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Trainer profile

John Flint

249 runners in the last 5 seasons · 32 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2024
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
30–249
Wins / Runs
12%
Strike rate
n=249
65 (26%)
Placed
1.28
Fair A/E
n=249 · 1.10 incl. margin
−12.29
£1 level stake
n=249 at SP · −4.9%
£254k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.28). With a claiming rider up the record reads 15% (126 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 249 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance William Cox: 5.7% from 87 Claiming riders: 15.1%
The read

The record is strongest at Bath (22.6%, n=31), clear of the yard's 12% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a positive signal at 15.1% (n=126, Fair A/E 1.39), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.8% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.64). William Cox rides 35% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (5.7% vs 12%, A/E 0.81). The yard also reads well on Good going (17.9%, n=95) and off a 15-30-day break (16.3%, n=98). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 2.4% over 42 runners, 9.6pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the totepool National Spirit Hurdle at Fontwell (Feb 2014, £28,475). The stable star of the record: Urban Space (GB) — 10 wins from 46 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.8%−9.2
n=36 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −10.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−12.0
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−12.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
16.7%+4.7
n=6 · A/E 6.59 · £1 +9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
16.7%+4.7
n=6 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −3.80
When favourite
55.6%
n=18 · A/E 1.79 · £1 +12.76
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
15.1%+3.1
n=126 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +15.05
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−12.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 25% vs 12% · n=52
At Bath 22.6% vs 12% · n=31
On Standard (AW) going 2.4% vs 12% · n=42
With William Cox 5.7% vs 12% · n=87
On Good going 17.9% vs 12% · n=95
Off a 15-30-day break 16.3% vs 12% · n=98
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 199 22 11.1% −9.95
Hurdle 24 1 4.2% −12.00
Chase 20 7 35% +15.66
NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 95 17 17.9% +22.23
Standard (AW) 42 1 2.4% −38.25
Good to Soft 40 5 12.5% +0.33
Good to Firm 39 5 12.8% +17.90
Soft 23 1 4.3% −10.00
Heavy 7 1 14.3% −1.50
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Windsor 35 5 14.3% −1.30
Bath 31 7 22.6% +44.83
Newbury 28 0 0% −28.00
Chepstow 24 4 16.7% +2.70
Wolverhampton (AW) 23 0 0% −23.00
Ffos Las 20 5 25% +13.07
Goodwood 10 2 20% +14.50
Stratford 10 3 30% +11.63
Chelmsford City (AW) 7 1 14.3% −3.25
Kempton (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Lingfield (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Ascot 5 0 0% −5.00
Sandown 5 0 0% −5.00
Salisbury 5 0 0% −5.00
Worcester 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 98 8 8.2% −13.73
Class 6 76 11 14.5% +5.95
Class 4 44 7 15.9% −7.84
Class 3 21 2 9.5% +3.50
Class 2 8 2 25% +1.83
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 21 11 52.4% 1.77 +13.51
2nd–3rd fav 41 7 17.1% 1.10 −6.80
4th–6th fav 85 9 10.6% 1.22 +19.00
7th+ in betting 102 3 2.9% 0.85 −38.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Vape (GB)from Tony Carroll · then John & Rhys Flint 25 4 12 3 Jan 24
Lilandra (FR)from Ross O'Sullivan · then John & Rhys Flint 25 4 9 16 Sep 23
Alyara (GB)from K R Burke · then John & Rhys Flint 20 1 6 18 Nov 23
Carp Kid (IRE)from Jamie Osborne · then John & Rhys Flint 20 3 6 5 Sep 23
Rival (GB)from Andrew Balding · then John & Rhys Flint 16 1 2 23 Oct 23
Blaze A Trail (IRE)from Liz Doyle · then John & Rhys Flint 13 5 7 25 Sep 23
Lyndon B (IRE)from Jamie Osborne · then John & Rhys Flint 11 1 3 8 Sep 23
Amateur (IRE)from Geoffrey Harker · then John & Rhys Flint 10 2 3 27 Dec 23
The Wire Flyer (GB)from Amy Murphy · then Christian Williams 10 0 0 27 Feb 23
Too Shy Shy (IRE)from Tony Carroll · then Daniel Bourne 9 1 1 25 Sep 22
Lusaka (IRE)from Olly Murphy · then John & Rhys Flint 8 4 4 16 Sep 23
Jade Country (GB)from Eve Johnson Houghton · then John & Rhys Flint 7 0 0 6 Nov 23
All 32 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 32 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Tony Carroll (4) and Jamie Osborne (2); 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for John & Rhys Flint (14) and Daniel Bourne (2); 14 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
001481391910241300
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderWilliam Cox
35% of all rides
5.7% SR · A/E 0.81
RiderRWSR£1
William Cox 87 5 5.7% −31.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
206
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£1.37m
Prize money
2010
Best season · 23 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Kayf Moss (GB) — totepool National Spirit Hurdle (Grade 2) Fontwell · Feb 2014 · Grade 2
£28,475
