16
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
17.9%+5.7
n=899 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −165.76
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
13.1%+0.9
n=1,241 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −203.91
When favourite
35.2%
n=931 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −42.82
Big fields · 14+ runners
8.8%−3.4
n=1,199 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +31.15
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
10.8%−1.4
n=445 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −114.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Beverley 30% vs 12.2% · n=60
With William Haggas 23.2% vs 12.2% · n=181
At Redcar 24.5% vs 12.2% · n=49
With Mark Johnston 20.9% vs 12.2% · n=158
At Southwell (AW) 21.4% vs 12.2% · n=117
With Roger Varian 20.1% vs 12.2% · n=199
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 7,750 947 12.2% −1,480.80
Chase 3 0 0% −3.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 2,548 290 11.4% −696.33
Good to Firm 1,938 273 14.1% −242.27
Good 1,611 167 10.4% −431.70
Good to Soft 778 96 12.3% −68.22
Soft 648 80 12.3% −59.68
Firm 153 28 18.3% +7.65
Heavy 78 13 16.7% +5.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 1,105 112 10.1% −402.24
Lingfield (AW) 574 62 10.8% −77.11
Wolverhampton (AW) 544 69 12.7% −127.18
Newmarket 411 56 13.6% +16.67
Windsor 370 40 10.8% −68.42
Newbury 330 28 8.5% −38.96
Salisbury 325 39 12% −21.82
Bath 312 43 13.8% −78.92
Newmarket 297 33 11.1% −27.96
Goodwood 279 24 8.6% −64.43
Sandown 276 29 10.5% −107.26
Nottingham 252 26 10.3% −55.71
Doncaster 248 48 19.4% +98.55
Leicester 247 32 13% +2.23
Ascot 231 15 6.5% −142.85

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 2,832 383 13.5% −581.16
Class 4 1,903 218 11.5% −409.15
Class 6 1,376 165 12% −238.55
Class 3 612 81 13.2% −69.10
Class 2 535 50 9.3% −28.77
Class 1 446 48 10.8% −115.90
Class 7 48 2 4.2% −40.17

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1,098 357 32.5% 1.06 −84.32
2nd–3rd fav 2,046 317 15.5% 0.92 −413.48
4th–6th fav 2,432 202 8.3% 1.02 −281.00
7th+ in betting 2,178 71 3.3% 0.91 −706.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Leyte Gulf (USA) 26 3 13 13 Apr 12
First Post (IRE) 24 4 9 30 Aug 14
Alnwick (GB) 21 3 9 12 Sep 10
Lisahane Bog (GB) 20 4 8 1 Feb 12
Effigy (GB) 20 1 10 7 Sep 10
Tinshu (IRE) 19 5 10 7 Oct 13
La Estrella (USA) 19 13 14 22 May 13
Wiggy Smith (GB) 17 1 5 9 Aug 12
Patavium Prince (IRE) 16 4 9 2 Sep 13
Amour Propre (GB) 16 4 6 11 Sep 12
Franco Is My Name (GB) 16 4 5 25 Aug 12
Wilfred Pickles (IRE) 15 1 6 28 May 14
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 4,319 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
171212131313121110121410
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardHenry Candy
13% of all rides
14.5% SR · A/E 1.10
TrainerRWSR£1
Henry Candy 987 143 14.5% −27.58
Richard Hannon Snr 387 57 14.7% −76.47
Richard Hannon 316 35 11.1% −88.69
Charles Hills 289 50 17.3% +18.16
David Elsworth 233 25 10.7% −32.94
Luca Cumani 215 31 14.4% −75.88
Owen Burrows 206 28 13.6% −80.80
Roger Varian 199 40 20.1% −23.52
William Haggas 181 42 23.2% +26.95
Mark Johnston 158 33 20.9% +2.05
Brian Meehan 158 24 15.2% −4.14
Derek Haydn Jones 134 14 10.4% +63.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
1,219
Archived wins
54
Pattern / graded wins
£12.3m
Prize money
2008
Best season · 109 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Muhaarar (GB) — Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2015 · Group 1
£229,854
Mutakayyef (GB) — Fred Cowley MBE Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) (Rnd) Ascot · Jul 2017 · Group 2
£73,723
Elarqam (GB) — Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) York · Jul 2019 · Group 2
£68,052
Notable horses
La Estrella (USA) Tinshu (IRE) First Post (IRE) Lisahane Bog (GB) Patavium Prince (IRE) Full Victory (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dark Angel (IRE) 13.1% · 23–176
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 10.3% · 15–146
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,875 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.
Dubawi (IRE) 15.3% · 21–137
Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,995 runs since 2009 (1,531 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.
Acclamation (GB) 9.1% · 12–132
Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.
Kyllachy (GB) 13% · 17–131
Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.
Oasis Dream (GB) 16.5% · 21–127
Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,051 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 485. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 10,540 · newest first

