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Trainer profile

Joseph Crowley

216 runners in the lifetime window · 49 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2009 94% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
9–216
Wins / Runs
4.2%
Strike rate
n=216
38 (18%)
Placed
0.61
Fair A/E
n=216 · 0.44 incl. margin
−146.50
£1 level stake
n=216 at SP · −67.8%
£230k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 110 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.61).

Deterministic profile computed from 216 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 5.1%
The read

The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.24 across 58 runners (1.7% strike, −49.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ardilaun House Hotel Oyster Stakes at Galway (Sep 2005, £39,060). The stable star of the record was Paco Jack (IRE) — 6 wins from 37 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2%−2.2
n=51 · A/E 0.27 · £1 −42.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
10.5%+6.3
n=19 · A/E 1.76 · £1 +4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.2
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.2
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=9 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +3.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.1%+0.9
n=59 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −26.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5.3%+1.1
n=19 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With John Allen 0% vs 4.2% · n=41
With horses switching code 0% vs 4.2% · n=36
With a new jockey booking 1.9% vs 4.2% · n=103
Over 1m5f – 2m 1.7% vs 4.2% · n=58
In Chase races 6.2% vs 4.2% · n=81
Off a 15-30-day break 2.1% vs 4.2% · n=48
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 84 2 2.4% −65.00
Chase 81 5 6.2% −53.50
NH Flat 38 2 5.3% −15.00
Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 79 3 3.8% −60.50
Heavy 60 3 5% −42.00
Good 45 2 4.4% −21.00
Good to Soft 19 1 5.3% −10.00
Good to Firm 11 0 0% −11.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 22 1 4.5% −16.00
Fairyhouse 20 1 5% −11.00
Navan 17 1 5.9% −14.50
Thurles 15 0 0% −15.00
Gowran Park 13 2 15.4% +2.00
Cork 12 0 0% −12.00
Clonmel 12 0 0% −12.00
Killarney 12 1 8.3% +5.00
Limerick 11 0 0% −11.00
Leopardstown 11 0 0% −11.00
Kilbeggan 9 1 11.1% −2.00
Galway 8 2 25% +5.00
Tramore 7 0 0% −7.00
Roscommon 6 0 0% −6.00
Downpatrick 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 19 1 5.3% −10.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 3 27.3% 1.13 +1.50
2nd–3rd fav 35 3 8.6% 0.73 −11.00
4th–6th fav 59 2 3.4% 0.47 −43.00
7th+ in betting 111 1 0.9% 0.26 −94.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80.6% completed · 165 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 81 77.8% 4 2 11 0 1
Hurdle 84 83.3% 5 1 7 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Paco Jack (IRE)then P J Rothwell 17 4 7 16 Sep 09
Knock On The Head (IRE)then A L T Moore 14 2 7 16 Sep 09
Oscar Lyons (IRE) 12 0 1 21 Aug 09
Hairy Molly (IRE)then Philip Fenton 12 1 3 1 Jun 09
Acorn Hollow (IRE) 11 0 0 20 Apr 09
Good Harvest (IRE)then Jonjo O'Neill 10 0 1 8 Aug 09
On My Own (IRE)then Philip Fenton 9 0 1 13 Jul 09
Exchange Rate (IRE) 8 0 1 28 Mar 09
Ben's Folly (IRE)then Tim Vaughan 7 0 1 23 Sep 09
El Cerro (GB)then Thomas Gerard O'Leary 7 0 2 9 Nov 08
Seldom Fed (IRE)then Paul Nolan 6 1 1 15 May 09
Seamies Dream (IRE)then Eamonn O'Connell 5 0 0 11 Oct 09
All 49 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 49 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 46 had their first archived run for this yard.

