What is Greg Fairley's strike rate?

Greg Fairley has won 248 of 2,028 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Greg Fairley do best at?

Catterick by strike rate: 25 wins from 129 rides (19.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Greg Fairley ride most for?

Mark Johnston, with 1,039 rides since 2008 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 176 (16.9%).

Is Greg Fairley in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 5 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Greg Fairley's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 2,015 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Greg Fairley

2,028 rides in the lifetime window · 1,057 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 7 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

248–2,028

Wins / Runs

12.2%

Strike rate

n=2,028

598 (30%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=2,015 · 0.91 incl. margin

−486.54

£1 level stake

n=2,028 at SP · −24.0%

£2.11m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 110 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (214 rides). Rides mostly for Mark Johnston — 51% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,028 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Mar 40.9% when favourite Mark Johnston: 16.9% from 1,039 LTO winners: 22.4% Rides the favourite in 11% of races

The read

It is weakest at Carlisle (0% over 39 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22.4% (n=214, Fair A/E 1.11), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7.4% (n=325, Fair A/E 1.09). Mark Johnston supplies 51% of the rides and edges the rider's average (16.9% vs 12.2%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Kleinwort Benson Heritage Handicap at Newmarket (Jul 2007, £43,624). The standout partner of the record: Thebes (GB) — 6 wins from 24 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Dec–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10.7%−1.5

n=957 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −228.42

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

22.4%+10.2

n=214 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −30.58

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

11%−1.2

n=236 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −36.53

When favourite

40.9%

n=230 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +15.63

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.4%−4.8

n=325 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −79.88

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.1%−3.1

n=55 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −24.12

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 22.4% vs 12.2% · n=214

With Katie Scott 0% vs 12.2% · n=41

At Carlisle 0% vs 12.2% · n=39

With Michael Mullineaux 0% vs 12.2% · n=38

At Newcastle (AW) 2% vs 12.2% · n=50

With Iain Jardine 2.1% vs 12.2% · n=47

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 754 107 14.2% −204.45

Good to Firm 483 56 11.6% −108.79

Good 419 49 11.7% −87.32

Good to Soft 160 12 7.5% −37.01

Soft 155 14 9% −50.22

Heavy 31 3 9.7% −7.25

Firm 26 7 26.9% +8.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 217 35 16.1% −55.54

Southwell (AW) 193 32 16.6% −15.91

Kempton (AW) 135 17 12.6% −64.76

Lingfield (AW) 130 17 13.1% −48.49

Catterick 129 25 19.4% +21.09

Hamilton 127 12 9.4% −79.87

Musselburgh 94 11 11.7% −25.92

Haydock 87 4 4.6% −68.59

Redcar 70 9 12.9% −1.06

Ayr 69 8 11.6% −27.00

Goodwood 58 9 15.5% +18.50

Newcastle 52 4 7.7% −34.75

Newcastle (AW) 50 1 2% −16.00

York 40 4 10% −10.00

Carlisle 39 0 0% −39.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 683 94 13.8% −201.88

Class 6 520 47 9% −189.69

Class 4 397 56 14.1% −93.09

Class 2 199 16 8% −18.75

Class 3 157 26 16.6% +40.24

Class 1 55 5 9.1% −24.12

Class 7 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 261 99 37.9% 1.15 +4.50

2nd–3rd fav 476 89 18.7% 1.10 −6.04

4th–6th fav 601 43 7.2% 0.94 −136.00

7th+ in betting 690 17 2.5% 0.72 −349.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Thebes (GB) 24 6 9 5 Sep 10

Lady Jane Digby (GB) 15 4 8 3 Jul 10

Robby Bobby (GB) 14 2 3 23 Oct 10

Ramon Di Loria (IRE) 12 2 7 7 Nov 26

Avonrose (GB) 12 3 3 12 Dec 10

William Blake (GB) 12 1 6 24 Oct 09

Falaise Blanc (FR) 11 0 4 25 Sep 26

On The Bubble (GB) 11 0 2 30 Jun 26

Nave (USA) 11 3 6 21 May 11

Elusive Fame (USA) 10 1 6 16 Jan 11

Fullandby (IRE) 10 1 3 13 Jun 10

Nightjar (USA) 10 3 4 21 Oct 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,057 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 5

