Horse profile
Bold Prediction (IRE)
8yo gelding (at last run, Apr 2018) · Last trainer Ed Walker · Last owner John Nicholls Trading Matthew Cottis
by Kodiac (GB) out of Alexander Eliott (IRE) (Night Shift)
60 runs · 23 courses · from Jun 2012
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 6 Apr 2018 — 3,119 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Apr 2018 · 2nd of 8
6 wins · 4 courses
Beaten favourite LTO
Last raced off OR 73
KTB Profile
Bold Prediction (IRE) is 6 from 60. Hasn't won since Feb 2016. Last raced off 73, 25lb below the career-high mark.
Based on 60 archived runs · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
OR ↓ 25lb off peak
- 6–60Wins / Runs
- 10%Strike rate
- 25 (41.7%)Placed
- −24.90£1 level staken=60 at SP
- 0.79Fair A/E n=60 · 0.68 incl. margin
- 98Highest OR
- 36dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating73↓ 25lb off peak
73
73–98
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 105
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 12 | 117A | 96.5 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 13 | 117A | 97 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 14 figures from 14 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 10.4% of 23,538 runs since Jan 2008 (1,665 horses).
Strongest on firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 147 | 21 | 14.3% | +3.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Firm | 4,208 | 496 | 11.8% | +1.4 | 1 from 8 |
| Good | 5,159 | 548 | 10.6% | +0.2 | 0 from 15 |
| Good to Soft | 2,367 | 218 | 9.2% | −1.2 | 0 from 6 |
| Soft | 2,462 | 218 | 8.9% | −1.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 679 | 68 | 10% | −0.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 8,516 | 871 | 10.2% | −0.2 | 5 from 27 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 5,120 | 591 | 11.5% | +1.1 | 1 from 2 |
| 6f – 7f | 11,588 | 1,187 | 10.2% | −0.2 | 0 from 14 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3,884 | 392 | 10.1% | −0.3 | 5 from 44 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,927 | 182 | 9.4% | −1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 696 | 66 | 9.5% | −0.9 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 252 | 18 | 7.1% | −3.3 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 60 | 4 | 6.7% | −3.7 | — |
| Over 3m | 11 | 0 | 0% | −10.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 20 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Alexander Eliott (IRE) (Night Shift)
5 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Brandywell Boy (IRE) (12 wins).
The wins came over 5f–6f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Artistic License (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandywell Boy (IRE) | 154 | 12 | 5f–6f | Class 4 |
| Artistic License (IRE) | 35 | 6 | 5f–6f | Class 3 |
| Ruby Alexander (IRE) | 10 | 1 | 5f | Class 6 |
| Saints Bay (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Stoneacre Thirsk (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 27 | 5 | 19% | +2.60 |
| Good | 15 | 0 | 0% | −15.00 |
| Good to Firm | 8 | 1 | 13% | −2.50 |
| Good to Soft | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 20 | 2 | 10% | −7.50 |
| Class 4 | 17 | 2 | 12% | −6.90 |
| Class 2 | 16 | 0 | 0% | −16.00 |
| Class 5 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +5.50 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 9 | 1 | 11% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 6 | 2 | 33% | +7.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 6 | 2 | 33% | +2.60 |
