Gary Mahon
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (60 rides).
The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (15.5%, n=84), clear of the rider's 9.2% baseline. It is weakest at Lingfield (AW) (3.7% over 54 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.3% (n=60, Fair A/E 0.81), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.6% (n=65, Fair A/E 0.84). Richard Hannon supplied 23% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.3% vs 9.2%, A/E 0.93). The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (17%, n=47) and at trips under 6f (15.5%, n=71). The market has also underrated the rider in Class 4: Fair A/E 1.64 across 67 rides (14.9% strike, +17.33 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 5% over 141 rides, 4.2pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2012→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 578 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 578 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 May 2012 to 26 June 2020.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Gary Mahon's strike rate?
- Gary Mahon has won 53 of 578 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Gary Mahon do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 13 wins from 84 rides (15.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Gary Mahon ride most for?
- Richard Hannon, with 133 rides since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (11.3%).
- What is Gary Mahon's Fair A/E?
- 1.00, from 577 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.