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Trainer profile

Neil Mechie

127 runners in the last 5 seasons · 18 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 20 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2022
3–127
Wins / Runs
2.4%
Strike rate
n=127
11 (9%)
Placed
0.71
Fair A/E
n=125 · 0.60 incl. margin
−68.00
£1 level stake
n=127 at SP · −53.5%
£28,262
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.71). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 6% off breaks of two months or more (35 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 127 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 5.7% Claiming riders: 4.9%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 5.7% (n=35, Fair A/E 2.15). The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (7.7%, n=39).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.7%+3.3
n=35 · A/E 2.15 · £1 +1.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.1%+6.7
n=11 · A/E 2.78 · £1 +12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.4
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.9%+2.5
n=61 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m 7.7% vs 2.4% · n=39
With Andrew Breslin 5.6% vs 2.4% · n=36
With claiming riders up 4.9% vs 2.4% · n=61
On Good going 0% vs 2.4% · n=35
With a new jockey booking 3.6% vs 2.4% · n=55 · A/E 1.57
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 83 2 2.4% −37.00
Hurdle 37 1 2.7% −24.00
Chase 5 0 0% −5.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 35 0 0% −35.00
Soft 31 1 3.2% −8.00
Standard (AW) 29 0 0% −29.00
Good to Soft 23 2 8.7% +13.00
Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 24 0 0% −24.00
Catterick 16 1 6.3% +7.00
Carlisle 11 0 0% −11.00
Redcar 8 1 12.5% +15.00
Thirsk 8 0 0% −8.00
Wetherby 7 0 0% −7.00
Hexham 6 0 0% −6.00
Doncaster 6 0 0% −6.00
Market Rasen 5 0 0% −5.00
Hamilton 5 0 0% −5.00
Cartmel 5 0 0% −5.00
Sedgefield 4 0 0% −4.00
Pontefract 4 0 0% −4.00
Beverley 3 0 0% −3.00
Southwell (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 57 1 1.8% −34.00
Class 5 50 1 2% −27.00
Class 4 18 1 5.6% −5.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
4th–6th fav 36 1 2.8% 0.51 −23.00
7th+ in betting 84 2 2.4% 1.61 −38.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Gold Ring (GB)from Tracy Waggott 23 2 2 16 Feb 26
Monticello (IRE)from Mark Johnston 23 0 2 26 May 25
Billy Wedge (GB)from Tracy Waggott 18 0 4 8 Jan 24
Charle Brune (FR)from T Shanahan · then T Shanahan 8 0 2 27 Sep 22
Soham's Roger (GB) 7 0 0 30 Sep 26
Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)from Mark Walford · then Brian Rothwell 6 0 0 11 Sep 25
Coeur De Coeurs (GB)from Jedd O'Keeffe 6 0 0 2 Jun 25
Secrets De Famille (FR)from Peter McCreery 5 0 0 9 Jun 23
Medicine Wheel (GB) 5 0 0 9 Apr 23
Charlemaine (IRE)from Ben Haslam 5 0 0 1 Aug 22
Mossbawn (GB)from David & Nicola Barron 4 0 0 8 Sep 23
Beautiful Mix (GB) 4 0 0 30 May 22
All 18 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 18 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Tracy Waggott (2); 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 15 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00020010000000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAndrew Breslin
28% of all rides
5.6% SR · A/E 1.47
RiderRWSR£1
Andrew Breslin 36 2 5.6% +10.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
8
Archived wins
£51,482
Prize money
2023
Best season · 2 wins
Ockey De Neulliac (FR) — Cga Foxhunter Trial Walrus Open Hunters' Chase Haydock · Feb 2014 · Class 3
£6,239
Gold Ring (GB) — Millbry Hill Handicap Catterick · Apr 2022 · Class 5
£4,536
Largy Gift (IRE) — Download Fitzdares For Free Race Streaming 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Uttoxeter · Jun 2023 · Class 4
£4,357
Notable horses
Ockey De Neulliac (FR) Gold Ring (GB) Largy Gift (IRE) Coolnacritta (IRE) Kildonnan (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Golden Horn (GB) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 13.8% of 3,732 runs since 2008 (345 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 161. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 232.
Teofilo (IRE) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,070 runs since 2008 (907 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 625.
Arabian Gleam (GB) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 7.6% of 524 runs since 2008 (39 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.7% from 237.
Myboycharlie (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 7.8% of 3,296 runs since 2008 (315 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 225. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.1% from 195.
Rajasinghe (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 12.8% of 760 runs since 2008 (60 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.9% from 327. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 9.3% from 140.
Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,917 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 187 · newest first

The latest 50 of 187 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 March 2013 to 30 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Sep 26 Catterick Soham's Roger (GB)J: Rowan Scott Watch All Races Live On Racingtv Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 7th 250/1
22 Sep 26 Beverley Soham's Roger (GB)J: Isobelle Chalmers Churchill Tyres Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 12 ran 11th 100/1
02 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Soham's Roger (GB)J: Andrew Elliott Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 100/1
16 Feb 26 Carlisle Gold Ring (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Carlisle Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 50/1
26 Dec 25 Wetherby Gold Ring (GB)J: Peter Kavanagh William Hill Daily Bet Boosts Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 50/1
27 Oct 25 Redcar Soham's Roger (GB)J: Andrew Elliott Market Cross Jewellers Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 11th 66/1
11 Sep 25 Newcastle (AW) Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Andrew Elliott At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 200/1
12 Aug 25 Hamilton Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Andrew Elliott Follow Us On X At HamiltonParkRC HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 200/1
12 Aug 25 Hamilton Soham's Roger (GB)J: Andrew Elliott David & William McHarg Memorial Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 250/1
02 Aug 25 Thirsk Soham's Roger (GB)J: Andrew Elliott Theakston Nowt Peculier 0.0% EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 200/1
15 Jul 25 Thirsk Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Andrew Elliott Don't Miss Summer Family Days At thirskraces Classified Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 8th 400/1
02 Jul 25 Thirsk Soham's Roger (GB)J: Andrew Elliott Racing TV Club EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 10th 300/1
01 Jul 25 Musselburgh Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Andrew Elliott Alan Steel For Inheritance Tax Advice HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 150/1
18 Jun 25 Ripon Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Aiden Brookes We're Back For Ladies Day Tomorrow HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 150/1
02 Jun 25 Market Rasen Coeur De Coeurs (GB)J: William Maggs Equisign Tack And Feed Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18.5f · Good · 7 ran UR 200/1
26 May 25 Cartmel Monticello (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Fraser Cup Maiden Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 100/1
19 May 25 Redcar Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Joe Fanning Join Racing TV Now HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 80/1
26 Feb 25 Wetherby Monticello (IRE)J: Edward Austin Bet Now At racingtv.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran PU 150/1
17 Feb 25 Carlisle Gold Ring (GB)J: Joshua Thompson Carlisle Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 18/1
23 Jan 25 Wetherby Gold Ring (GB)J: William Maggs William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 16 ran 10th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Neil Mechie's strike rate?
Neil Mechie has won 3 of 127 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Neil Mechie's Fair A/E?
0.71, from 125 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).