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Jockey profile

Josh Baudains

287 rides in the lifetime window · 119 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2014 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
24–287
Wins / Runs
8.4%
Strike rate
n=287
67 (23%)
Placed
0.98
Fair A/E
n=284 · 0.84 incl. margin
+18.25
£1 level stake
n=287 at SP · +6.4%
£98,408
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.1%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 70 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98).

Deterministic profile computed from 287 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Dominic Ffrench Davis: 8.8% from 91 Claiming: 8.5%
The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (13.3%, n=75), clear of the rider's 8.4% baseline. It is weakest at Lingfield (2.9% over 34 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Dominic Ffrench Davis supplied 32% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.8%, A/E 1.13) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (16.3%, n=43). The record read poorly on Good going — 2.8% over 36 rides, 5.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.46 across 101 rides (4% strike, −78.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
7.6%−0.8
n=119 · A/E 1.01 · £1 +51.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
8%−0.4
n=25 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −10.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
6.7%−1.7
n=45 · A/E 1.10 · £1 +44.00
When favourite
23.1%
n=13 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −1.75
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8.5%+0.1
n=247 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −32.75
Big fields · 14+ runners
7.7%−0.7
n=39 · A/E 1.78 · £1 +88.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 16.4% vs 8.4% · n=73
Off a 0-7-day break 16.3% vs 8.4% · n=43
At Wolverhampton (AW) 13.3% vs 8.4% · n=75
Off a 15-30-day break 4% vs 8.4% · n=101
On Good going 2.8% vs 8.4% · n=36
At Lingfield 2.9% vs 8.4% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 166 18 10.8% −2.50
Good to Firm 40 3 7.5% +34.75
Good 36 1 2.8% −10.00
Good to Soft 20 1 5% +14.00
Soft 14 1 7.1% −7.00
Firm 7 0 0% −7.00
Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 75 10 13.3% +10.50
Lingfield 34 1 2.9% −27.00
Southwell (AW) 29 7 24.1% +42.00
Kempton (AW) 28 0 0% −28.00
Windsor 16 2 12.5% +13.75
Newbury 15 1 6.7% +19.00
Bath 11 0 0% −11.00
Salisbury 9 0 0% −9.00
Chepstow 7 0 0% −7.00
Brighton 6 0 0% −6.00
Leicester 6 0 0% −6.00
Warwick 5 0 0% −5.00
Lingfield 5 0 0% −5.00
Epsom Downs 3 1 33.3% +1.00
Nottingham 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 147 11 7.5% −65.50
Class 5 98 8 8.2% +55.75
Class 4 22 4 18.2% +39.00
Class 7 15 1 6.7% −6.00
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 20 3 15% 0.65 −8.75
2nd–3rd fav 55 8 14.5% 0.94 −14.00
4th–6th fav 95 7 7.4% 1.00 −16.00
7th+ in betting 117 6 5.1% 1.42 +57.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Admirable Duque (IRE) 19 4 5 16 Jul 14
Gaelic Wizard (IRE) 17 2 4 1 Feb 14
Justcallmehandsome (GB) 16 1 3 20 Jan 14
Edgeworth (IRE) 13 0 2 17 Nov 12
Brandywell Boy (IRE) 12 0 2 10 Jun 14
If I Were A Boy (IRE) 9 1 1 30 Dec 13
Caledonia Prince (GB) 8 2 5 12 May 12
Kyle of Bute (GB) 7 2 5 29 Jan 14
Escardo (GER) 7 0 0 20 Feb 12
Beachwood Bay (GB) 6 2 3 8 May 12
Admirals Walk (IRE) 5 0 0 26 May 14
Insolenceofoffice (IRE) 4 0 2 23 Jan 14
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 119 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
913607351276721
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardDominic Ffrench Davis
32% of all rides
8.8% SR · A/E 1.13
TrainerRWSR£1
Dominic Ffrench Davis 91 8 8.8% −12.25
Sylvester Kirk 50 3 6% −8.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
24
Archived wins
£98,408
Prize money
2012
Best season · 9 wins
Wicked Wench (GB) — Davis West Indian Bakery Handicap Windsor · May 2012 · Class 4
£4,852
Rusty Rocket (IRE) — totepool.com Sports Games Bingo & More Handicap Catterick · Aug 2012 · Class 4
£4,528
Admirable Duque (IRE) — Follow Southwell On Twitter Handicap Southwell (AW) · Mar 2012 · Class 4
£4,205
Notable horses
Admirable Duque (IRE) Gaelic Wizard (IRE) Caledonia Prince (GB) Kyle of Bute (GB) Beachwood Bay (GB) Justcallmehandsome (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Selkirk (USA) 21.1% · 4–19
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,371 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 228. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.7% from 143.
Fasliyev (USA) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 8.3% of 4,140 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.1% from 124.
Handsome Ridge (GB) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 10.2% of 98 runs since 2008 (1 horse).
Danetime (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 11.1% of 2,846 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 218.
Pyrus (USA) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,446 runs since 2008 (89 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 119. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 208.
Piccolo (GB) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 287 · newest first

