What is Derek Fox's strike rate?

Derek Fox has won 349 of 3,257 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Derek Fox do best at?

Uttoxeter by strike rate: 8 wins from 51 rides (15.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Derek Fox ride most for?

Lucinda Russell, with 1,697 rides since 2008 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 217 (12.8%).

Is Derek Fox in form?

In the last 14 days: 23 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 8.7%. That is in line with the baseline of 10.7% since 2008.

What is Derek Fox's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 3,255 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Derek Fox

3,257 rides in the lifetime window · 828 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

349–3,257

Wins / Runs

10.7%

Strike rate

n=3,257

903 (28%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=3,255 · 0.83 incl. margin

−562.05

£1 level stake

n=3,257 at SP · −17.3%

£5.63m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 170 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (359 rides). Rides mostly for Lucinda Russell — 52% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 3,257 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 32.2% when favourite Lucinda Russell: 12.8% from 1,697 LTO winners: 15.6% Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Kelso (15.6%, n=398), clear of the rider's 10.7% baseline. It is weakest at Down Royal (0% over 31 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15.6% (n=359, Fair A/E 0.89), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6.1% (n=458, Fair A/E 1.04). Lucinda Russell supplies 52% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12.8% vs 10.7%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 6.6% over 381 rides, 4.1pts below the baseline. 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Randox Health Grand National at Aintree (Apr 2017, £561,300). The standout partner of the record: Sword Of Fate (IRE) — 7 wins from 37 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.6%−3.1

n=828 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −279.70

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

15.6%+4.9

n=359 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −29.74

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.5%−1.2

n=812 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −263.66

When favourite

32.2%

n=276 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −37.39

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

10.5%−0.2

n=675 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −150.42

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.1%−4.6

n=458 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −99.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.2%−0.5

n=127 · A/E 1.06 · £1 +41.98

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Down Royal 0% vs 10.7% · n=31

At Haydock 2.8% vs 10.7% · n=71

At Kelso 15.6% vs 10.7% · n=398

On last-time-out winners 15.6% vs 10.7% · n=359

With C&D winners 15.2% vs 10.7% · n=401

Off a break of 180+ days 6.6% vs 10.7% · n=381

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,694 159 9.4% −273.16

Chase 1,391 179 12.9% −225.10

NH Flat 161 10 6.2% −65.79

Flat 11 1 9.1% +2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,105 110 10% −175.71

Soft 859 105 12.2% −180.99

Good to Soft 739 74 10% −29.84

Heavy 470 50 10.6% −170.76

Good to Firm 78 10 12.8% +1.25

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ayr 431 54 12.5% −80.22

Perth 398 35 8.8% −112.63

Kelso 398 62 15.6% −52.62

Hexham 340 41 12.1% −40.08

Musselburgh 252 35 13.9% +17.05

Carlisle 182 14 7.7% −12.10

Newcastle 147 17 11.6% −53.27

Cartmel 113 10 8.8% −4.50

Downpatrick 107 14 13.1% −23.42

Wetherby 91 8 8.8% −37.60

Haydock 71 2 2.8% −56.00

Sedgefield 69 5 7.2% −2.50

Sligo 57 6 10.5% +24.50

Uttoxeter 51 8 15.7% +44.00

Aintree 48 6 12.5% +77.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,396 180 12.9% −103.46

Class 5 629 57 9.1% −159.39

Class 3 465 54 11.6% −135.14

Class 2 167 11 6.6% −56.12

Class 1 155 15 9.7% +29.98

Class 6 23 1 4.3% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 333 105 31.5% 1.00 −28.76

2nd–3rd fav 766 125 16.3% 0.94 −127.29

4th–6th fav 1,196 91 7.6% 0.96 −83.00

7th+ in betting 962 28 2.9% 0.85 −323.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 1,098 120 10.9% −159.67

1m5f – 2m 953 92 9.7% −294.71

2m5f – 3m 935 102 10.9% −101.64

Over 3m 270 35 13% −5.03

1m2f – 1m4f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2009 16 0 0% −16.00

2010 18 1 5.6% +8.00

2011 81 7 8.6% −18.17

2012 94 8 8.5% −27.37

2013 136 14 10.3% −31.17

2014 152 13 8.6% −72.50

2015 213 32 15% −2.71

2016 294 19 6.5% −140.30

2017 260 20 7.7% −70.98

2018 257 29 11.3% −52.20

2019 191 14 7.3% +31.50

2020 143 11 7.7% −19.75

2021 227 32 14.1% +125.28

2022 277 37 13.4% −3.44

2023 231 31 13.4% −28.54

2024 311 35 11.3% −124.41

2025 153 23 15% −50.95

2026 203 23 11.3% −68.34

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,180 240 11% −408.76

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,054 97 9.2% −345.32

5-7 runners 950 135 14.2% −42.47

11-13 runners 646 46 7.1% −72.91

14-16 runners 311 20 6.4% −37.00

2-4 runners 149 43 28.9% −1.60

17+ runners 147 8 5.4% −62.75

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.9% completed · 3,085 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,391 80.5% 55 31 180 4 1

Hurdle 1,694 88.5% 40 6 146 1 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sword Of Fate (IRE) 37 7 16 9 Oct 24