| Ripon | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Yarmouth | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newmarket | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Leicester | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Pontefract | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Haydock | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newcastle | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Salisbury | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bath | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thirsk | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ayr | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.50 |
| York | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Windsor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 44 | 5 | 11% | −15.40 |
| 6f – 7f | 14 | 0 | 0% | −14.00 |
| Under 6f | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.50 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Haynes | 11 | 1 | 9% | −5.50 |
| Luke Morris | 9 | 2 | 22% | +6.00 |
| Thomas Brown | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Adam McNamara | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Richard Hughes | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| George Baker | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
| Antonio Fresu | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.90 |
| Robert Winston | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.50 |
| Michael Metcalfe | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Adam Kirby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jenny Powell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Liam Jones | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jane Elliott | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Edward Greatrex | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Franny Norton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Michael Stainton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Martin Dwyer | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ryan Moore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Phillip Makin | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean Levey | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pat Dobbs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 58 | 6 | 10% | −22.90 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2017 | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| 2016 | 11 | 2 | 18% | +4.00 |
| 2015 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +0.00 |
| 2014 | 12 | 1 | 8% | −9.90 |
| 2013 | 10 | 2 | 20% | +2.00 |
| 2012 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr 18+22d | Lingfield (AW) | US Masters Betting At 188Bet Handicap | 2/8 | 1 | 9-5 | 73 | 96A | 84A | Luke Morris | 2/1F |
| 15 Mar 18+31d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Toteswinger Two In The First Three Handicap | 4/9 | dht | 9-1 | 74 | 88A | 76A | Luke Morris | 8/1 |
| 12 Feb 18+39d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Bet And Watch At sunbets.co.uk Handicap | 6/8 | 1½ | 8-13 | 77 | 105A | 69A | Luke Morris | 10/1 |
| 04 Jan 18+181d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Bet Totejackpot At Betfred.com Handicap | 8/8 | nk | 9-6 | 79 | 84B | 66A | Adam Kirby | 3/1 |
| 07 Jul 17+15d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Bet Totetrifecta At Betfred.com Handicap | 8/12 | ½ | 9-1 | 82 | 114A | 78A | Jenny Powell | 11/1 |
| 22 Jun 17+33d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Oliver's Plants Ltd Handicap | 5/10 | 1 | 9-2 | 84 | 95A | 82A | Luke Morris | 5/1 |
| 20 May 17+17d | Newbury | Toronado Handicap | 10/15 | ¾ | 8-2 | 85 | 56C | 63C | Liam Jones | 50/1 |
| 03 May 17+19d | Wolverhampton (AW) | 'Up On The Roof' Handicap | 3/6 | ½ | 8-11 | 85 | 102A | 81B | Thomas Brown | 11/1 |
| 14 Apr 17+10d | Bath | Dribuild Handicap | 6/11 | 1¼ | 7-12 | 88 | 117A | 72A | Jane Elliott | 16/1 |
| 04 Apr 17+22d | Southwell (AW) | sunbets.co.uk Handicap | 4/5 | 1 | 9-12 | 88 | 73C | 79B | Thomas Brown | 7/1 |
| 13 Mar 17+44d | Chelmsford City (AW) | winner.co.uk Cheltenham Free Bets For Fallers Handicap | 3/8 | ¾ | 9-2 | 88 | 90B | 82A | Thomas Brown | 6/1 |