The latest 50 of 287 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 April 2011 to 4 October 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Scariff Hornet (IRE)T: Sylvester Kirk Collect totepool Winnings At Betfred Shops Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 100/1
25 Sep 14 Kempton (AW) Dukes Den (GB)T: Sylvester Kirk Follow BetVictorRacing On Twitter Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 66/1
26 Jul 14 Salisbury Simma (IRE)T: Sylvester Kirk Bathwick Tyres Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 33/1
23 Jul 14 Leicester Maymyo (IRE)T: Sylvester Kirk Molyneux HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 12/1
16 Jul 14 Lingfield (AW) Admirable Duque (IRE)T: Dominic Ffrench Davis Henry Streeter HandicapClass 5 · 16f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 25/1
10 Jul 14 Epsom Downs Lady Of Yue (GB)T: Eugene Stanford Beach Boys 17 July HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 14/1
10 Jul 14 Epsom Downs Last Minute Lisa (IRE)T: Sylvester Kirk Steve Donoghue Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 1st 3/1
07 Jul 14 Windsor Simma (IRE)T: Sylvester Kirk Happy Birthday Miss Katrina Thomas Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 33/1
03 Jul 14 Newbury Secret Lightning (FR)T: Sylvester Kirk Denford Stud Irish Champions Weekend EBF Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 6th 12/1
03 Jul 14 Newbury Celestial Bay (GB)T: Sylvester Kirk Andrew Lloyd Webber Foundation Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 20/1
02 Jul 14 Chepstow Basle (GB)T: Roy Brotherton Bingo At bet365 HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 15th 33/1
30 Jun 14 Windsor Belletriste (FR)T: Sylvester Kirk Unibet Injury Time Insurance In Brazil Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 16/1
29 Jun 14 Salisbury Percy Veer (GB)T: Sylvester Kirk Bathwick Tyres EBF Stallions Blagrave Maiden StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 50/1
20 Jun 14 Newmarket Roxy Lane (GB)T: Peter Hiatt Adnams Newmarket Nights Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 1st 66/1
19 Jun 14 Lingfield (AW) Scariff Hornet (IRE)T: Sylvester Kirk ISG HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 50/1
16 Jun 14 Windsor Waahej (GB)T: Peter Hiatt Macdonald Windsor Hotel Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 11.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 16/1
14 Jun 14 Lingfield Claude Greenwood (GB)T: Linda Jewell Samworth Brothers HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 6th 8/1
10 Jun 14 Lingfield Brandywell Boy (IRE)T: Dominic Ffrench Davis 32Red Selling StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 4th 33/1
06 Jun 14 Goodwood Pink Ribbon (IRE)T: Sylvester Kirk Advanced Resource Managers EBF Stallions Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 11th 33/1
05 Jun 14 Kempton (AW) Our Golden Girl (GB)T: Shaun Lycett Dublin Legends Here On 09.07.14 Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Josh Baudains's strike rate?
Josh Baudains has won 24 of 287 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Josh Baudains do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 75 rides (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Josh Baudains ride most for?
Dominic Ffrench Davis, with 91 rides since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (8.8%).
What is Josh Baudains's Fair A/E?
0.98, from 284 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).