What is John Allen's strike rate?

John Allen has won 17 of 495 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.4% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John Allen do best at?

Limerick by strike rate: 3 wins from 54 rides (5.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does John Allen ride most for?

Sean O O'Brien, with 76 rides since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (2.6%).

What is John Allen's Fair A/E?

0.76, from 495 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

John Allen

495 rides in the lifetime window · 216 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 168 days ago 96% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

17–495

Wins / Runs

3.4%

Strike rate

n=495

65 (13%)

Placed

0.76

Fair A/E

n=495 · 0.56 incl. margin

−303.15

£1 level stake

n=495 at SP · −61.2%

£241k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.76).

Deterministic profile computed from 495 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul Sean O O'Brien: 2.6% from 76

The read

The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 1.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.49 and −132.00 to a £1 stake over 183 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Sean O O'Brien supplies 15% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (2.6%, A/E 0.55). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (7.9%, n=38). The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 0.26 across 87 rides (1.1% strike, −78.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Handicap Chase at Wexford (Nov 2005, £32,550). Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

1.6%−1.8

n=183 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −132.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

9.1%+5.7

n=22 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −5.25

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

2.7%−0.7

n=113 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −41.00

When favourite

30%

n=10 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −0.15

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

0%−3.4

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.4%−1.0

n=373 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −296.90

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−3.4

n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 7.9% vs 3.4% · n=38

With Paul Cashman 6.8% vs 3.4% · n=59

Over 2m5f – 3m 6.2% vs 3.4% · n=97

With Joseph Crowley 0% vs 3.4% · n=41

With debutants 0% vs 3.4% · n=37

Off a 31-60-day break 1.1% vs 3.4% · n=87

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 332 11 3.3% −183.25

Chase 145 6 4.1% −101.90

Flat 18 0 0% −18.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 178 5 2.8% −140.15

Heavy 143 4 2.8% −90.00

Good 90 5 5.6% −18.00

Good to Firm 42 2 4.8% −17.00

Good to Soft 25 0 0% −25.00

Firm 16 1 6.3% −12.00

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Limerick 54 3 5.6% −33.25

Cork 48 2 4.2% −11.90

Thurles 38 1 2.6% −28.00

Clonmel 37 2 5.4% −28.00

Tramore 30 1 3.3% −17.00

Gowran Park 30 1 3.3% −17.00

Wexford 29 0 0% −29.00

Navan 25 0 0% −25.00

Fairyhouse 25 0 0% −25.00

Punchestown 21 1 4.8% −13.00

Kilbeggan 18 0 0% −18.00

Listowel 18 1 5.6% −9.00

Naas 16 1 6.3% −10.00

Downpatrick 14 0 0% −14.00

Tipperary 14 1 7.1% +3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 16 0 0% −16.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 11 3 27.3% 1.26 −1.15

2nd–3rd fav 38 4 10.5% 0.88 −10.00

4th–6th fav 86 5 5.8% 0.93 −38.00

7th+ in betting 360 5 1.4% 0.50 −254.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.6% completed · 477 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 145 73.1% 12 4 21 2 0

Hurdle 332 92.5% 8 1 14 0 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Colls Corner (IRE) 24 3 9 28 Dec 13

Wilde Wit Pleasure (IRE) 20 1 8 28 Jan 12

Strong Project (IRE) 15 1 2 14 Oct 09

Skeheenarinky (IRE) 10 0 3 26 Jan 11

Topofdemornintou (IRE) 9 2 3 30 Aug 09

Big Allice (IRE) 8 0 0 13 Jan 11

Glens Ruby (IRE) 8 0 0 27 Oct 10

Brotenstown (IRE) 8 1 3 15 May 09

Indian Love (FR) 8 1 3 11 Apr 09

Canitellyou (IRE) 8 1 2 22 Nov 08

Rebel Dream (IRE) 7 0 0 13 Jun 09

Acorn Hollow (IRE) 6 0 0 20 Apr 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 216 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

530449600053

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardSean O O'Brien

15% of all rides
2.6% SR · A/E 0.55

TrainerRWSR£1

Sean O O'Brien 76 2 2.6% −21.00

Paul Cashman 59 4 6.8% −14.90

Joseph Crowley 41 0 0% −41.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£866k

Prize money

2005

Best season · 28 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Amorini (IRE) — Handicap Chase (Listed) (0-135) Wexford · Nov 2005 · Listed

