What is Michael Quinlan's strike rate?

Michael Quinlan has won 75 of 876 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael Quinlan do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 79 runners (8.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Michael Quinlan?

Jerry O'Dwyer, with 106 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (4.7%).

What is Michael Quinlan's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 867 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Michael Quinlan

876 runners in the lifetime window · 142 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2011

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

75–876

Wins / Runs

8.6%

Strike rate

n=876

216 (25%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=867 · 0.77 incl. margin

−309.91

£1 level stake

n=876 at SP · −35.4%

£543k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 220 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90).

Deterministic profile computed from 876 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Feb–Mar 28.6% when favourite Jerry O'Dwyer: 4.7% from 106 Sent off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (2% over 51 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 2% (n=50, Fair A/E 0.26). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.64 and −88.88 to a £1 stake over 122 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Jerry O'Dwyer rode 12% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (4.7% vs 8.6%, A/E 0.74). The yard also read well in Hurdle races (16.1%, n=124) and on Good to Soft going (16.3%, n=92). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Fred Winter Juvenile Novices' Handicap Hurdle at Cheltenham (Mar 2009, £45,608). The stable star of the record was Silk Affair (IRE) — 5 wins from 25 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.9%−3.7

n=122 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −88.88

New recruits · first run for the yard

2%−6.6

n=50 · A/E 0.26 · £1 −46.25

Debutants · first career start

6.5%−2.1

n=77 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −12.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.8%−5.8

n=36 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −31.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.3%−0.3

n=24 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +13.00

When favourite

28.6%

n=70 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −19.23

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.2%−0.4

n=243 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −28.87

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3%−5.6

n=33 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Hurdle races 16.1% vs 8.6% · n=124

On Good to Soft going 16.3% vs 8.6% · n=92

With Nicol Polli 0% vs 8.6% · n=31

On Soft going 14.9% vs 8.6% · n=74

At Southwell (AW) 2% vs 8.6% · n=51

With new recruits 2% vs 8.6% · n=50

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 708 51 7.2% −281.48

Hurdle 124 20 16.1% −7.43

Chase 34 4 11.8% −11.00

NH Flat 10 0 0% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 334 26 7.8% −160.14

Good to Firm 170 10 5.9% −64.81

Good 170 11 6.5% −57.51

Good to Soft 92 15 16.3% +13.15

Soft 74 11 14.9% −8.07

Heavy 28 2 7.1% −24.53

Firm 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 102 9 8.8% −42.00

Kempton (AW) 84 7 8.3% −17.20

Lingfield (AW) 79 7 8.9% −44.44

Southwell (AW) 51 1 2% −47.00

Yarmouth 49 3 6.1% +11.00

Newmarket 35 1 2.9% −20.00

Folkestone 34 3 8.8% −17.85

Nottingham 26 0 0% −26.00

Newmarket 24 0 0% −24.00

Leicester 22 0 0% −22.00

Newbury 18 1 5.6% −9.00

Chelmsford (AW) 18 2 11.1% −9.50

Doncaster 17 1 5.9% +4.00

Brighton 16 2 12.5% +4.00

Newcastle 14 2 14.3% −10.76

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 293 16 5.5% −148.81

Class 6 276 28 10.1% −87.54

Class 4 173 20 11.6% −45.56

Class 3 59 5 8.5% −26.50

Class 1 38 2 5.3% +0.00

Class 2 24 1 4.2% −9.00

Class 7 6 1 16.7% −1.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 79 23 29.1% 0.98 −17.73

2nd–3rd fav 172 27 15.7% 0.98 −35.68

4th–6th fav 305 20 6.6% 0.92 −75.50

7th+ in betting 320 5 1.6% 0.49 −181.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Royal Island (IRE)from Michael Cunningham 31 3 6 1 Jan 11

Dream of Fortune (IRE)from Jeremy Noseda · then David Evans 26 4 13 17 Feb 10

Silk Affair (IRE)then Patrick J Flynn 22 4 6 24 Apr 10

Athwaab (GB)from Ed Dunlop · then Noel Quinlan 18 3 5 18 Jan 11

Silver Linnet (IRE)from Tim Easterby · then Noel Quinlan 17 2 4 31 Jan 11

Electric City (IRE) 16 0 2 29 Oct 10

Pure Crystal (GB)from Mark Rimmer 16 1 6 12 Jul 10

Marsam (IRE)from John Joseph Murphy · then Paul Cashman 16 2 4 15 Dec 09

Tallest Peak (USA) 15 1 3 15 Jan 10

Dev (IRE)from Paul Cashman · then Gordon Elliott 15 2 7 22 Nov 09

Sorrel Ridge (IRE) 15 0 3 12 May 09

Abriachan (GB)then Noel Quinlan 14 2 6 23 Jan 11

The 60 most-raced of 142 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Michael Bell (2); 37 had their first archived run for this yard.