The latest 50 of 10,540 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 10 July 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Jul 23 Chepstow Arlecchino's Gift (GB)T: Mark Usher TMGroup Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 12/1
10 Jul 23 Chepstow Al Khawaneej River (FR)T: Marcus Tregoning Office Visions Your Space Our Vision EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 13/2
08 Jul 23 Leicester Fitzroy River (GB)T: Henry Candy A & J Sectional Buildings Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 33/1
08 Jul 23 Leicester Craven (GB)T: Richard Fahey Toons Furnishers HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 5/1
08 Jul 23 Leicester Unequal Love (GB)T: William Haggas Loughborough Building Society EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 1st 13/8
08 Jul 23 Leicester Bellestarr (GB)T: Craig Lidster Smooth Breakfast With Gareth Evans Selling StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 28/1
07 Jul 23 Doncaster So Chic (IRE)T: Charles Hills Ali Adla Takepayments Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 20/1
07 Jul 23 Doncaster Tajanis (IRE)T: William Haggas Jamie Downey Takepayments Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 12f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 2nd 12/1
06 Jul 23 Newbury Exertive (IRE)T: Charles Hills BetVictor Race Series Cup Handicap (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 8th 14/1
06 Jul 23 Newbury Graham (GB)T: Richard Hannon TPT Fire HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 10/3
06 Jul 23 Newbury Daahes (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Country & Town House Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 4th 13/2
06 Jul 23 Newbury Milteye (GB)T: Jack Channon Country & Town House Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 4th 4/1
06 Jul 23 Newbury Mitwaa (IRE)T: Roger Varian KKA Studio Novice Stakes (Div 2)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 8 ran 5th 11/2
01 Jul 23 Doncaster Desert Voice (GB)T: William Haggas Monthly Artisan Craft Fayres Lakeside Village HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 1st 15/8F
01 Jul 23 Doncaster Cairn Gorm (GB)T: Kevin Philippart De Foy Skopes Menswear Lakeside Village 75th Anniversary HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 7/1
01 Jul 23 Doncaster Alshinfarah (IRE)T: Kevin Philippart De Foy Cook N Dine Specialists In Kitchenware EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 1st 5/2F
01 Jul 23 Doncaster Kaidu (IRE)T: Clive Cox Your First Destination Baggage Factory Lakeside Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 4th 85/40F
01 Jul 23 Doncaster Sid's Annie (GB)T: Mark Usher Lakeside Village Outlet Shopping Doncaster Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 7 ran 1st 13/2
30 Jun 23 Yarmouth Tafreej (IRE)T: William Haggas Moulton Nurseries HandicapClass 3 · 8f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 1st 5/4F
28 Jun 23 Kempton (AW) Monteria (IRE)T: Stuart Kittow Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day HandicapClass 4 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 10th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Dane O'Neill's strike rate?
Dane O'Neill has won 947 of 7,754 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Dane O'Neill do best at?
Doncaster by strike rate: 48 wins from 248 rides (19.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Dane O'Neill ride most for?
Henry Candy, with 987 rides since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 143 (14.5%).
What is Dane O'Neill's Fair A/E?
0.99, from 7,711 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).