Eddiemaurice (IRE) — First Days Charity Novices' Handicap Chase Ascot · Mar 2019 · Class 2
£25,024
Eddiemaurice (IRE) — Canaccord Genuity Handicap Hurdle Ascot · Nov 2016 · Class 2
£18,768
Notable horses
Urban Space (GB) Bernisdale (GB) Carp Kid (IRE) Eddiemaurice (IRE) Ayla's Emperor (GB) Lac Sacre (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dark Angel (IRE) 14.3% · 4–28
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,841 runs since 2008 (1,593 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Equiano (FR) 16% · 4–25
Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,537 runs since 2008 (549 horses).
Cable Bay (IRE) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,706 runs since 2008 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 640. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
Lope De Vega (IRE) 15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,119 runs since 2008 (1,097 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 952.
Kodiac (GB) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,515 runs since 2008 (1,664 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Iffraaj (GB) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,939 runs since 2008 (1,089 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,140 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,140 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2005 to 7 February 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Feb 24 Kempton (AW) Glad Hope (GB)J: George Rooke Unibet Supports Safe Gambling Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 12th 250/1
03 Jan 24 Kempton (AW) Vape (GB)J: William Cox Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 7th 11/2
27 Dec 23 Chepstow Amateur (IRE)J: Connor Brace Coral Welsh Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (Run In Memory Of Kim Gingell) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 30.5f · Heavy · 19 ran PU 50/1
18 Nov 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Alyara (GB)J: Joe Leavy Use Safer Gambling Tools At BetMGM HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 9/2
17 Nov 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Ourdefence (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Stay In Control At BetUK Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 80/1
06 Nov 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Vape (GB)J: William Cox Find More Big Deals At BetUK HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 28/1
06 Nov 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Jade Country (GB)J: William Cox Boost Your Acca With BetMGM Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 100/1
06 Nov 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Flame Of Kodiac (IRE)J: William Cox Boost Your Acca With BetMGM Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 100/1
23 Oct 23 Windsor Ourdefence (IRE)J: Callum Hutchinson Sri Lanka, The Teardrop Island Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 50/1
23 Oct 23 Windsor Rival (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Sri Lanka Awaits You HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Heavy · 14 ran 12th 12/1
21 Oct 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Alyara (GB)J: Joe Leavy Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 15/2
11 Oct 23 Kempton (AW) Jade Country (GB)J: Charles Bishop Unibet Horserace Betting-Operator Of The Year HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 10th 40/1
09 Oct 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Alyara (GB)J: Joe Leavy At The Races App Form Study HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 8/1
09 Oct 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Flame Of Kodiac (IRE)J: Miss Amy Tucker Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 80/1
07 Oct 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Iconic Knight (IRE)J: William Carson Each Way Extra At bet365 HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 28/1
25 Sep 23 Warwick Blaze A Trail (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Paul Fergusons Jumpers To Follow Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran PU 22/1
18 Sep 23 Brighton Iconic Knight (IRE)J: William Cox At The Races App Expert Tips HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 3/1J
16 Sep 23 Bath Alyara (GB)J: Joe Leavy In Loving Memory Of Lorraine Webb Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 4/1
16 Sep 23 Bath Lilandra (FR)J: Joe Leavy In Loving Memory Of Lorraine Webb Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 7/2
16 Sep 23 Bath Lusaka (IRE)J: Taylor Fisher Thorn Baker Allianz Xenia Bath Summer Stayers' Series Final HandicapClass 2 · 14f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 1st 10/3F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Flint's strike rate?
John Flint has won 30 of 249 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Flint do best at?
Bath by strike rate: 7 wins from 31 runners (22.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Flint?
William Cox, with 87 runners since 2022 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5.7%).
What is John Flint's Fair A/E?
1.28, from 249 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).