Finn Lambert
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (46 rides).
The record is strongest at Southwell (13.5%, n=37), clear of the rider's 8.9% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.4% (n=46, Fair A/E 1.09), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.8% (n=78, Fair A/E 0.67). Nigel Twiston-Davies supplies 30% of the rides and beats the rider's average (15.2% vs 8.9%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 0% over 34 rides, 8.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 0.72 across 172 rides (5.8% strike, −73.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2020→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 571 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 571 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 December 2020 to 14 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Finn Lambert's strike rate?
- Finn Lambert has won 51 of 573 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.9% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Finn Lambert do best at?
- Southwell by strike rate: 5 wins from 37 rides (13.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Finn Lambert ride most for?
- Nigel Twiston-Davies, with 171 rides since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (15.2%).
- Is Finn Lambert in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Finn Lambert's Fair A/E?
- 0.90, from 573 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.