What is Katy Price's strike rate?

Katy Price has won 27 of 290 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.3% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Katy Price do best at?

Hereford by strike rate: 4 wins from 44 runners (9.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Katy Price?

Shane Quinlan, with 102 runners since 2022 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (7.8%).

Is Katy Price in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Katy Price's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 290 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Katy Price

290 runners in the last 5 seasons · 48 individual horses

As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 9 days ago 97% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2022

27–290

Wins / Runs

9.3%

Strike rate

n=290

72 (25%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=290 · 0.84 incl. margin

−107.52

£1 level stake

n=290 at SP · −37.1%

£302k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

17.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96).

Deterministic profile computed from 290 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar Shane Quinlan: 7.8% from 102

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3% (n=67, Fair A/E 0.42). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −57.42 to a £1 stake over 134 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Shane Quinlan rides 35% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.8%, A/E 0.85). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (18.4%, n=38) and off a 31-60-day break (14%, n=43). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 31 runners, 9.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 0.50 across 64 runners (4.7% strike, −33.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the bet365 Staffordshire Plate at Uttoxeter (May 2018, £21,896). The stable star of the record: Minellacelebration (IRE) — 11 wins from 45 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3%−6.3

n=67 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −54.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.9%−3.4

n=17 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −8.50

Debutants · first career start

5%−4.3

n=20 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −8.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−9.3

n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

20%+10.7

n=5 · A/E 2.79 · £1 +12.00

When favourite

28.6%

n=21 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −3.85

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6%−3.3

n=134 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −57.42

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−9.3

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Gavin Sheehan 22.1% vs 9.3% · n=68

With horses switching code 0% vs 9.3% · n=36

Off a 8-14-day break 18.4% vs 9.3% · n=38

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 9.3% · n=31

Over 2m5f – 3m 4.7% vs 9.3% · n=64

Off a 31-60-day break 14% vs 9.3% · n=43

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 153 15 9.8% −68.42

Chase 110 11 10% −24.10

NH Flat 17 1 5.9% −5.00

Flat 10 0 0% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 130 12 9.2% −38.75

Soft 61 5 8.2% −37.42

Good to Soft 56 4 7.1% −19.92

Heavy 23 4 17.4% −6.93

Good to Firm 10 2 20% +5.50

Standard (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Hereford 44 4 9.1% +5.50

Ffos Las 36 3 8.3% −20.00

Worcester 21 1 4.8% −15.00

Chepstow 20 3 15% +0.75

Warwick 20 2 10% −13.75

Ludlow 15 1 6.7% −9.50

Exeter 14 2 14.3% +2.50

Taunton 13 0 0% −13.00

Uttoxeter 11 3 27.3% +5.33

Newbury 9 1 11.1% −5.75

Wincanton 9 0 0% −9.00

Newton Abbot 8 0 0% −8.00

Stratford 8 1 12.5% −1.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Bangor-on-Dee 7 1 14.3% −2.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 124 10 8.1% −52.00

Class 5 123 14 11.4% −38.27

Class 3 22 2 9.1% −13.25

Class 2 11 1 9.1% +6.00

Class 6 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 26 6 23.1% 0.79 −8.85

2nd–3rd fav 55 13 23.6% 1.31 +10.33

4th–6th fav 109 5 4.6% 0.64 −58.00

7th+ in betting 100 3 3% 1.14 −51.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.4% completed · 263 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 110 80.9% 4 4 12 1 0

Hurdle 153 86.9% 2 0 18 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Face D'music (IRE) 22 3 8 16 Mar 26

King Of Brazil (GB)from Colin Bowe 22 3 6 19 Nov 25

El Rojo Grande (IRE) 20 4 11 18 Apr 26

Premier D'troice (FR)from Archie Watson 18 1 10 27 Jun 23

Lost Connections (IRE)from Leonard Paul Flynn · then Jake Thomas Coulson 16 1 3 14 Oct 24

Chestnut Pete (GB)from Sophie Leech 12 1 4 25 Mar 26

Peacenik (IRE) 12 3 7 20 Mar 26

Prolific Profile (IRE) 12 3 5 13 May 25

Bob O Rhino (IRE) 10 1 2 25 Nov 24

Fenney Brook (GB)from Henry Daly 10 1 3 14 Oct 24

Mix Master (GB) 9 0 0 15 Jan 24

The Rebel Breen (GB)from Noel Meade 9 0 0 15 Oct 23

All 48 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 48 horses listed, 21 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Sophie Leech (2); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Jake Thomas Coulson (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

