What is Philip McBride's strike rate?

Philip McBride has won 57 of 429 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Philip McBride do best at?

Yarmouth by strike rate: 18 wins from 90 runners (20%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Philip McBride?

Adam Farragher, with 118 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (11.9%).

Is Philip McBride in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Philip McBride's Fair A/E?

1.26, from 429 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Philip McBride

429 runners in the last 5 seasons · 36 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 7 days ago 96% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

57–429

Wins / Runs

13.3%

Strike rate

n=429

122 (28%)

Placed

1.26

Fair A/E

n=429 · 1.08 incl. margin

+118.30

£1 level stake

n=429 at SP · +27.6%

£507k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.26). With a claiming rider up the record reads 16% (152 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 429 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Oct 42.9% when favourite Adam Farragher: 11.9% from 118 Claiming riders: 15.8% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Yarmouth (20%, n=90), clear of the yard's 13.3% baseline. It is weakest at Chelmsford City (AW) (9.3% over 54 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 15.8% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.62 and +104.23 to a £1 stake over 152 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Adam Farragher rides 28% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.9%, A/E 1.40) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (22.2%, n=36) and at trips under 6f (17.5%, n=57). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms 'Bosra Sham' EBF Fillies' Stakes at Newmarket (Oct 2016, £17,013). The stable star of the record: Camachess (IRE) — 10 wins from 63 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

13.2%−0.1

n=53 · A/E 1.81 · £1 +115.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

100%+86.7

n=1 · A/E 15.06 · £1 +12.00

Debutants · first career start

3.4%−9.9

n=29 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −10.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−13.3

n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.3%−5.0

n=12 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −5.00

When favourite

42.9%

n=42 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +13.22

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

15.8%+2.5

n=152 · A/E 1.62 · £1 +104.23

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−13.3

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 26.4% vs 13.3% · n=53

Off a 0-7-day break 22.2% vs 13.3% · n=36

At Yarmouth 20% vs 13.3% · n=90

With C&D winners 19.7% vs 13.3% · n=71

At trips under 6f 17.5% vs 13.3% · n=57

At Chelmsford City (AW) 9.3% vs 13.3% · n=54

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 411 52 12.7% +95.32

Hurdle 13 5 38.5% +27.98

Chase 3 0 0% −3.00

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 154 17 11% +36.08

Good to Firm 99 14 14.1% −20.25

Good 97 13 13.4% +36.74

Good to Soft 49 7 14.3% +39.25

Soft 27 6 22.2% +29.48

Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Yarmouth 90 18 20% +85.87

Chelmsford City (AW) 54 5 9.3% +44.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 32 4 12.5% −2.50

Southwell (AW) 29 6 20.7% +18.83

Newmarket 26 1 3.8% −5.00

Newmarket 25 2 8% −4.50

Kempton (AW) 23 2 8.7% −8.75

Doncaster 20 3 15% +7.50

Brighton 14 0 0% −14.00

Beverley 13 1 7.7% +0.00

Lingfield (AW) 13 0 0% −13.00

Nottingham 11 1 9.1% −8.50

Leicester 10 1 10% −6.25

Huntingdon 10 4 40% +28.23

Newbury 6 3 50% +23.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 142 20 14.1% −17.77

Class 6 134 20 14.9% −12.43

Class 4 103 14 13.6% +78.00

Class 3 23 2 8.7% +46.50

Class 2 21 1 4.8% +30.00

Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 52 19 36.5% 1.42 +7.72

2nd–3rd fav 89 13 14.6% 0.88 −20.42

4th–6th fav 153 18 11.8% 1.43 +77.00

7th+ in betting 135 7 5.2% 1.58 +54.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Onemorenomore (GB) 41 4 12 5 Jul 26

Rhythmic Acclaim (IRE) 29 4 10 11 Jun 25

Charming Whisper (GB)then P Sweeney 28 5 7 23 Oct 25

Speriamo (GB) 28 5 10 1 Jun 25

Fletcher's Flight (IRE)then Charlie Wallis 26 4 8 21 Nov 25

Priscilla's Wish (GB) 26 7 13 28 Jun 24

Juno Star (IRE) 22 1 7 27 Jan 26

Camachess (IRE) 20 1 6 28 Jan 23

Scarlet Lady (GB) 18 1 4 24 Apr 25

Equiami (GB) 18 2 3 30 Jan 24

Hopeman Harbour (GB) 16 2 7 27 Jan 23

Poker Master (IRE) 15 5 7 12 Nov 24

All 36 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 36 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 35 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

