What is Dorian Provost's strike rate?

Dorian Provost has won 67 of 806 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Dorian Provost do best at?

Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 13 wins from 101 rides (12.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Dorian Provost ride most for?

Y Barberot, with 142 rides since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (12%).

Is Dorian Provost in form?

In the last 14 days: 26 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 11.5%. That is above the baseline of 8.3% since 2008.

What is Dorian Provost's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 805 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Dorian Provost

806 rides in the lifetime window · 464 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

In form — 3 winners last 14 days Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

67–806

Wins / Runs

8.3%

Strike rate

n=806

202 (25%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=805 · 0.82 incl. margin

−53.42

£1 level stake

n=806 at SP · −6.6%

£1.50m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). The rider is in form now — 3 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 806 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Sep 27% when favourite Y Barberot: 12% from 142 Claiming: 9.1% Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Longchamp (FR) (12.9%, n=101), clear of the rider's 8.3% baseline. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 6.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −22.60 to a £1 stake over 206 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the rider is firing: 3 winners from 26 rides in the last 14 days (11.5%, 3.2pts above the 8.3% baseline). Y Barberot supplies 18% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12% vs 8.3%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (13.8%, n=203) and off a 31-60-day break (13.2%, n=144). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Gladiateur at Longchamp (FR) (Sep 2026, £36,600). Seasonally, the rider fires May–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.2%−0.1

n=464 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −15.25

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

9.7%+1.4

n=62 · A/E 0.96 · £1 +49.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.3%−2.0

n=206 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −22.60

When favourite

27%

n=63 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −8.90

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.1%+0.8

n=363 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −70.30

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.1%−2.2

n=360 · A/E 0.97 · £1 +42.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

16.7%+8.4

n=18 · A/E 2.45 · £1 +20.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 13.8% vs 8.3% · n=203

With M Cesandri 14.3% vs 8.3% · n=70

Off a 31-60-day break 13.2% vs 8.3% · n=144

With M Brasme 2.1% vs 8.3% · n=48

At Longchamp (FR) 12.9% vs 8.3% · n=101

With first-time headgear 3.2% vs 8.3% · n=63

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 803 67 8.3% −50.42

Hurdle 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 391 27 6.9% −62.60

Soft 176 17 9.7% −57.42

Good to Soft 139 15 10.8% +116.60

Heavy 61 4 6.6% −34.50

Good 35 4 11.4% −11.50

Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville 230 17 7.4% −24.25

Chantilly 206 14 6.8% −49.50

Saint-Cloud 145 10 6.9% −96.40

Longchamp (FR) 101 13 12.9% +120.00

Vichy (FR) 20 3 15% +4.00

Compiegne (FR) 13 0 0% −13.00

Lyon-La Soie (FR) 12 1 8.3% −8.75

Lyon Parilly (FR) 10 3 30% +4.93

Clairefontaine (FR) 8 1 12.5% +33.00

Salon-de-Provence (FR) 7 2 28.6% +10.25

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 6 1 16.7% +4.80

Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00

Dieppe (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Moulins (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Nancy (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 3 33 2 6.1% −19.00

Class 4 24 2 8.3% −9.67

Class 1 22 5 22.7% +89.40

Class 2 13 1 7.7% −4.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 69 18 26.1% 1.05 −9.90

2nd–3rd fav 129 19 14.7% 1.00 −29.82

4th–6th fav 226 15 6.6% 0.83 −56.00

7th+ in betting 382 15 3.9% 1.19 +42.30

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Just In Time Game (FR) 13 1 3 24 May 26

Allurre (FR) 12 3 4 19 Oct 26

Her Christopher (FR) 10 2 6 7 Nov 26

Chance (GB) 9 2 4 3 Feb 24

A Beauregard (FR) 8 1 2 8 Nov 26

Memphis Tennessee (FR) 8 1 4 27 Oct 26

Zilya (FR) 7 0 0 11 Nov 26

Highbari (FR) 7 0 3 13 Oct 26

Pertusato (FR) 7 0 3 6 Jul 25

Moonwalk Step (FR) 7 2 3 10 Oct 24

Zasymoka (FR) 6 1 3 18 Oct 26

Colgan Senora (FR) 6 1 3 3 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 464 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

