Louise G Lyons
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.72). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 6% off breaks of two months or more (32 runs).
The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 35 runners, 4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.50 across 80 runners (2.5% strike, −25.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Espion Du Chenet (FR) — 6 wins from 46 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2020→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 191 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 191 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 October 2020 to 9 October 2025.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Louise G Lyons's strike rate?
- Louise G Lyons has won 6 of 149 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- What is Louise G Lyons's Fair A/E?
- 0.72, from 149 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.