What is Daniel Holden's strike rate?

Daniel Holden has won 14 of 331 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Daniel Holden do best at?

Clonmel by strike rate: 2 wins from 31 rides (6.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Daniel Holden ride most for?

Henry De Bromhead, with 110 rides since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (7.3%).

What is Daniel Holden's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 331 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Daniel Holden

331 rides in the lifetime window · 180 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jun 2022 98% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

14–331

Wins / Runs

4.2%

Strike rate

n=331

38 (12%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=331 · 0.75 incl. margin

−128.75

£1 level stake

n=331 at SP · −38.9%

£192k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94).

Deterministic profile computed from 331 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec Henry De Bromhead: 7.3% from 110 First rides: 4.4%

The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −148.75 to a £1 stake over 313 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Henry De Bromhead supplies 33% of the rides and edges the rider's average (7.3% vs 4.2%, A/E 1.20) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 8-14-day break (8.5%, n=47). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 40 rides, 4.2pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.4%+0.2

n=180 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −69.25

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

5.9%+1.7

n=17 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −9.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

1.3%−2.9

n=79 · A/E 0.32 · £1 −73.00

When favourite

33.3%

n=3 · A/E 1.46 · £1 +0.25

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

3.8%−0.4

n=313 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −148.75

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.3%+0.1

n=184 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −37.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.2

n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 8-14-day break 8.5% vs 4.2% · n=47

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 4.2% · n=40

On Good to Soft going 0% vs 4.2% · n=38

With Henry De Bromhead 7.3% vs 4.2% · n=110

With S G Walsh 0% vs 4.2% · n=31

At Clonmel 6.5% vs 4.2% · n=31

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 243 10 4.1% −75.25

Chase 77 4 5.2% −42.50

NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 109 5 4.6% −51.00

Soft 107 5 4.7% +2.00

Heavy 75 4 5.3% −39.75

Good to Soft 38 0 0% −38.00

Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Clonmel 31 2 6.5% +4.00

Cork 26 0 0% −26.00

Thurles 26 4 15.4% +7.50

Punchestown 26 0 0% −26.00

Wexford 25 1 4% −18.00

Tramore 23 0 0% −23.00

Limerick 23 2 8.7% −0.75

Kilbeggan 21 0 0% −21.00

Fairyhouse 16 0 0% −16.00

Leopardstown 13 2 15.4% +45.00

Gowran Park 12 0 0% −12.00

Killarney 11 0 0% −11.00

Navan 11 0 0% −11.00

Listowel 10 1 10% +7.00

Naas 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 5 1 20% 1.03 −1.75

2nd–3rd fav 26 4 15.4% 1.31 +2.00

4th–6th fav 83 5 6% 0.90 −27.00

7th+ in betting 217 4 1.8% 0.75 −102.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

89.1% completed · 320 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 77 87% 2 4 4 0 0

Hurdle 243 89.7% 1 5 16 1 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Loch Luatha (IRE) 20 1 5 13 Jul 19

Running Skeard (IRE) 13 0 1 3 Nov 20

Exit Eleven (IRE) 8 0 1 28 Apr 21

Tisamystery (IRE) 8 1 2 14 Sep 19

Theatre Run (IRE) 7 1 3 14 Sep 20

The King Of Brega (IRE) 7 1 2 7 Nov 19

Ellie Mac (IRE) 7 1 1 5 Apr 19

Kavanaghs Corner (IRE) 5 1 2 20 May 21

Haveuseentherain (IRE) 5 0 0 23 Mar 21

Sicario Jack (IRE) 5 0 0 1 Jan 20

Yeats Mardy (GB) 5 0 0 14 May 19

Espion Du Chenet (FR) 4 0 0 14 Nov 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 180 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

40704000741010

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardHenry De Bromhead

33% of all rides
7.3% SR · A/E 1.20

TrainerRWSR£1

Henry De Bromhead 110 8 7.3% +0.25

L Young 32 1 3.1% −19.00

S G Walsh 31 0 0% −31.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

Archived wins

£192k

Prize money

2019

Best season · 6 wins

Tisamystery (IRE) — 'Bet Through The Racing Post App' Handicap Chase Leopardstown · Dec 2018

£18,450

The King Of Brega (IRE) — Matty Ryan Memorial Handicap Hurdle Thurles · Jan 2019

£11,396

Ellie Mac (IRE) — Horse & Jockey Hotel Maiden Hurdle Leopardstown · Dec 2017

£8,624

Notable horses

Loch Luatha (IRE) Tisamystery (IRE) Theatre Run (IRE) The King Of Brega (IRE) Ellie Mac (IRE) Kavanaghs Corner (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mohaajir (USA) 5% · 1–20

Progeny have won 5.1% of 374 runs since 2008 (26 horses).

Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–17

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Court Cave (IRE) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,970 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Yeats (IRE) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,858 runs since 2013 (709 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Definite Article (GB) 20% · 2–10

Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.

Flemensfirth (USA) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,298 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 331 · newest first

The latest 50 of 331 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 December 2016 to 30 June 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Jun 22 Tipperary King Otis (IRE)T: Kieran Purcell Tipperary Town Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 17 ran PU 66/1

14 Jun 22 Roscommon Scalino (IRE)T: Louise G Lyons Country Music Festival Here On June 19th Handicap Hurdle (80-123)20.5f · Good · 10 ran 9th 18/1

08 Jun 22 Wexford King Otis (IRE)T: Kieran Purcell Wexford Racecourse Ladies Day August 5th (c & G) Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 12 ran 5th 16/1

03 Jun 22 Tramore Lady Whistledown (IRE)T: Steve Jones Kilmeaden Mares Maiden Hurdle21f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran PU 200/1

03 Jun 22 Tramore Convara (IRE)T: Donal Commins Tramore Tourism Handicap Chase15f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 9th 22/1

16 May 22 Killarney Ask The Bishop (IRE)T: Michael Butler Broderick Plumbing Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 16 ran 14th 250/1

15 May 22 Killarney Anyonecanhaveitall (GB)T: Eoin Doyle Seamus Weldon John Deere Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 16 ran 12th 100/1

14 May 22 Wexford Lady Whistledown (IRE)T: Steve Jones Wexford Racecourse Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 12 ran 9th 50/1

07 May 22 Cork Lady Whistledown (IRE)T: Steve Jones Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 7th 250/1

03 May 22 Ballinrobe Optical Confusion (IRE)T: Michael Butler KPMG Handicap Chase17f · Good · 11 ran 6th 9/1

27 Apr 22 Punchestown First Touch (IRE)T: Donal Commins Adare Manor Opportunity Series Final Handicap Hurdle (95-123)20f · Good To Yielding · 24 ran 7th 125/1

18 Apr 22 Cork Ask The Bishop (IRE)T: Michael Butler Coolagown Stud Maiden Hurdle24.5f · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran 16th 100/1

10 Apr 22 Tramore Bella Bear (IRE)T: John O Clifford Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 11th 80/1

24 Mar 22 Cork Ask The Bishop (IRE)T: Michael Butler corkracecourse.ie Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 11 ran 8th 16/1

19 Mar 22 Thurles Anyonecanhaveitall (GB)T: Eoin Doyle Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Good · 18 ran 12th 9/1

12 Mar 22 Gowran Park Kerosine Light (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle Goresbridge Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Heavy · 15 ran 2nd 100/1

06 Mar 22 Wexford En Avant (FR)T: Louise G Lyons Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 33/1

22 Feb 22 Navan Hory (FR)T: Miss Ellmarie Holden P.S. Supplies Doors & Floors Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 25 ran 8th 50/1

01 Feb 22 Limerick Plentiful (GB)T: Michael Butler BetVictor Loyalty Club Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)16f · Soft · 14 ran PU 10/1

17 Jan 22 Punchestown Ballykeeffe (IRE)T: Louise G Lyons Hollywoodbets Powering Jamie Moore And Daniel Muscutt Maiden Hurdle24f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Daniel Holden's strike rate?: Daniel Holden has won 14 of 331 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Daniel Holden do best at?: Clonmel by strike rate: 2 wins from 31 rides (6.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Daniel Holden ride most for?: Henry De Bromhead, with 110 rides since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (7.3%).
What is Daniel Holden's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 331 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.