David Mullins
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 100 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (288 rides).
The record is strongest at Roscommon (22.2%, n=45) and Tramore (20.3%, n=64) — all clear of the rider's 11.9% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (0% over 56 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.4% (n=288, Fair A/E 1.08), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 8.6% (n=848, Fair A/E 1.12). W P Mullins supplies 19% of the rides and edges the rider's average (15.4% vs 11.9%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 45 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Crabbie's Grand National Chase at Aintree (Apr 2016, £561,300). The standout partner of the record: Court Maid (IRE) — 7 wins from 13 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2012→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,867 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,867 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 August 2012 to 15 September 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is David Mullins's strike rate?
- David Mullins has won 223 of 1,867 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.9% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does David Mullins do best at?
- Tramore by strike rate: 13 wins from 64 rides (20.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does David Mullins ride most for?
- W P Mullins, with 357 rides since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 55 (15.4%).
- What is David Mullins's Fair A/E?
- 1.08, from 1,867 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.