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Trainer profile

Louise G Lyons

149 runners in the last 5 seasons · 21 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2025 92% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
6–149
Wins / Runs
4%
Strike rate
n=149
25 (17%)
Placed
0.72
n=149 · 0.59 incl. margin
−65.00
£1 level stake
n=149 at SP · −43.6%
£128k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.72). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 6% off breaks of two months or more (32 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 149 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.3% Claiming riders: 4.2%
The read

The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 35 runners, 4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.50 across 80 runners (2.5% strike, −25.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Espion Du Chenet (FR) — 6 wins from 46 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.3%+2.3
n=32 · A/E 1.70 · £1 +23.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.0
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
8.3%+4.3
n=12 · A/E 1.79 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.0
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
16.7%
n=6 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −3.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.2%+0.2
n=72 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −14.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.0
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Heavy going 0% vs 4% · n=35
On Soft going 6.7% vs 4% · n=45
Over 1m5f – 2m 6.7% vs 4% · n=30
In Chase races 6.3% vs 4% · n=32
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2.5% vs 4% · n=80 · A/E 0.50
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 98 4 4.1% −34.50
Chase 32 2 6.3% −11.50
Flat 12 0 0% −12.00
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 45 3 6.7% +1.00
Good 38 2 5.3% −6.00
Heavy 35 0 0% −35.00
Good to Soft 27 1 3.7% −21.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 14 1 7.1% −3.00
Killarney 12 2 16.7% +15.00
Gowran Park 12 1 8.3% +22.00
Clonmel 12 0 0% −12.00
Limerick 8 0 0% −8.00
Wexford 7 0 0% −7.00
Tramore 7 0 0% −7.00
Fairyhouse 7 0 0% −7.00
Navan 6 1 16.7% −3.50
Thurles 6 1 16.7% +3.50
Cork 6 0 0% −6.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Tipperary 5 0 0% −5.00
Kilbeggan 5 0 0% −5.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 1 14.3% 0.62 −4.50
2nd–3rd fav 17 0 0% 0.00 −17.00
4th–6th fav 39 3 7.7% 1.17 −12.50
7th+ in betting 86 2 2.3% 1.08 −31.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.7% completed · 130 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 32 93.8% 0 0 2 0 0
Hurdle 98 85.7% 2 2 10 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Kells Priory (IRE)then Olly Murphy 18 2 8 9 Oct 25
Lady Rita (IRE) 16 2 6 22 Sep 24
Man After Midnight (IRE) 13 0 1 12 Sep 23
Sky Tempest (IRE) 10 0 0 25 Jul 24
En Avant (FR)from S Curling · then Olly Murphy 9 0 1 10 Jun 23
Raby Mere (FR)then Olly Murphy 8 0 1 27 Feb 25
Scalino (IRE)from Patrick J Flynn 7 0 0 1 Jan 23
Willaston (IRE)then Mark Walford 7 0 2 21 Jul 22
Taudeni (IRE) 6 0 0 21 Aug 25
Dakota Chief (IRE)from Andrew Slattery 5 0 0 20 Aug 24
Pennywell Girl (IRE)from S Curling 5 0 0 4 Mar 23
All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 21 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from S Curling (2); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard, most often for Olly Murphy (3); 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
6711070900000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Richard Condon 26 2 7.7% +10.50
Ryan Treacy 21 1 4.8% −11.50
Cian Quirke 13 0 0% −13.00
Richard Deegan 11 0 0% −11.00
Phillip Enright 8 1 12.5% +3.00
Mr T Hamilton 7 0 0% −7.00
Rachael Blackmore 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Brian Hayes 7 0 0% −7.00
Sean O'Keeffe 5 0 0% −5.00
Tommy Brett 5 0 0% −5.00
J J Slevin 3 0 0% −3.00
Seamie Heffernan 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
12
Archived wins
£188k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 5 wins
Espion Du Chenet (FR) — Ladbrokes We Play Together Handicap Chase Punchestown · May 2022
£13,570
Lady Rita (IRE) — Lee Strand Handicap Hurdle Killarney · Jul 2023
£12,980
Espion Du Chenet (FR) — Thurles Racecourse Handicap Chase Thurles · Feb 2022
£12,390

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sunday Break (JPN) 8% · 2–25
Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,123 runs since 2008 (155 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.7% from 220. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.6% from 231.
Valirann (FR) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,437 runs since 2008 (157 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 341.
Westerner (GB) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,823 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Sholokhov (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,258 runs since 2008 (419 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.
Cloudings (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,882 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 410. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.
Maresca Sorrento (FR) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 10.1% of 1,431 runs since 2008 (182 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 14.2% from 323.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 191 · newest first

The latest 50 of 191 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 October 2020 to 9 October 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Oct 24 Navan Taudeni (IRE)J: W J Lee Arkle Bar Median Auction Maiden6f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 8th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Louise G Lyons's strike rate?
Louise G Lyons has won 6 of 149 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Louise G Lyons's Fair A/E?
0.72, from 149 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).