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Trainer profile

M A Cahill

220 runners in the last 5 seasons · 30 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 15 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
12–220
Wins / Runs
5.5%
Strike rate
n=220
55 (25%)
Placed
1.05
Fair A/E
n=220 · 0.82 incl. margin
−27.00
£1 level stake
n=220 at SP · −12.3%
£150k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.05).

Deterministic profile computed from 220 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Alan Persse: 6.5% from 77
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=46, Fair A/E 0.00). Alan Persse rides 35% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.5%, A/E 1.70) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (11.6%, n=43). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 2.5% over 40 runners, 3pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−5.5
n=46 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −46.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.5
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.5
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.5
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.5
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
0%
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.2%−0.3
n=134 · A/E 1.02 · £1 +10.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 11.6% vs 5.5% · n=43
With a new jockey booking 2.5% vs 5.5% · n=79
On Heavy going 2.5% vs 5.5% · n=40
On Good going 8.1% vs 5.5% · n=37
On Soft going 7% vs 5.5% · n=57 · A/E 1.41
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 125 7 5.6% +21.50
Hurdle 85 5 5.9% −38.50
Chase 8 0 0% −8.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 58 3 5.2% −6.00
Soft 57 4 7% −10.50
Heavy 40 1 2.5% −33.50
Good 37 3 8.1% +25.00
Good to Soft 24 1 4.2% +2.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 58 3 5.2% −6.00
Limerick 20 0 0% −20.00
Gowran Park 18 2 11.1% −2.50
Cork 18 1 5.6% −7.00
Punchestown 14 2 14.3% +8.00
Clonmel 12 0 0% −12.00
Tipperary 11 1 9.1% +15.00
Naas 11 1 9.1% +30.00
Listowel 10 0 0% −10.00
Navan 7 0 0% −7.00
Fairyhouse 6 0 0% −6.00
Tramore 5 0 0% −5.00
Thurles 5 1 20% +1.50
Sligo 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 0 0% 0.00 −11.00
2nd–3rd fav 18 3 16.7% 1.26 +2.50
4th–6th fav 49 4 8.2% 1.19 −7.50
7th+ in betting 142 5 3.5% 1.35 −11.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Jake Peter (IRE)from Patrick J Flynn 35 3 12 16 Jan 26
Akeela (GB)then Ian Patrick Donoghue 17 1 5 21 May 25
Hinemoa (FR)from N Clement 17 2 6 3 Jul 24
Rebel Cowgirl (IRE) 16 1 3 16 Apr 26
John The Diva (FR) 16 2 8 29 Jan 26
Beeverstown Place (IRE) 15 0 4 10 Apr 25
Miracles In May (IRE) 14 1 5 12 Jan 24
Apprentice (IRE) 12 1 1 16 May 24
Wild Wild Wind (IRE) 11 0 5 16 Apr 26
Beeverstown Bullet (IRE) 10 0 2 18 Apr 23
Jewels Legacy (IRE) 7 0 0 4 Jul 26
Sea View Lady (IRE) 7 0 0 8 Oct 25
All 30 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 30 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Patrick Breen (2); 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Mrs Jayne Hearne (2); 24 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
4515800886560
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAlan Persse
35% of all rides
6.5% SR · A/E 1.70
RiderRWSR£1
Alan Persse 77 5 6.5% +20.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
22
Archived wins
£265k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 5 wins
Pilgrim Way (IRE) — Horse & Jockey Hotel Handicap Hurdle Cork · May 2019
£12,320
Pilgrim Way (IRE) — Buy Tickets Online At TipperaryRaces.ie Handicap Hurdle Tipperary · May 2016
£7,380
Moll (IRE) — Crowne Plaza Race & Stay Maiden (Plus 10) Dundalk (AW) · Jan 2020
£7,092
Notable horses
Jake Peter (IRE) Miracles In May (IRE) Theatre Run (IRE) Pilgrim Way (IRE) Hinemoa (FR) John The Diva (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Intikhab (USA) 8.6% · 3–35
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,951 runs since 2008 (362 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 277. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 266.
Westerner (GB) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,823 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Aclaim (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 10% of 2,522 runs since 2008 (200 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 385.
Tamayuz (GB) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 10.4% of 5,180 runs since 2008 (401 horses).
Rajsaman (FR) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 6.9% of 2,836 runs since 2008 (311 horses).
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 457 · newest first

The latest 50 of 457 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 March 2008 to 5 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Tears I Nevercried (IRE)J: Alan Persse Spin Southwest Maiden11f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 150/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Beeverstown Boy (FR)J: Paddy Cody 1xBet.ie Supports Safer Gambling Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 17 ran 6th 80/1
29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Lolapipa (IRE)J: Alan Persse Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 11th 200/1
24 Jul 26 Cork (IRE) Auguste Gusteau (IRE)J: Ben Coen Follow Us On Social Media Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 19 ran 13th 20/1
08 Jul 26 Fairyhouse Auguste Gusteau (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Good · 15 ran 7th 150/1
04 Jul 26 Naas Jewels Legacy (IRE)J: Alan Persse Care At Home Handicap (0-60)11f · Good · 16 ran 16th 66/1
18 Jun 26 Leopardstown Jewels Legacy (IRE)J: Alan Persse 1878 At 3Arena Handicap (0-60) (Div 1)9f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 13th 66/1
10 Jun 26 Limerick Willie's Mill (IRE)J: Alan Persse Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden8f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 13th 150/1
01 Jun 26 Gowran Park Jewels Legacy (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Ladies Day July 25th Handicap (0-60) (Div 1)9.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 10th 16/1
26 May 26 Dundalk (AW) Auguste Gusteau (IRE)J: Alan Persse Moffett - The Competitive Edge Maiden5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 50/1
16 May 26 Navan Auguste Gusteau (IRE)J: Alan Persse Cusack Hotel Group Family Day July 11th Maiden5f · Yielding · 13 ran 7th 50/1
16 Apr 26 Limerick Rebel Cowgirl (IRE)J: Cian Quirke Professor Maria Hinfelaar Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)19.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 6th 9/2
16 Apr 26 Limerick Wild Wild Wind (IRE)J: Hugh Horgan Big Boss Group Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 2nd 4/1F
02 Apr 26 Clonmel Wild Wild Wind (IRE)J: Hugh Horgan KEP Italia Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Soft · 16 ran 4th 11/4F
19 Mar 26 Cork Wild Wild Wind (IRE)J: Hugh Horgan William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17f · Yielding · 22 ran 8th 4/1
27 Feb 26 Dundalk (AW) Auguste Gusteau (IRE)J: Alan Persse Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden6f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 20/1
18 Feb 26 Punchestown Rebel Cowgirl (IRE)J: Cian Quirke Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Soft · 16 ran 1st 11/1
10 Feb 26 Limerick Wild Wild Wind (IRE)J: Hugh Horgan Cheltenham Raceday Limerick On 12th March Handicap Hurdle (0-100)15.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 2nd 4/1
05 Feb 26 Thurles Rebel Cowgirl (IRE)J: Cian Quirke William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100)23f · Soft · 17 ran 5th 15/2
29 Jan 26 Thurles John The Diva (FR)J: Phillip Enright Leugh Beginners Chase21f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 6/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M A Cahill's strike rate?
M A Cahill has won 12 of 220 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.5% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M A Cahill do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 58 runners (5.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M A Cahill?
Alan Persse, with 77 runners since 2022 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6.5%).
What is M A Cahill's Fair A/E?
1.05, from 220 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).