3 from 26 11.5% · +3.2pts vs baseline

Last 14 days11.5%

Lifetime base8.3%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

957811101314105123

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardY Barberot

18% of all rides
12% SR · A/E 1.03

TrainerRWSR£1

Y Barberot 142 17 12% −47.55

M Cesandri 70 10 14.3% +58.73

N Caullery 54 3 5.6% −12.50

H-F Devin 51 5 9.8% +17.20

M Brasme 48 1 2.1% −34.70

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.50m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 24 wins

Odemar (FR) — Prix Gladiateur Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2026 · Group 3

£36,600

Vanta (FR) — Qatar Prix de la Place de l'Etoile Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2026 · Class 1

£36,000

Colgan Senora (FR) — Sumbe Grand Handicap (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2025

£29,752

Notable horses

Allurre (FR) Her Christopher (FR) Chance (GB) Moonwalk Step (FR) Odemar (FR) Barbate (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Anodin (IRE) 22.2% · 6–27

Progeny have won 8.8% of 2,450 runs since 2018 (272 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.4% from 117.

Recoletos (FR) 14.3% · 3–21

Progeny have won 9.3% of 838 runs since 2022 (112 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.9% from 209.

Le Havre (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 12.4% of 5,888 runs since 2013 (744 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.4% from 530.

Sidestep (AUS) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 9% of 659 runs since 2019 (65 horses).

Wootton Bassett (GB) 0% · 0–18

Progeny have won 13% of 5,700 runs since 2015 (782 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 162.

Zarak (FR) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 15% of 2,039 runs since 2021 (320 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.6% from 377. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.9% from 261. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 202.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 806 · newest first

The latest 50 of 806 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 May 2022 to 13 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Raw Energy (FR)T: Yoann Bonnefoy Prix De La Vallee De Chevreuse10f · Heavy · 15 ran 7th 22/1

13 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Eloise (FR)T: M Brasme Prix Du Plateau De Saclay10f · Heavy · 13 ran 3rd 8/1

12 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Blu Metal Jacket (ITY)T: S Pecoraro Prix Du Carrefour Des Hautes CoutumesClass 4 · 6.5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 10/1

12 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Run Liway (FR)T: Yoann Bonnefoy Prix De L'allee Massine8f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 9/2

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Measter Owen (FR)T: M Cesandri Prix Jerome Rambaud12f · Soft · 16 ran 3rd 12/1

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Zilya (FR)T: M Cesandri Prix De La Ville De Toulouse12f · Soft · 16 ran 4th 14/1

10 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Ikemen (IRE)T: H-F Devin Prix Jour de Galop9f · Very Soft · 11 ran 6th 8/1

09 Nov 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Velours (FR)T: Y Barberot Prix Perouges9f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 10/1

09 Nov 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Irelia (FR)T: Antoine Sanglard Prix De Divonne-les-Bains9f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 20/1

09 Nov 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Daytonine (IRE)T: Y Barberot Prix Signora12f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 9/4

08 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) A Beauregard (FR)T: M Cesandri Prix Sagaro15.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 8th 10/1

07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Judicious Game (FR)T: M Brasme Prix De L'operation SpringClass 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 14th 10/1

07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Her Christopher (FR)T: M Cesandri Prix De L'operation EpsomClass 2 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 2nd 12/1

07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Derni Chop (FR)T: M Cesandri Prix Du Pont D'ouilly12.5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 12/1

06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Sonny Angel (GB)T: M Munch Prix Du Vexin NormandClass 2 · 12.5f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 11/2

06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Cedrus (FR)T: Louis Bernhardt Prix De De BeaufaiClass 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 40/1

06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Feelgood (FR)T: M Brasme Prix De Voltaire6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 25/1

06 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Havanista (GB)T: H-F Devin Prix De Croissanville7.5f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 14/1

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Vadazal (FR)T: M Seror Prix Du Poteau Des Brulis9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 13th 40/1

05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Silver Reel (FR)T: Thibault Speicher Prix Du Domaine De Valgenceuse8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Dorian Provost's strike rate?: Dorian Provost has won 67 of 806 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Dorian Provost do best at?: Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 13 wins from 101 rides (12.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Dorian Provost ride most for?: Y Barberot, with 142 rides since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (12%).
Is Dorian Provost in form?: In the last 14 days: 26 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 11.5%. That is above the baseline of 8.3% since 2008.
What is Dorian Provost's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 805 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.