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Trainer profile

Lee Carter

184 runners in the last 5 seasons · 25 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2024 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
from 1 Jan 2022
5–184
Wins / Runs
2.7%
Strike rate
n=184
30 (16%)
Placed
0.38
Fair A/E
n=184 · 0.32 incl. margin
−135.25
£1 level stake
n=184 at SP · −73.5%
£82,648
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.38). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 5% off breaks of two months or more (40 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 184 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 5%
The read

The yard also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (5.7%, n=70). The market has consistently overbet the yard over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.00 across 66 runners (0% strike, −66.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Munsarim (IRE) — 7 wins from 63 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5%+2.3
n=40 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −10.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.7
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.7
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
When favourite
11.1%
n=9 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −5.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.5%−1.2
n=65 · A/E 0.23 · £1 −48.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 7.9% vs 2.7% · n=38
Over 1m – 1m1f 5.7% vs 2.7% · n=70
Over 6f – 7f 0% vs 2.7% · n=66
With claiming riders up 1.5% vs 2.7% · n=65 · A/E 0.23
Off a 15-30-day break 1.6% vs 2.7% · n=63 · A/E 0.26
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 182 5 2.7% −133.25
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 157 5 3.2% −108.25
Good to Firm 13 0 0% −13.00
Good 11 0 0% −11.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 91 3 3.3% −66.25
Kempton (AW) 46 2 4.3% −22.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Brighton 7 0 0% −7.00
Epsom Downs 6 0 0% −6.00
Lingfield 5 0 0% −5.00
Southwell (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Sandown 2 0 0% −2.00
Windsor 2 0 0% −2.00
Yarmouth 2 0 0% −2.00
Plumpton 1 0 0% −1.00
Ascot 1 0 0% −1.00
Huntingdon 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 112 3 2.7% −84.25
Class 5 52 2 3.8% −31.00
Class 4 18 0 0% −18.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 1 11.1% 0.46 −5.25
2nd–3rd fav 23 1 4.3% 0.28 −16.00
4th–6th fav 60 1 1.7% 0.21 −52.00
7th+ in betting 92 2 2.2% 0.73 −62.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
La Rav (IRE)from Michael & David Easterby 18 1 4 21 May 24
Enough Already (GB)from Kevin Ryan · then Adrian McGuinness 15 2 5 2 May 24
Dutugamunu (IRE)from Richard Spencer 15 0 3 27 Oct 23
Sir Sedric (FR)from Declan Carroll 15 0 1 12 Oct 23
Dynakite (GB)from Robyn Brisland 14 2 3 10 Jan 24
Miss Elsa (GB)from Eve Johnson Houghton 13 0 4 29 Mar 23
Irrelevant (IRE)from Richard Hughes · then Mark Pattinson 11 0 1 30 Jul 24
Repartee (IRE)from Tony Carroll · then Charlie Wallis 10 0 1 21 Feb 24
Creationist (USA)from K J Condon 10 0 0 26 Jul 23
Perfect Focus (IRE)from Simon & Ed Crisford · then Charlie Wallis 9 0 1 22 Feb 24
Plymouth Rock (IRE)from David Loughnane 9 0 0 20 Jul 23
Al Tarmaah (IRE)from William Haggas 8 0 1 19 Feb 24
All 25 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 25 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Jamie Osborne (3) and Richard Hughes (2); 1 had its first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for Charlie Wallis (3); 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
40001106000150
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Paddy Bradley 18 1 5.6% −1.00
Clifford Lee 13 1 7.7% −6.00
Joshua Bryan 11 0 0% −11.00
Ethan Jones 10 0 0% −10.00
Connor Murtagh 10 0 0% −10.00
Joey Haynes 9 0 0% −9.00
Kaiya Fraser 9 1 11.1% −5.25
Josephine Gordon 8 1 12.5% +5.00
Finley Marsh 7 0 0% −7.00
Kieran O'Neill 7 0 0% −7.00
Saffie Osborne 7 0 0% −7.00
Dougie Costello 6 0 0% −6.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
112
Archived wins
£716k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 26 wins
Chilli Green (GB) — IBA Handicap Goodwood · May 2012 · Class 2
£12,450
Mezzotint (IRE) — Bob And Jackie Jones Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Dec 2015 · Class 4
£8,086
Lowther (GB) — BetVictor.com Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Kempton (AW) · Oct 2013 · Class 3
£7,439
Notable horses
Munsarim (IRE) Seek The Fair Land (GB) Bennelong (GB) Enough Already (GB) Lowther (GB) Not Your Call (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,765 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Coach House (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,475 runs since 2008 (145 horses).
Dragon Pulse (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 8.9% of 4,258 runs since 2008 (320 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.4% from 569. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 363.
Ivawood (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,409 runs since 2008 (122 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.9% from 118. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 180. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 168.
Adaay (IRE) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,954 runs since 2008 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 497.
Frozen Power (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,887 runs since 2008 (132 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,662 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,662 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 March 2012 to 30 July 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Jul 24 Yarmouth Irrelevant (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Download The At The Races App Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 4th 12/1
10 Jun 24 Lingfield (AW) Violets Star (GB)J: Billy Loughnane AK Bets Watch All UK Racing Handicap (AWT) (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 50/1
04 Jun 24 Lingfield (AW) Irrelevant (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 14/1
21 May 24 Brighton La Rav (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Download The Yeeehaaa.Bet App HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 11 ran 11th 8/1
21 May 24 Brighton Irrelevant (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Follow Us On X At Yeeehaaabet HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 6th 16/1
02 May 24 Lingfield (AW) Brunel Charm (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Get Raceday Ready HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 10/3F
02 May 24 Lingfield (AW) Enough Already (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 6/4F
17 Apr 24 Kempton (AW) Irrelevant (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Unibet Support Safe Gambling HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 11th 11/1
10 Apr 24 Lingfield (AW) Brunel Charm (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 7/1
03 Apr 24 Kempton (AW) Irrelevant (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Try Unibet's New Acca Boost's HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 5th 28/1
29 Mar 24 Lingfield (AW) Enough Already (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser BetUK All-Weather Vase Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 16 ran 2nd 33/1
22 Mar 24 Lingfield (AW) La Rav (IRE)J: George Rooke BetUK. Home Of The Acca HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 40/1
22 Mar 24 Lingfield (AW) Brunel Charm (GB)J: Liam Wright Bet 10 Get 40 At BetMGM HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 25/1
14 Mar 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Irrelevant (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Betting.bet David Brent's Racing Tips HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 33/1
09 Mar 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Brunel Charm (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Sudbury Sapphires HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 9/1
06 Mar 24 Kempton (AW) La Rav (IRE)J: Clifford Lee Unibet Proudly Supports www.racinghome.org.uk Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 7th 18/1
28 Feb 24 Kempton (AW) Irrelevant (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Unibet Support Safe Gambling HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 9th 8/1
22 Feb 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Perfect Focus (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Racing Welfare Classified StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 17/2
21 Feb 24 Kempton (AW) Brunel Charm (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Try Unibet's New Acca Boosts Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 2nd 18/1
21 Feb 24 Kempton (AW) Repartee (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Unibet Support Safe Gambling Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 9th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lee Carter's strike rate?
Lee Carter has won 5 of 184 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lee Carter do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 46 runners (4.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Lee Carter's Fair A/E?
0.38, from 184 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).