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Trainer profile

Richard Spencer

1,141 runners in the last 5 seasons · 120 individual horses
As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 7.9% of 277 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 24 Oct 2026.
Last runner yesterday 96% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
145–1,141
Wins / Runs
12.7%
Strike rate
n=1,141
379 (33%)
Placed
0.99
n=1,134 · 0.85 incl. margin
−279.49
£1 level stake
n=1,141 at SP · −24.5%
£3.06m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
14.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 230 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 16% off breaks of two months or more (162 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,141 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Apr Fresh horses: 16% 34.4% when favourite George Wood: 14% from 228 Sends off the favourite in 13% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Windsor (26.7%, n=30), clear of the yard's 12.7% baseline. It is weakest at Newmarket (0% over 63 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 16% (n=162, Fair A/E 1.26), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2.9% (n=69, Fair A/E 0.56). Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 0 from 16 runners in the last 14 days (0%, 12.7pts below the 12.7% baseline). George Wood rides 20% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (14%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 6 (29.9%, n=137) and off a 0-7-day break (28.1%, n=64). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 2.9% over 70 runners, 9.8pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes at Newbury (Jul 2026, £143,009). The stable star of the record: Bernardo O'Reilly (GB) — 8 wins from 56 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
16%+3.3
n=162 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −13.79
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−12.7
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
15.5%+2.8
n=84 · A/E 1.56 · £1 +37.33
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.6%−7.1
n=71 · A/E 0.59 · £1 +1.33
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
11.5%−1.2
n=26 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −8.50
When favourite
34.4%
n=154 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −25.80
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
10.8%−1.9
n=83 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −30.93
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
2.9%−9.8
n=69 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −44.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 6 29.9% vs 12.7% · n=137
Off a 0-7-day break 28.1% vs 12.7% · n=64
At Newmarket 0% vs 12.7% · n=63
At Windsor 26.7% vs 12.7% · n=30
At Ascot 1.9% vs 12.7% · n=54
In Class 1 2.9% vs 12.7% · n=70
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 1,099 140 12.7% −263.39
Hurdle 24 5 20.8% +1.90
Chase 13 0 0% −13.00
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 450 64 14.2% −137.74
Good to Firm 250 26 10.4% −111.36
Good 210 24 11.4% −21.58
Good to Soft 111 11 9.9% −32.92
Soft 98 19 19.4% +43.73
Heavy 20 1 5% −17.62
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 90 14 15.6% −16.88
Lingfield (AW) 84 12 14.3% −42.96
Southwell (AW) 81 14 17.3% +10.68
Wolverhampton (AW) 76 12 15.8% −18.61
Newmarket 74 10 13.5% −19.75
Newmarket 63 0 0% −63.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 62 5 8.1% −38.97
Newcastle (AW) 57 7 12.3% −31.00
Ascot 54 1 1.9% −28.00
Yarmouth 50 11 22% +24.95
Ayr 48 6 12.5% −2.75
York 45 3 6.7% −18.67
Doncaster 38 3 7.9% −19.75
Goodwood 37 2 5.4% −23.50
Newbury 36 6 16.7% +11.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 296 36 12.2% −57.53
Class 5 290 36 12.4% −89.06
Class 2 214 14 6.5% −102.50
Class 6 137 41 29.9% +31.69
Class 3 134 16 11.9% −16.59
Class 1 70 2 2.9% −45.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 176 58 33% 0.97 −30.85
2nd–3rd fav 284 49 17.3% 1.04 −38.64
4th–6th fav 355 30 8.5% 1.04 −26.00
7th+ in betting 326 8 2.5% 0.77 −184.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Waiting All Night (GB) 42 4 13 23 Oct 25
Run Boy Run (GB) 33 5 17 19 Sep 26
Two Tribes (GB) 31 3 15 3 Oct 26
Shallow (GB) 30 5 17 5 Sep 26
Lucky Man (IRE)then Jennie Candlish 28 4 11 24 Jan 25
Giant (GB)then Ian Williams 25 2 7 3 Jul 25
Revich (IRE)then Adrian Wintle 25 2 8 28 Oct 24
Dandy Maestro (GB) 24 3 7 11 Oct 23
Bernardo O'Reilly (GB) 21 2 6 18 May 24
Con Te Partiro (GB) 20 5 9 1 Jul 25
Pjanoo (GB)then Stuart Williams 20 2 5 28 Jan 25
Atmosphere (GB) 19 3 10 22 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 120 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 58 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Peter Bowen (2); 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell
0 from 16 0% · −12.7pts vs baseline
Last 14 days0%
5-season base12.7%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1216171781311151461317
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderGeorge Wood
20% of all rides
14% SR · A/E 1.12
RiderRWSR£1
George Wood 228 32 14% −28.79
Saffie Osborne 127 25 19.7% +8.13
Hollie Doyle 82 7 8.5% −60.14
Neil Callan 64 10 15.6% −14.68
Hayley Turner 51 8 15.7% +10.50
Jason Hart 47 5 10.6% −21.00
Darragh Keenan 34 4 11.8% −0.80
Oisin Murphy 32 7 21.9% −8.59
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
260
Archived wins
4
Pattern / graded wins
£4.51m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 35 wins
Zigazig Ah (GB) — Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · Jul 2026 · Class 2
£143,009
Two Tribes (GB) — Coral Stewards' Cup (Heritage Handicap) Goodwood · Aug 2025 · Class 2
£128,850
Run Boy Run (GB) — Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Ayr · Sep 2025 · Class 2
£92,772

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Rajasinghe (IRE) 13.7% · 45–328
Progeny have won 12.8% of 760 runs since 2008 (60 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.9% from 327. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 9.3% from 140.
Dark Angel (IRE) 11.1% · 6–54
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,887 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Mehmas (IRE) 13.6% · 6–44
Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,132 runs since 2008 (747 horses).
Time Test (GB) 16.3% · 7–43
Progeny have won 10.9% of 3,117 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 328. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.6% from 314.
Ardad (IRE) 14.3% · 6–42
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,517 runs since 2008 (351 horses).
Kodi Bear (IRE) 11.1% · 4–36
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,947 runs since 2008 (387 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,362 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,362 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 April 2016 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Heart of Glass (GB)J: Finley Marsh Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 25/1
12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Kimbara (GB)J: George Wood First Furnishings Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Richard Spencer's strike rate?
Richard Spencer has won 145 of 1,141 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.7% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Richard Spencer do best at?
Yarmouth by strike rate: 11 wins from 50 runners (22%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Richard Spencer?
George Wood, with 228 runners since 2022 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (14%).
Is Richard Spencer in form?
In the last 14 days: 16 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 12.7% since 2022.
What is Richard Spencer's Fair A/E?
0.99, from 1,134 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 24 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).