£32,550

Strong Project (IRE) — Phil Sweeney Memorial Chase (Listed) Thurles · Jan 2006 · Listed

£19,530

Berkley (IRE) — Killarney 250 Handicap Chase Killarney · May 2005

£18,879

Notable horses

Strong Project (IRE) Colls Corner (IRE) Peruvian Athlete (IRE) Amisina (IRE) Cogans Lake (IRE) Maryannthedancer (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oscar (IRE) 2% · 1–51

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Beneficial (GB) 7.5% · 3–40

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Presenting (GB) 10.3% · 3–29

Progeny have won 11% of 20,053 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–17

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,298 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Project Manager (GB) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 6.7% of 15 runs since 2008 (1 horse). A small sample.

Lord Americo (IRE) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,189 runs since 2008 (237 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,335 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,335 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 30 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 May 26 Eagle Farm (AUS) Accidental Bid (GB)T: Ciaron Maher Sky Racing Queensland Derby (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 13th 15/2

30 Jul 22 Galway Kaaranah (IRE)T: John Butler Mcdonogh Capital Investments Handicap (50-80)12f · Soft · 15 ran 8th 9/2

27 Jul 22 Galway Allihies (IRE)T: Kevin Thomas Coleman Play The Tote Exacta On Every Race Handicap8.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 4th 16/1

13 Jul 22 Killarney Zaur (IRE)T: Michael Butler M.D. O'Shea & Sons Handicap (47-65)8f · Good · 15 ran 8th 25/1

13 Jul 22 Killarney Allihies (IRE)T: Kevin Thomas Coleman Rose Hotel Rated Race8f · Good · 8 ran 4th 14/1

12 Jul 22 Dundalk (AW) War Correspondent (IRE)T: R P Cody William Hill Extra Places Every Day Handicap (47-75)12f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 6/1

01 Jul 22 Bellewstown Shoebox King (IRE)T: Kevin Thomas Coleman Phil & Patsy Kierans Memorial Maiden5f · Yielding · 15 ran 2nd 11/2

29 Jun 22 Tipperary South East Star (IRE)T: Eoin Doyle TipperaryRaces.ie Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)12.5f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 4th 40/1

28 Jun 22 Roscommon Classy Kate (IRE)T: Kevin Thomas Coleman Ladies Day At Roscommon On Monday July 4th Maiden12f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 13th 200/1

28 Jun 22 Roscommon Allihies (IRE)T: Kevin Thomas Coleman Dermot Hughes Car Sales Handicap10f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 8th 66/1

29 Dec 13 Leopardstown Caoimhe's Delight (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien Ifg E.B.F. Mares Hurdle (grade 3)20f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 33/1

28 Dec 13 Limerick Colls Corner (IRE)T: Michael Barry Emmett Leahy Millstream Memorial Veterans Handicap Chase (0-123)22f · Heavy · 12 ran PU 14/1

22 Dec 13 Thurles Gort An Chnoic (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien Exit 6 To The Horse & Jockey Rated Novice Hurdle22f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 16/1

08 Dec 13 Cork Caoimhe's Delight (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien Kerry Group E.B.F. Mares Novice Chase (grade 3)17f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 8/1

15 Dec 12 Fairyhouse Caoimhe's Delight (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien Christmas Party Raceday At Fairyhouse Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 20 ran 2nd 14/1

28 Jan 12 Leopardstown Wilde Wit Pleasure (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien Boylesports.com Hurdle (Extended 0-145 Handicap) (Grade B)16f · Yielding · 30 ran 13th 33/1

28 Dec 11 Leopardstown Wilde Wit Pleasure (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien Star Best For Racing Coverage Rated Hurdle16f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 11/2

27 Nov 11 Wexford Mosman Park (FR)T: Michael Butler Gorey Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Soft · 14 ran 11th 20/1

27 Nov 11 Wexford Flaming Hymn (GB)T: Garrett James Power Slaney Maiden Hurdle18f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 33/1

24 Nov 11 Thurles Wilde Wit Pleasure (IRE)T: Sean O O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Beginners Chase18f · Heavy · 16 ran UR 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Allen's strike rate?: John Allen has won 17 of 495 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.4% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Allen do best at?: Limerick by strike rate: 3 wins from 54 rides (5.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does John Allen ride most for?: Sean O O'Brien, with 76 rides since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (2.6%).
What is John Allen's Fair A/E?: 0.76, from 495 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.