28 have since run for another yard, most often for Noel Quinlan (10) and Gordon Elliott (3); 32 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

9181051111110371018

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJerry O'Dwyer

12% of all rides
4.7% SR · A/E 0.74

RiderRWSR£1

Jerry O'Dwyer 106 5 4.7% −53.67

Adam Kirby 56 8 14.3% −2.00

Jamie Moore 50 7 14% −9.00

William Carson 50 3 6% +23.00

Jamie Jones 41 3 7.3% −15.50

Jack Quinlan 41 6 14.6% +14.88

Alan Munro 35 5 14.3% +23.50

Nicol Polli 31 0 0% −31.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

138

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.04m

Prize money

2007

Best season · 32 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Silk Affair (IRE) — Fred Winter Juvenile Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Mar 2009 · Class 1

£45,608

Langs Lash (IRE) — Queen Mary Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) Ascot · Jun 2008 · Group 2

£45,416

Dev (IRE) — Totesuper7 Grand Sefton Handicap Chase (Nat Course) Aintree · Nov 2009 · Class 2

£43,996

Notable horses

Silk Affair (IRE) Dream of Fortune (IRE) Steam Cuisine (GB) Luckylover (GB) Dev (IRE) Royal Island (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Namid (GB) 0% · 0–54

Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,102 runs since 2008 (276 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 0.8% from 119.

Barathea (IRE) 10% · 5–50

Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,143 runs since 2008 (315 horses).

Acclamation (GB) 11.9% · 5–42

Progeny have won 10% of 19,672 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 193.

Trans Island (GB) 8.8% · 3–34

Progeny have won 9% of 4,740 runs since 2008 (295 horses).

Celtic Swing (GB) 18.2% · 6–33

Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,248 runs since 2008 (160 horses).

Danehill Dancer (IRE) 15.2% · 5–33

Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,475 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,475 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 January 2005 to 31 January 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Jan 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Tidal Star (GB)J: Adam Kirby bluesq.com On Your iPhone HandicapClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard To Slow · 5 ran 4th 2/1

31 Jan 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Its You Again (GB)J: Adam Kirby Great Offers At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Claiming StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 6 ran 1st 5/2F

31 Jan 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Silver Linnet (IRE)J: Jack Quinlan Place Only Betting At bluesq.com Amateur Riders' Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 8th 9/2

29 Jan 11 Cheltenham Celticello (IRE)J: Jack Quinlan Stellar Football 'End Of Transfer Window' Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 17f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 8th 25/1

26 Jan 11 Kempton (AW) Indian Wish (USA)J: Andrea Atzeni Betdaq January Sales Claiming StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 10/3

23 Jan 11 Kempton (AW) Faldal (GB)J: Adam Kirby Day Time, Night Time, Great Time HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 12/1

23 Jan 11 Kempton (AW) Abriachan (GB)J: Adam Kirby Racing UK HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 7/1

21 Jan 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Kentish (USA)J: Shane Kelly Wolverhampton - The Black Country's Only Racecourse Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 7/2

20 Jan 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Indian Wish (USA)J: Jamie Spencer Great Offers At Wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 12/1

20 Jan 11 Lingfield (AW) Silver Linnet (IRE)J: Adam Kirby Felbridge HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 9/2

18 Jan 11 Folkestone Goodison Park (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Westenhanger Juvenile Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 17.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 10/1

18 Jan 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Athwaab (GB)J: Chris Catlin Today's Jockey Specials At Bluesq.com Claiming StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 14/1

17 Jan 11 Fakenham Petroglyph (GB)J: Jack Quinlan East Dereham Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 5/2

16 Jan 11 Southwell (AW) Miss Toldyaso (IRE)J: James Rogers Pantry Restaurant Selling StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 20/1

15 Jan 11 Warwick Red Shuttle (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Bet totepool At totesport.com 'Newcomers' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 20/1

14 Jan 11 Lingfield (AW) Silver Linnet (IRE)J: Adam Kirby Play Megajackpots Cleopatra At bluesq.com HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 4/1

13 Jan 11 Kempton (AW) Qalahari (IRE)J: Adam Kirby Download Free Racing Post Iphone App! HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 9/2

13 Jan 11 Kempton (AW) Reachtothestars (USA)J: Jack Mitchell Mobile Betting - Visit williamhill.com HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 20/1

13 Jan 11 Kempton (AW) Peadar Miguel (GB)J: Adam Kirby Top Greyhound Offers Today At williamhill.com HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 11/4F

13 Jan 11 Kempton (AW) Athwaab (GB)J: Chris Catlin Great Sale Offers Daily At williamhill.com Claiming StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 4 ran 3rd 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Quinlan's strike rate?: Michael Quinlan has won 75 of 876 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Quinlan do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 79 runners (8.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael Quinlan?: Jerry O'Dwyer, with 106 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (4.7%).
What is Michael Quinlan's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 867 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.