Only 5 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

221916911111588101215

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMark Johnston

51% of all rides
16.9% SR · A/E 1.07

TrainerRWSR£1

Mark Johnston 1,039 176 16.9% −147.71

Ewan Whillans 62 8 12.9% +20.83

Iain Jardine 47 1 2.1% −44.12

Tim Etherington 44 3 6.8% −6.50

Katie Scott 41 0 0% −41.00

Peter Salmon 38 1 2.6% −34.00

Michael Mullineaux 38 0 0% −38.00

George Foster 37 7 18.9% +48.20

Bryan Smart 31 6 19.4% +35.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

395

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.06m

Prize money

2009

Best season · 85 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Hearthstead Maison (IRE) — Kleinwort Benson Heritage Handicap Newmarket · Jul 2007 · Class 2

£43,624

Shaweel (GB) — Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) Newbury · Aug 2008 · Group 2

£39,739

Parthenon (GB) — Totepool Glasgow Stakes (Listed) Hamilton · May 2009 · Listed

£30,815

Notable horses

Thebes (GB) McEldowney (GB) Lady Jane Digby (GB) Kingscroft (IRE) Robby Bobby (GB) Avonrose (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Cape Cross (IRE) 18.4% · 9–49

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Giant's Causeway (USA) 14.3% · 7–49

Progeny have won 11.6% of 3,018 runs since 2008 (320 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 394. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 8.3% from 422.

Selkirk (USA) 11.4% · 4–35

Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,371 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 228. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.7% from 143.

King's Best (USA) 20.6% · 7–34

Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.

Halling (USA) 26.7% · 8–30

Progeny have won 11% of 6,095 runs since 2008 (409 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 187.

Cadeaux Genereux (GB) 25% · 7–28

Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,919 runs since 2008 (203 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,227 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,227 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Ramon Di Loria (IRE)T: Ewan Whillans Midnite Building The Future Of Betting Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 40/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Galahad Threepwood (GB)T: Ewan Whillans Joe Fanning Fond Farewell Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 9/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Idyllic (GB)T: Wilf Storey Burton Roofing Merchants Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 12.5f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 12/1

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Flying Moonlight (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson Burton Roofing Merchants Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 12.5f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 9/4F

04 Nov 26 Musselburgh Edgewater Drive (IRE)T: Wilf Storey Veronika Walker: Moments That Matter Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 25/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Mrbluesky (IRE)T: Gary Rutherford Aw Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 100/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Parole Officer (GB)T: Ewan Whillans Market Cross Jewellers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Heavy · 14 ran 5th 11/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) High Point (IRE)T: Iain Jardine Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 100/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Sure And Stedfast (IRE)T: Ewan Whillans Phil Bull Trophy Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 18f · Heavy · 9 ran 9th 22/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Inappropriate (IRE)T: Ewan Whillans Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 10/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Galahad Threepwood (GB)T: Ewan Whillans Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 11/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Pallas Lord (IRE)T: Donald Whillans Musselburgh Members Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 80/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Pickersgill (IRE)T: Iain Jardine Watch On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 7/1

12 Oct 26 Musselburgh Sneakin Pete (GB)T: R. Mike Smith British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 4th 150/1

08 Oct 26 Ayr Flying Moonlight (IRE)T: Sandy Thomson Outcider Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Heavy · 13 ran 3rd 9/2F

03 Oct 26 Redcar Sure And Stedfast (IRE)T: Ewan Whillans Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 8/1

02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Lazy In Red (GB)T: Donald Whillans Aalberts Integrated Piping Systems Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 300/1

30 Sep 26 Musselburgh Escape Act (IRE)T: Jean McGregor Invades Day Party Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 100/1

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Wee Dresser (GB)T: Katie Scott Northumbrian Wateraid Sprint Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 33/1

25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Falaise Blanc (FR)T: Katie Scott Esh Stantec Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 1) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Greg Fairley's strike rate?: Greg Fairley has won 248 of 2,028 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Greg Fairley do best at?: Catterick by strike rate: 25 wins from 129 rides (19.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Greg Fairley ride most for?: Mark Johnston, with 1,039 rides since 2008 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 176 (16.9%).
Is Greg Fairley in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 5 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Greg Fairley's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 2,015 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.