13121131221110251034

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderShane Quinlan

35% of all rides
7.8% SR · A/E 0.85

RiderRWSR£1

Shane Quinlan 102 8 7.8% −33.67

Gavin Sheehan 68 15 22.1% +10.08

Ben Poste 42 2 4.8% −19.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£739k

Prize money

2019

Best season · 9 wins

Minellacelebration (IRE) — bet365 Staffordshire Plate (Open Handicap Chase) Uttoxeter · May 2018 · Class 2

£21,896

Minellacelebration (IRE) — David Keith Memorial Veterans' Handicap Chase Fakenham · Apr 2022 · Class 2

£16,338

Minellacelebration (IRE) — bet365 Staffordshire Plate (Open Handicap Chase) Uttoxeter · May 2017 · Class 2

£15,640

Notable horses

Minellacelebration (IRE) Out For Justice (IRE) El Rojo Grande (IRE) Schindler's Prince (IRE) Clondaw Rigger (IRE) Face D'music (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Jukebox Jury (IRE) 10.3% · 3–29

Progeny have won 13.4% of 2,228 runs since 2008 (253 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.3% from 155.

Blue Bresil (FR) 13.6% · 3–22

Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,496 runs since 2008 (454 horses).

Mount Nelson (GB) 15% · 3–20

Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,261 runs since 2008 (538 horses).

Ocovango (GB) 20% · 4–20

Progeny have won 9.4% of 2,989 runs since 2008 (303 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14% from 193.

Great Pretender (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 13.1% of 3,537 runs since 2008 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,489 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 890 · newest first

The latest 50 of 890 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 October 2015 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Forever My Girl (IRE)J: Donagh Murphy Free Bets On Attheraces.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 150/1

13 Oct 26 Hereford Mahon Falls (IRE)J: Shane Quinlan tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 22/1

13 Oct 26 Hereford Department Of War (IRE)J: Shane Quinlan Betting.Bet Free Bets Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 100/1

07 Oct 26 Worcester Guildhall Graduate (IRE)J: Shane Quinlan Copybet Supporting Uk Horse Racing Fillies' Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 4th 14/1

17 May 26 Stratford Mahon Falls (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan Deryck Baker Memorial Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 3rd 8/1

09 May 26 Warwick Silver Gale (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan Subscribe To Head In Front Betting Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25f · Good · 6 ran 4th 5/2

04 May 26 Warwick Jet Joe (GB)J: Shane Quinlan Hazelton Mountford Insurance Brokers Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25f · Good · 8 ran 4th 12/1

18 Apr 26 Bangor-on-Dee El Rojo Grande (IRE)J: Shane Quinlan Gieves & Hawkes Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 14 ran PU 10/1

13 Apr 26 Fakenham Silver Gale (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan Woodfordes Mares' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 6/1

13 Apr 26 Fakenham Mahon Falls (IRE)J: Shane Quinlan Racing TV Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 40/1

07 Apr 26 Exeter Mysteriosa (FR)J: Shane Quinlan Ludo Sports & Live Lounge 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 25/1

07 Apr 26 Exeter Jet Joe (GB)J: Shane Quinlan Travel Incentive For British Buyers Novices' Selling HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 10/1

29 Mar 26 Ascot Mahon Falls (IRE)J: Shane Quinlan Ascot Racecourse Supports Horse Rangers Hampton Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 19.5f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 22/1

26 Mar 26 Warwick El Rojo Grande (IRE)J: Shane Quinlan Best Odds Guaranteed At Betano Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 1st 3/1

26 Mar 26 Warwick Silver Gale (IRE)J: Shane Quinlan JCB Mini-Excavator Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 3/1

25 Mar 26 Hereford Chestnut Pete (GB)J: Shane Quinlan CB Security & Protection Services Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 15/8F

22 Mar 26 Exeter Call Me Ken (IRE)J: Miss Carys Morris Greendale Farm Shop Point-To-Point Bumper Maiden NH Flat Race (Amateur Jockeys) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 11/1

20 Mar 26 Newbury Peacenik (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 8/11F

16 Mar 26 Ffos Las Face D'music (IRE)J: Shane Quinlan Sarnau Stables Joins Barry Murphy Racing 'Welsh Gold Cup' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 5/2

16 Mar 26 Ffos Las El Rojo Grande (IRE)J: Shane Quinlan Good Luck Barry Murphy Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 9/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Katy Price's strike rate?: Katy Price has won 27 of 290 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.3% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Katy Price do best at?: Hereford by strike rate: 4 wins from 44 runners (9.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Katy Price?: Shane Quinlan, with 102 runners since 2022 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (7.8%).
Is Katy Price in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Katy Price's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 290 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.