Ahoy Senor (IRE) 25 6 9 1 Feb 26

Ballycool (IRE) 25 4 7 23 Apr 18

Bollingerandkrug (IRE) 24 5 8 1 Mar 25

Shanroe Street (IRE) 24 2 6 12 Jun 21

Mighty Whitey (IRE) 24 3 8 26 Aug 17

Mia's Anthem (IRE) 24 5 6 5 Jul 17

Big River (IRE) 23 5 8 25 Mar 23

Celtic Flames (IRE) 23 6 9 18 Jun 22

Thereisnodoubt (IRE) 22 3 10 13 Jan 26

Inis Oirr (IRE) 21 2 5 22 Mar 26

Ardera Cross (IRE) 21 1 4 6 Jan 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 828 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

2 from 23 8.7% · −2.0pts vs baseline

Last 14 days8.7%

Lifetime base10.7%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

11111511885121113109

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardLucinda Russell

52% of all rides
12.8% SR · A/E 0.97

TrainerRWSR£1

Lucinda Russell 1,697 217 12.8% −246.40

Mark Michael McNiff 313 30 9.6% −27.42

Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore 251 31 12.4% −117.57

Noel C Kelly 221 25 11.3% +21.34

Ian Duncan 120 7 5.8% −62.50

William Young Jnr 93 5 5.4% +26.25

Stuart Coltherd 79 8 10.1% +36.13

Leonard Kerr 77 7 9.1% −4.00

Sandy Thomson 44 3 6.8% −30.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

349

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.63m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 37 wins

One For Arthur (IRE) — Randox Health Grand National (Grade 3 Handicap Chase) Aintree · Apr 2017 · Grade 3

£561,300

Corach Rambler (IRE) — Randox Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2023 · Class 1

£500,000

Corach Rambler (IRE) — Ultima Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2023 · Class 1

£70,338

Notable horses

Sword Of Fate (IRE) Corach Rambler (IRE) Ahoy Senor (IRE) Celtic Flames (IRE) Bollingerandkrug (IRE) Mia's Anthem (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Milan (GB) 13% · 18–138

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,888 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).

Beneficial (GB) 13.3% · 14–105

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Walk In The Park (IRE) 13.3% · 10–75

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,084 runs since 2011 (711 horses).

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 22.5% · 16–71

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,496 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Getaway (GER) 12.7% · 9–71

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,028 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Gold Well (GB) 17.5% · 11–63

Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2011 (363 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,257 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,257 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 May 2009 to 11 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Nov 26 Ayr If Not For Dylan (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Coral "We're Here For It" Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 5th 11/1

11 Nov 26 Ayr Jem In Em (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore "Play Coral Racing-Super-Series For Free" Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 25/1

11 Nov 26 Ayr Kinbara Firstdraft (IRE)T: Leonard Kerr Coral "Daily Rewards Shaker" Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 17/2

11 Nov 26 Ayr Malinas Party (IRE)T: Stuart Coltherd Coral "Pipped-At-The-Post And Win" Novices' Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 40/1

11 Nov 26 Ayr Stride On (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Coral "Bet£5 Get£30 New Customer Offer" 'Chasing Excellence' Beginners' Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20.5f · Good · 3 ran 2nd 2/5F

09 Nov 26 Carlisle Famous Liss (IRE)T: Stuart Coltherd Christmas Community Raceday 13th December Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 14 ran F 66/1

07 Nov 26 Kelso Fox's Fancy (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore luckytiger.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed The Night Before Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 8th 22/1

07 Nov 26 Kelso Killybegs Jet Lady (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Fifty Shades Of Earl Grey Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Forgive 'N Forget Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 11/1

07 Nov 26 Kelso Golden Point (FR)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Everything Kverneland Think Paxtons' David Edgar Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 28f · Good · 3 ran 1st 6/4

07 Nov 26 Kelso Valtteri Its James (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Graeme Todd Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 10th 4/1

07 Nov 26 Kelso Finisk Pride (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Jumps Look Better On Racing TV Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 22.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 11/10F

06 Nov 26 Aintree Watery Borren (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Bet £10 To Get £40 BetMGM Novices' Hurdle Race (Novices' Championship Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 17f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 3rd 9/4

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Nathan Du Chenet (FR)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore attheraces.com/marketmovers "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 1st 10/1

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Kinbara Firstdraft (IRE)T: Leonard Kerr Equine Products National Hunt Trainers League Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 5th 33/1

01 Nov 26 Carlisle Laser Des Mottes (FR)T: Stuart Coltherd Pricedup Bet Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 125/1

01 Nov 26 Carlisle Apple Away (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Pricedup Boosted Prices Daily Houghton Mares' Steeple Chase (Listed Race) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 3/1

31 Oct 26 Ayr Junior Des Mottes (FR)T: Leonard Kerr Hogmanay Ball At Western House Hotel Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 28/1

31 Oct 26 Ayr She's Notjoeking (GB)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore '3b Crane Hire Trick Or Trot' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 5/2F

31 Oct 26 Ayr Moon Phases (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Bet With Rails Bookmakers On Course Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 11/2

31 Oct 26 Ayr An Mhi (IRE)T: William Young Jnr United Council Of Racecourse Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran F 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 8 runs (won 4, 1 did not run) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Derek Fox's strike rate?: Derek Fox has won 349 of 3,257 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.7% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Derek Fox do best at?: Uttoxeter by strike rate: 8 wins from 51 rides (15.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Derek Fox ride most for?: Lucinda Russell, with 1,697 rides since 2008 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 217 (12.8%).
Is Derek Fox in form?: In the last 14 days: 23 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 8.7%. That is in line with the baseline of 10.7% since 2008.
What is Derek Fox's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 3,255 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.