| 28 Jan 17+14d | Lingfield (AW) | Sun Bets On The App Store Handicap | 4/8 | ¾ | 9-2 | 89 | 97B | 79A | Thomas Brown | 9/2 |
| 14 Jan 17+14d | Lingfield (AW) | sunbets.co.uk Handicap | 3/8 | 1 | 8-12 | 89 | 98A | 85A | Luke Morris | 5/1 |
| 31 Dec 16+140d | Lingfield (AW) | Sunbets Bet 10 Get 20 Free Handicap | 4/12 | ½ | 8-13 | 89 | 117A | 86A | Thomas Brown | 12/1 |
| 13 Aug 16+14d | Ripon | Attheraces.com Handicap | 5/16 | ¾ | 9-8 | 90 | — | 85A | Adam McNamara | 11/1 |
| 30 Jul 16+24d | Goodwood | Qatar Apprentice Stakes (Handicap) | 6/16 | 1 | 9-11 | 90 | — | 93A | Adam McNamara | 25/1 |
| 06 Jul 16+20d | Yarmouth | Grosvenor Casino At Great Yarmouth Handicap | 2/9 | ½ | 9-9 | 89 | — | 81A | Adam McNamara | 16/1 |
| 16 Jun 16+13d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Power Testing Ltd 50th Anniversary Handicap | 3/11 | 1 | 8-13 | 89 | — | 86A | Adam McNamara | 14/1 |
| 03 Jun 16+28d | Epsom Downs | Investec Mile (handicap) | 12/12 | 4 | 8-7 | 90 | — | 48C | Edward Greatrex | 25/1 |
| 06 May 16+55d | Chester | Crabbie's Earl Grosvenor Handicap | 11/11 | 4½ | 8-8 | 90 | — | 59C | Franny Norton | 14/1 |
| 12 Mar 16+14d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Ladbrokes Lincoln Trial Handicap | 4/12 | ½ | 8-9 | 89 | — | 86A | Luke Morris | 9/1 |
| 27 Feb 16+9d | Lingfield (AW) | Download The Ladbrokes App Handicap | 1/8 | 9-1 | 86 | — | 88A | Luke Morris | 6/1 | |
| 18 Feb 16+35d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Betfred Lotto Handicap | 2/9 | nk | 9-7 | 85 | — | 89A | George Baker | 7/2 |
| 14 Jan 16+14d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Totetrifecta Handicap | 1/9 | 9-4 | 82 | — | 90A | Luke Morris | 7/1 | |
| 31 Dec 15+52d | Lingfield (AW) | Download The Ladbrokes App Handicap | 1/11 | 9-7 | 75 | — | 95A | George Baker | 5/1J | |
| 09 Nov 15+18d | Kempton (AW) | Download The Betdaq App Handicap | 7/8 | 1¾ | 8-13 | 77 | — | 65A | Luke Morris | 7/1 |
| 22 Oct 15+28d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Bet totetrifecta At betfred.com Handicap (Div 1) | 7/9 | 1¾ | 9-7 | 80 | — | 69A | George Baker | 10/1 |
| 24 Sep 15+19d | Newmarket | 1stsecuritysolutions.co.uk Handicap | 8/9 | 4 | 8-13 | 84 | — | 70A | Antonio Fresu | 25/1 |
| 05 Sep 15+17d | Kempton (AW) | totepool London Mile Handicap (Series Final) | 15/16 | ¾ | 8-11 | 87 | — | 57C | Antonio Fresu | 20/1 |
| 19 Aug 15+316d | Kempton (AW) | 32Red On The App Store Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) | 7/11 | 2¼ | 9-6 | 90 | — | 75A | Antonio Fresu | 40/1 |
| 07 Oct 14+10d | Leicester | Squirrel Handicap (Rnd) | 7/8 | 5 | 9-2 | 98 | — | 61A | Michael Stainton | 10/1 |
| 27 Sep 14+17d | Haydock | Betdaq 50 Free Bet Handicap | 3/10 | 2 | 9-2 | 92 | — | 95A | Joey Haynes | 5/1 |
| 10 Sep 14+16d | Carlisle | Comlongon Castle Handicap | 2/8 | ¾ | 9-2 | 90 | — | 90A | Joey Haynes | 9/2 |
| 25 Aug 14+60d | Ripon | Ripon Rowels Handicap | 2/11 | 1 | 9-1 | 89 | — | 89A | Joey Haynes | 12/1 |
| 26 Jun 14+7d | Newcastle | betfred.com Free Bet Offers Seaton Delaval Handicap (Str) | 5/8 | 2 | 8-11 | 90 | — | 78A | Joey Haynes | 8/1 |
| 19 Jun 14+16d | Ripon | Ladies Day Handicap | 2/5 | 5 | 9-2 | 90 | — | 87B | Joey Haynes | 3/1 |
| 03 Jun 14+16d | Ripon | Wilmot-smith Memorial Handicap | 2/8 | nk | 8-9 | 88 | — | 91A | Joey Haynes | 5/2 |
| 18 May 14+15d | Ripon | Ripon, Yorkshire's Garden Racecourse Handicap | 2/12 | ½ | 8-2 | 85 | — | 97A | Joey Haynes | 9/1 |
| 03 May 14+7d | Thirsk | totepool Thirsk Hunt Cup (Handicap) | 3/14 | shd | 8-2 | 82 | — | 84A | Joey Haynes | 33/1 |
| 26 Apr 14+4d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Quicksilverslots Play From 10p To 2 Handicap | 1/5 | 9-4 | 80 | — | 94B | Daniel Tudhope | 11/10F | |
| 22 Apr 14+27d | Yarmouth | Seadell Shops And Chalets At Hemsby Handicap | 3/7 | 2½ | 9-3 | 80 | — | 85A | Daniel Tudhope | 13/2 |
