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Jockey profile

Isobel Francis

64 rides in the last 5 seasons · 29 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Aug 2023 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
from 1 Jan 2022
4–64
Wins / Runs
6.3%
Strike rate
n=64
14 (22%)
Placed
1.00
Fair A/E
n=64 · 0.86 incl. margin
−36.50
£1 level stake
n=64 at SP · −57.0%
£35,900
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.3%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4%−2.3
n=25 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −20.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
25%+18.7
n=4 · A/E 3.11 · £1 +7.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−6.3
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
3.4%−2.9
n=58 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −39.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−6.3
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
When claiming 3.4% vs 6.3% · n=58
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 28 0 0% −28.00
Good 14 2 14.3% −2.00
Good to Firm 10 1 10% −5.50
Good to Soft 6 1 16.7% +5.00
Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 13 0 0% −13.00
Yarmouth 8 3 37.5% +12.00
Lingfield (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Nottingham 4 0 0% −4.00
Salisbury 4 0 0% −4.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Bath 3 0 0% −3.00
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Kempton (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Chepstow 3 0 0% −3.00
Windsor 2 0 0% −2.00
Epsom Downs 2 0 0% −2.00
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00
Goodwood 1 1 100% +6.50
Musselburgh 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 41 2 4.9% −32.00
Class 5 17 1 5.9% −9.50
Class 4 6 1 16.7% +5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 12 3 25% 1.64 +4.50
4th–6th fav 16 1 6.3% 0.96 −5.00
7th+ in betting 35 0 0% 0.00 −35.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Q Twenty Boy (IRE) 12 1 7 7 Feb 23
Flower Of Thunder (IRE) 9 3 4 27 Aug 23
Bird For Life (GB) 5 0 2 28 Sep 22
Gonzaga (GB) 5 0 0 22 Aug 22
Pearl Of Kuwait (IRE) 3 0 0 14 Jul 22
Jackie Diamond (GB) 2 0 0 19 Jul 23
Ice Cream Castles (GB) 2 0 0 15 Jul 23
Delightfully Yours (IRE) 2 0 0 13 Jul 23
Ocean Reach (GB) 2 0 0 19 Jun 23
Fleursals (GB) 2 0 1 15 Oct 22
Liberty Bay (GB) 2 0 0 20 Jul 22
Great Colaci (GB) 1 0 0 3 Aug 23
All 29 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00·009020130·0
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Mark Usher 25 1 4% −17.50
Christine Dunnett 13 3 23.1% +7.00
James Bennett 5 0 0% −5.00
Richard Price 3 0 0% −3.00
Dominic Ffrench Davis 2 0 0% −2.00
Tony Forbes 2 0 0% −2.00
Ben Lund 2 0 0% −2.00
Heather Main 2 0 0% −2.00
Jim Boyle 2 0 0% −2.00
Eve Johnson Houghton 1 0 0% −1.00
William Stone 1 0 0% −1.00
Neil Mechie 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
17
Archived wins
£137k
Prize money
2020
Best season · 6 wins
Flower Of Thunder (IRE) — At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap Yarmouth · Sep 2022 · Class 4
£6,696
Duke Of North (IRE) — Silk Series Lady Riders' Handicap Lingfield · May 2017 · Class 4
£6,469
Peace Prevails (GB) — Focus Rigging Handicap Epsom Downs · Aug 2019 · Class 5
£5,175
Notable horses
Flower Of Thunder (IRE) Evaporust (IRE) Duke Of North (IRE) Dreamboat Annie (GB) Misu Pete (GB) Bird To Love (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dandy Man (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,980 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Night Of Thunder (IRE) 33.3% · 3–9
Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,109 runs since 2019 (563 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 160.
Delegator (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.8% of 1,872 runs since 2016 (109 horses). Weakest on Good going: 7.7% from 260. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.4% from 180.
Oasis Dream (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,040 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 484. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.
Pearl Secret (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 9.8% of 896 runs since 2020 (73 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13% from 131. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.6% from 307. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.6% from 337.
Iffraaj (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,990 runs since 2010 (1,093 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 326 · newest first

The latest 50 of 326 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 February 2017 to 27 August 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
27 Aug 23 Yarmouth Flower Of Thunder (IRE)T: Christine Dunnett BresBet Rewards Loyalty Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 1st 7/2
16 Aug 23 Yarmouth Flower Of Thunder (IRE)T: Christine Dunnett Richard Delf Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 8th 5/1
03 Aug 23 Newcastle (AW) Great Colaci (GB)T: Gillian Boanas Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 11/1
01 Aug 23 Yarmouth Flower Of Thunder (IRE)T: Christine Dunnett Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 7/2
19 Jul 23 Bath Jackie Diamond (GB)T: Dominic Ffrench Davis SAS Logistics Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 9th 40/1
15 Jul 23 Salisbury Ice Cream Castles (GB)T: Heather Main AJN Steelstock Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 14/1
14 Jul 23 Chester Dodgy Bob (GB)T: Michael Mullineaux Camden Stout HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 25/1
13 Jul 23 Epsom Downs Delightfully Yours (IRE)T: Jim Boyle Vulcan Building Services HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 6 ran 6th 100/1
08 Jul 23 Leicester Flower Of Thunder (IRE)T: Christine Dunnett Marks Electrical HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 16/1
05 Jul 23 Epsom Downs Delightfully Yours (IRE)T: Jim Boyle Betfred 'Passionate About Sport' HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 125/1
29 Jun 23 Leicester Jackie Diamond (GB)T: Dominic Ffrench Davis Hope - Sponsored By Nucleus HR HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 13 ran 12th 66/1
19 Jun 23 Windsor Ocean Reach (GB)T: Richard Price Follow Fitzdares On Twitter And Instagram Classified StakesClass 6 · 11.5f · Good · 15 ran 10th 28/1
05 Jun 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Ocean Reach (GB)T: Richard Price Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 150/1
04 Jun 23 Nottingham Flower Of Thunder (IRE)T: Christine Dunnett Join Racing Tv Now HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 18/1
30 May 23 Nottingham Ice Cream Castles (GB)T: Heather Main Join Racing TV Now Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 33/1
30 Apr 23 Musselburgh Three Beauz (GB)T: Julia Feilden Sky Bet Sunday Series 3YO Sprint Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 12/1
13 Apr 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Flower Of Thunder (IRE)T: Christine Dunnett Betsi Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 28/1
07 Feb 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Q Twenty Boy (IRE)T: Mark Usher Betuk's Acca Club 5 Free Bet Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 66/1
07 Jan 23 Lingfield (AW) Gustav Holst (IRE)T: Mark Usher Betuk's Acca Club 5 Free Bet HandicapClass 5 · 16f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 22/1
22 Dec 22 Southwell (AW) Q Twenty Boy (IRE)T: Mark Usher Huge Daily Boosts Only At BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Isobel Francis's strike rate?
Isobel Francis has won 4 of 64 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Isobel Francis's Fair A/E?
1.00, from 64 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).