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Trainer profile

Miss Ellmarie Holden

61 runners in the last 5 seasons · 18 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 188 days ago 97% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)
from 1 Jan 2022
4–61
Wins / Runs
6.6%
Strike rate
n=61
11 (18%)
Placed
0.86
Fair A/E
n=61 · 0.69 incl. margin
+57.33
£1 level stake
n=61 at SP · +94.0%
£45,311
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 8.8%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−6.6
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.6
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.6
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
16.7%+10.1
n=6 · A/E 5.65 · £1 +28.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
50%+43.4
n=2 · A/E 4.59 · £1 +2.33
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.8%+2.2
n=34 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +80.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 8.8% vs 6.6% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 43 3 7% +71.00
Chase 13 1 7.7% −8.67
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00
Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 17 2 11.8% +16.33
Soft 17 1 5.9% +17.00
Good to Soft 14 1 7.1% +37.00
Good 13 0 0% −13.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Gowran Park 9 1 11.1% +20.00
Cork 7 1 14.3% −2.67
Fairyhouse 6 1 16.7% +28.00
Tramore 5 0 0% −5.00
Wexford 4 0 0% −4.00
Thurles 4 1 25% +47.00
Punchestown 4 0 0% −4.00
Tipperary 3 0 0% −3.00
Navan 3 0 0% −3.00
Clonmel 2 0 0% −2.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00
Limerick 2 0 0% −2.00
Galway 2 0 0% −2.00
Downpatrick 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 12 1 8.3% 0.51 −7.67
4th–6th fav 18 0 0% 0.00 −18.00
7th+ in betting 28 3 10.7% 3.46 +86.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.7% completed · 56 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 13 84.6% 0 0 2 0 0
Hurdle 43 86% 1 1 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Jet Setting Johnny (IRE) 8 1 3 6 Jan 24
Karuma Grey (GER)then Christian Williams 8 1 1 26 Dec 23
Hudson (FR)from C Ferland · then Mickey Bowen 6 0 2 8 Sep 25
Seeitoldya (GB)then John Joseph Hanlon 6 0 0 15 Aug 25
Ex Patriot (IRE)from G M Lyons 5 0 0 17 Feb 24
Wakey Wakey Man (IRE)from James Daniel Dullea · then Cian Collins 4 0 0 9 Oct 25
Hory (FR) 4 1 1 3 Apr 22
Dancing Fruits (IRE)then Sandy Thomson 3 0 0 8 May 26
Eternal Angel (FR)from Nicky Henderson · then Tom Lacey 3 0 0 25 Aug 25
Samadabad (FR)from J-C Rouget 3 0 1 1 May 23
Coolmeen Park (IRE) 3 1 1 4 Mar 23
Shantou Princess (IRE)then Gavin Cromwell 2 0 0 23 Apr 24
All 18 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 18 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard; 9 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1714131300000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Diarmuid Moloney 10 1 10% +19.00
Mr H C Swan 6 1 16.7% +28.00
Hugh Morgan 6 1 16.7% −1.67
Jordan Gainford 5 0 0% −5.00
Paddy Cody 4 0 0% −4.00
Darragh O'Keeffe 4 0 0% −4.00
Ben Harvey 4 1 25% +47.00
Richard Condon 4 0 0% −4.00
Danny Mullins 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr B M Coonan 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr Derek O'Connor 2 0 0% −2.00
Daniel Holden 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
42
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£759k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 20 wins
Abolitionist (IRE) — Download The Ladbrokes Exchange App Leinster National Handicap Chase (Grade A) Naas · Mar 2017 · Grade A
£59,000
Ex Patriot (IRE) — Holden Plant Rentals Shamrock Handicap Chase (Grade B) Gowran Park · Mar 2019 · Grade B
£29,500
Lachares (IRE) — Midlands National Ladies Day July 21st Handicap Hurdle Kilbeggan · Jun 2017
£15,375
Notable horses
My Direction (GB) Sir Jack Yeats (IRE) Ex Patriot (IRE) Static Jack (IRE) Lachares (IRE) Call The Taxie (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Walk In The Park (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,084 runs since 2011 (711 horses).
Jet Away (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 11.3% of 2,565 runs since 2018 (277 horses).
Jukebox Jury (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 13.5% of 2,259 runs since 2016 (257 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.3% from 155.
Intello (GER) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,506 runs since 2017 (393 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.5% from 235. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 185.
Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7.7% of 3,158 runs since 2015 (317 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.7% from 384.
Crossharbour (GB) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 11.2% of 295 runs since 2014 (36 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 15.3% from 137. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.4% from 125.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 351 · newest first

The latest 50 of 351 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 June 2016 to 8 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 May 26 Downpatrick Dancing Fruits (IRE)J: Paddy Cody SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 14 ran 6th 5/1
07 May 26 Wexford Torquemada (IRE)J: Mr T Walsh Racing Again 16th May (C & G) Point-To-Point Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 8th 40/1
14 Apr 26 Clonmel Dancing Fruits (IRE)J: Paddy Cody Botanica International Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 17 ran 7th 20/1
07 Mar 26 Gowran Park Dancing Fruits (IRE)J: Paddy Cody William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 18 ran 5th 11/1
09 Oct 25 Tramore Wakey Wakey Man (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Waterford Greenway Beginners Chase20.5f · Yielding · 10 ran 6th 25/1
08 Sep 25 Galway Wakey Wakey Man (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Galway Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)22.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 16th 12/1
08 Sep 25 Galway Hudson (FR)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Anglo Printers Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 2nd 9/1
25 Aug 25 Downpatrick Eternal Angel (FR)J: Paddy Cody Randox Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 9 ran 5th 7/2J
22 Aug 25 Kilbeggan Hudson (FR)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Tom Lynam Memorial Handicap Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 3rd 14/1
15 Aug 25 Tramore Seeitoldya (GB)J: Donagh Meyler Comeragh Veterinary Kilmachthomas Handicap Hurdle21f · Good · 8 ran 5th 11/2
15 Aug 25 Tramore Wakey Wakey Man (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Little Darlings Child Care Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 40/1
06 Aug 25 Wexford Eternal Angel (FR)J: Jordan Gainford Fleadh Cheoil Wexford Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 5th 16/1
04 Aug 25 Cork Seeitoldya (GB)J: Richard Condon Kanturk Handicap Hurdle18.5f · Good · 13 ran 4th 22/1
25 Jul 25 Kilbeggan Wakey Wakey Man (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Tom McCormack Memorial Cup Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 14th 25/1
24 Jul 25 Wexford Hudson (FR)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Kilmore Quay (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 14 ran 4th 13/2
11 Jul 25 Cork Eternal Angel (FR)J: Sean Flanagan Buy Tickets On www.corkracecourse.ie Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 18 ran 7th 4/1
07 Jul 25 Roscommon Seeitoldya (GB)J: Richard Condon Frenchpark Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)16f · Good · 12 ran 5th 6/1
07 Jul 25 Roscommon Hudson (FR)J: Danny Gilligan Frenchpark Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Good · 16 ran 8th 7/2
08 Jun 25 Punchestown Seeitoldya (GB)J: Richard Condon Bermingham Cameras Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 4th 40/1
31 May 25 Listowel Seeitoldya (GB)J: Richard Condon Eamon Foran Memorial Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 17 ran 15th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Miss Ellmarie Holden's strike rate?
Miss Ellmarie Holden has won 4 of 61 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Miss Ellmarie Holden's Fair A/E?
0.86, from 61 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).