| 26 Mar 14+170d | Kempton (AW) | Betdaq - The Sports Betting Exchange Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) | 5/7 | ½ | 8-11 | 80 | — | 72A | Joey Haynes | 9/2 |
| 07 Oct 13+58d | Pontefract | 40 Totepool Package Handicap | 4/5 | ¾ | 9-2 | 81 | — | 50C | Daniel Tudhope | 7/2 |
| 10 Aug 13+19d | Newmarket | Royal British Legion Handicap | 4/8 | nk | 8-4 | 81 | — | 80A | Martin Dwyer | 20/1 |
| 22 Jul 13+3d | Ayr | Luke Currie Memorial Handicap | 1/3 | 8-9 | 80 | — | 83C | Joey Haynes | 9/2 | |
| 19 Jul 13+20d | Pontefract | Colstrope Cup Handicap | 3/7 | shd | 9-4 | 80 | — | 82A | Robert Winston | 6/1 |
| 29 Jun 13+7d | Newcastle | 'Pick Up totepool Returns At Any Betfred Shop' Handicap (Rnd) | 2/7 | nk | 9-2 | 75 | — | 98A | Robert Winston | 14/1 |
| 22 Jun 13+29d | Newmarket | Poets House Handicap | 5/11 | 1¼ | 8-6 | 77 | — | 68A | Joey Haynes | 20/1 |
| 24 May 13+25d | Haydock | Phs Waterlogic Classified Stakes | 5/7 | ¾ | 8-11 | 80 | — | 80A | Michael Metcalfe | 10/1 |
| 29 Apr 13+20d | Wolverhampton (AW) | 32Red Handicap | 3/12 | hd | 9-3 | 78 | — | 83A | Michael Metcalfe | 12/1 |
| 09 Apr 13+26d | Pontefract | Dalby Stand Handicap | 7/10 | 1 | 8-5 | 78 | — | 67A | Andrea Atzeni | 16/1 |
| 14 Mar 13+142d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Gold Cup Free Bets With Bookmakers.co.uk Handicap | 1/4 | 9-7 | 74 | — | 80B | Robert Winston | 11/2 | |
| 23 Oct 12+27d | Yarmouth | British Stallion Studs Supporting British Racing E.B.F. Maiden Stakes | 6/6 | 9 | 9-3 | 76 | — | 46C | Ryan Moore | 7/1 |
| 26 Sep 12+15d | Kempton (AW) | Win Big With Betdaq Multiples Maiden Stakes | 2/7 | ½ | 9-3 | 79 | — | 72A | Richard Hughes | EvensF |
| 11 Sep 12+17d | Leicester | Betfair Funds The Pja Doctor E.b.f. Maiden Stakes | 5/16 | 3 | 9-3 | 82 | — | 80A | Richard Hughes | 9/2 |
| 25 Aug 12+24d | York | Betfred The Bonus King Nursery | 11/12 | 7 | 9-0 | 82 | — | 51C | Phillip Makin | 11/1 |
| 01 Aug 12+4d | Leicester | Navigation At Newark/british Stallion Studs E.b.f. Maiden Stakes | 3/8 | nk | 9-3 | 81 | — | 94A | Sean Levey | 2/1F |
| 28 Jul 12+28d | Salisbury | K J Pike & Sons Ltd Maiden Stakes | 2/13 | hd | 9-3 | — | — | 103A | Richard Hughes | 7/4 |
| 30 Jun 12+13d | Windsor | Betfred Home Of The Big Winners Maiden Stakes (Div 1) | 2/10 | hd | 9-3 | — | — | 98A | Pat Dobbs | 7/2J |
| 17 Jun 12 | Salisbury | Bridget Swire Memorial Maiden Stakes | 3/6 | 3¼ | 9-3 | — | — | 69B | Richard Hughes | 11/10F |
Quick answers
- How many races has Bold Prediction (IRE) won?
- Bold Prediction (IRE) won 6 of 60 archived starts between 2012 and 2018, a strike rate of 10%. Placed 25 times in total (41.7% of starts).
- Who trained Bold Prediction (IRE)?
- Bold Prediction (IRE) was trained by Ed Walker on the most recent run on record, at Lingfield (AW) on 6 April 2018.
- Who is Bold Prediction (IRE)'s sire?
- Bold Prediction (IRE) is by Kodiac (GB) out of Alexander Eliott (IRE), whose sire is Night Shift.
- What going does Bold Prediction (IRE) prefer?
- Bold Prediction (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 5 wins from 27 starts (18.5%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Bold Prediction (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 73, from the run on 6 April 2018. The highest on record is 98.
- What is Bold Prediction (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Kodiac (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.4% of 23,538 runs since Jan 2008 (1,665 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
- Who are Bold Prediction (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Alexander Eliott (IRE), Bold Prediction (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Brandywell Boy (IRE) (12). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Artistic License (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–6f. As at Oct 2026.