26 have since run for another yard, most often for P J Rothwell (5) and Philip Fenton (4); 23 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
01110050890000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJohn Allen
19% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
John Allen 41 0 0% −41.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
98
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£1.51m
Prize money
2007
Best season · 33 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Blue Corrig (IRE) — Ardilaun House Hotel Oyster Stakes (listed) Galway · Sep 2005 · Listed
£39,060
Paco Jack (IRE) — Weatherbys Ireland GSB Hurdle (Grade 3) Fairyhouse · Mar 2008 · Grade 3
£23,111
Hairy Molly (IRE) — Weatherbys Champion Bumper (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2006 · Class 1
£22,808
Notable horses
Paco Jack (IRE) Piltown (IRE) Rusty Red (IRE) Hairy Molly (IRE) Peruvian Athlete (IRE) Firth Of Forth (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Flemensfirth (USA) 6.7% · 2–30
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,267 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Shernazar (GB) 3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,462 runs since 2008 (150 horses).
Oscar (IRE) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Soviet Star (USA) 23.5% · 4–17
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,621 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5% from 160. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 320.
Simply Great (FR) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 7.4% of 460 runs since 2008 (53 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.4% from 140. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 101.
Elnadim (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.8% of 3,353 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.5% from 108. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.3% from 152.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,429 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,429 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 11 October 2009.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
11 Oct 09 Limerick Seamies Dream (IRE)J: John Cullen Michael Punch & Partners Handicap Hurdle (81-109)18f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 16th 22/1
23 Sep 09 Downpatrick Back And Firth (IRE)J: John Allen Denny E.B.F Beginners Chase23f · Good To Firm · 15 ran PU 33/1
23 Sep 09 Downpatrick Seamies Dream (IRE)J: John Allen Britvic Ni Beginners Chase18.5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 11th 25/1
23 Sep 09 Downpatrick Ben's Folly (IRE)J: Robbie Power Tayto Maiden Hurdle18f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 5th 8/1
21 Sep 09 Ballinrobe Seamies Dream (IRE)J: John Allen Coranna Restaurant Beginners Chase16f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 11th 25/1
19 Sep 09 Listowel Brog An Ri (IRE)J: Brian O'Connell Listowel Races Supporters Club Slan Abhaile (q.r.) Race14f · Good · 13 ran 9th 10/1
19 Sep 09 Listowel Ben's Folly (IRE)J: John Allen M.j. Carroll Arro Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 18 ran 14th 25/1
16 Sep 09 Listowel Paco Jack (IRE)J: Robbie Power Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase24f · Good · 18 ran PU 7/1
16 Sep 09 Listowel Knock On The Head (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase24f · Good · 18 ran 14th 11/1
07 Sep 09 Clonmel Ben's Folly (IRE)J: John Allen Comeragh Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 18 ran 3rd 6/1
30 Aug 09 Galway Paco Jack (IRE)J: Robbie Power Guinness Handicap Chase (0-140)22.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 4/1F
30 Aug 09 Galway Seamies Dream (IRE)J: John Allen Galway City Vinters Handicap Hurdle (88-130)16f · Heavy · 9 ran 9th 16/1
21 Aug 09 Kilbeggan Oscar Lyons (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Loughnagore Handicap Chase (0-109)25f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 6th 10/1
21 Aug 09 Kilbeggan Seamies Dream (IRE)J: Martin Ferris Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (81-109)19f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran PU 12/1
16 Aug 09 Tramore Oscar Lyons (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Killone Estate Handicap Chase (0-123)22f · Good · 16 ran UR 11/1
08 Aug 09 Kilbeggan Good Harvest (IRE)J: Alan Crowe Hackett's Bookmakers Handicap Chase (0-130)20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 12/1
06 Aug 09 Sligo Back And Firth (IRE)J: John Allen Bet On Course With Tote Maiden Hurdle24f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 10th 14/1
06 Aug 09 Sligo Ben's Folly (IRE)J: Lenny Flynn Martinstown Opportunity Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft · 14 ran 7th 9/1
01 Aug 09 Galway Paco Jack (IRE)J: Robbie Power Low Low Galway Blazers Handicap Chase (0-123)22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 17 ran 1st 7/1
29 Jul 09 Galway Knock On The Head (IRE)J: Mark Walsh William Hill Galway Plate (Handicap Chase )22.5f · Soft · 20 ran 2nd 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Joseph Crowley's strike rate?
Joseph Crowley has won 9 of 216 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Joseph Crowley's Fair A/E?
0.61, from 216 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).