513211311124231515727

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAdam Farragher

28% of all rides
11.9% SR · A/E 1.40

RiderRWSR£1

Adam Farragher 118 14 11.9% +32.25

Harry Davies 31 4 12.9% −16.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

275

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.92m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 19 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Spiritual Lady (GB) — Irish Stallion Farms 'Bosra Sham' EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed) Newmarket · Oct 2016 · Listed

£17,013

Charming Whisper (GB) — Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Yarmouth · Aug 2023 · Class 2

£16,200

Zack Mayo (GB) — Dan Hague, Yarmouth's Number 1 Bookmaker Handicap Yarmouth · Sep 2017 · Class 2

£15,185

Notable horses

Camachess (IRE) Priscilla's Wish (GB) Rose Bien (GB) Brigliadoro (IRE) Extremely So (GB) Networker (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Adaay (IRE) 20.5% · 9–44

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,957 runs since 2008 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 497.

Mukhadram (GB) 9.8% · 4–41

Progeny have won 10.7% of 2,438 runs since 2008 (199 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.2% from 302.

Bated Breath (GB) 13.9% · 5–36

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,128 runs since 2008 (669 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 843.

Outstrip (GB) 16.7% · 5–30

Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,273 runs since 2008 (239 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 631. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.7% from 263.

Acclamation (GB) 13.8% · 4–29

Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Charm Spirit (IRE) 17.9% · 5–28

Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,806 runs since 2008 (339 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 448. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.8% from 133. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 445.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,354 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,354 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 13 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Oct 26 Leicester Beverleighann (GB)J: Cieren Fallon British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 17/2

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Izzy Fast (GB)J: Jack Callan First Furnishings Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 1st 11/1

05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Top Marks (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Strawberry Fields Stud Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 150/1

01 Oct 26 Nottingham Princess Lottie (GB)J: Kevin Stott Ebf Oh So Sharp Maiden Fillies' Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 8.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 12/1

26 Sep 26 Haydock Elara May (GB)J: Ashley Lewis William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Heavy · 10 ran 3rd 11/1

05 Sep 26 Haydock Elara May (GB)J: Hector Crouch Betfair Be Friendly Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 14/1

04 Sep 26 Haydock Princess Lottie (GB)J: Cieren Fallon Lee Thomas Christy Memorial Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 4 ran 2nd 11/4

30 Aug 26 Yarmouth Elara May (GB)J: Ashley Lewis Bodhi Solutions - Exceeding Expectations In Construction Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 2nd 7/1

23 Aug 26 Brighton Priscilla's Hope (GB)J: Harry Davies John Heal Memorial Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 33/1

21 Aug 26 Newmarket (July) Elara May (GB)J: Hector Crouch Racing TV Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 22/1

07 Aug 26 Thirsk Priscilla's Hope (GB)J: Andrew Mullen Peter Bell Memorial Fillies' Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 6 ran 6th 22/1

05 Aug 26 Yarmouth Ava Louise (GB)J: Hector Crouch British Stallion Studs Ebf Maiden Fillies' Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 300/1

28 Jul 26 Beverley Ava Louise (GB)J: Ethan Tindall EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 8th 40/1

17 Jul 26 Newmarket (July) Elara May (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 16/1

17 Jul 26 Newmarket (July) Princess Lottie (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Discover Newmarket Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 18/1

15 Jul 26 Yarmouth Izzy Fast (GB)J: Hector Crouch 4-head Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 3/1

08 Jul 26 Yarmouth Miss U Gino (GB)J: Sean D Bowen Infobond NurseryClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 33/1

08 Jul 26 Yarmouth Izzy Fast (GB)J: Hector Crouch Winning Experience With Moulton Racing Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 2nd 16/1

07 Jul 26 Pontefract Priscilla's Hope (GB)J: Rowan Scott Wakefield Thornes Cricket Club NurseryClass 6 · 6f · Good · 8 ran 5th 11/1

05 Jul 26 Southwell (AW) Onemorenomore (GB)J: Jason Hart attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 3/1F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Philip McBride's strike rate?: Philip McBride has won 57 of 429 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Philip McBride do best at?: Yarmouth by strike rate: 18 wins from 90 runners (20%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Philip McBride?: Adam Farragher, with 118 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (11.9%).
Is Philip McBride in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Philip McBride's Fair A/E?: 1.26, from 429 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.