What is Kevin Lundie's strike rate?

Kevin Lundie has won 30 of 566 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Kevin Lundie do best at?

Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 56 rides (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Kevin Lundie ride most for?

Michael Appleby, with 83 rides since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6%).

What is Kevin Lundie's Fair A/E?

0.77, from 562 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Kevin Lundie

566 rides in the lifetime window · 284 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2020 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

30–566

Wins / Runs

5.3%

Strike rate

n=566

127 (22%)

Placed

0.77

Fair A/E

n=562 · 0.66 incl. margin

−308.17

£1 level stake

n=566 at SP · −54.4%

£202k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.77). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (42 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 566 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Michael Appleby: 6% from 83 LTO winners: 11.9%

The read

The record is strongest at Chelmsford City (AW) (14.3%, n=56), clear of the rider's 5.3% baseline. It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (1.5% over 65 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 11.9% (n=42, Fair A/E 0.96). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −150.92 to a £1 stake over 284 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Michael Appleby supplied 15% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6%, A/E 0.75). The rider also read well off a 15-30-day break (8.5%, n=188). The record read poorly on Soft going — 0% over 36 rides, 5.3pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Bertie Blu Boy (GB) — 6 wins from 20 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.6%−0.7

n=284 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −150.92

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

11.9%+6.6

n=42 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −14.25

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.2%−0.1

n=77 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −36.50

When favourite

35.3%

n=17 · A/E 1.33 · £1 +1.25

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

4.9%−0.4

n=529 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −292.17

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.4%+0.1

n=56 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −18.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Chelmsford City (AW) 14.3% vs 5.3% · n=56

On last-time-out winners 11.9% vs 5.3% · n=42

With David Evans 0% vs 5.3% · n=59

On Soft going 0% vs 5.3% · n=36

Off a 15-30-day break 8.5% vs 5.3% · n=188

At Southwell (AW) 1.5% vs 5.3% · n=65

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 316 19 6% −139.42

Good to Firm 98 3 3.1% −79.25

Good 63 3 4.8% −43.75

Good to Soft 38 3 7.9% −20.25

Soft 36 0 0% −36.00

Firm 8 1 12.5% +9.00

Heavy 7 1 14.3% +1.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 112 5 4.5% −30.00

Southwell (AW) 65 1 1.5% −61.25

Chelmsford City (AW) 56 8 14.3% +4.83

Lingfield (AW) 46 4 8.7% −24.00

Nottingham 27 0 0% −27.00

Kempton (AW) 23 0 0% −23.00

Doncaster 16 0 0% −16.00

Leicester 16 2 12.5% −7.75

Haydock 15 0 0% −15.00

Ayr 15 2 13.3% −2.25

Newcastle (AW) 14 1 7.1% −6.00

Yarmouth 13 2 15.4% +14.00

Catterick 13 0 0% −13.00

Windsor 12 0 0% −12.00

Hamilton 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 297 20 6.7% −100.75

Class 5 179 8 4.5% −132.92

Class 4 58 1 1.7% −51.50

Class 7 18 0 0% −18.00

Class 3 11 1 9.1% −2.00

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 27 7 25.9% 1.13 −2.75

2nd–3rd fav 69 6 8.7% 0.57 −40.42

4th–6th fav 176 15 8.5% 1.17 −29.00

7th+ in betting 294 2 0.7% 0.21 −236.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bertie Blu Boy (GB) 20 6 6 21 Jun 18

Kraka (IRE) 11 1 7 21 Aug 20

Di's Gift (GB) 10 1 6 24 Jan 19

Memphis Man (GB) 10 0 0 19 Jan 12

Major Muscari (IRE) 9 1 6 18 Jan 17

Ace Master (GB) 8 1 2 4 Oct 18

First Excel (GB) 8 1 4 28 Sep 18

Brandy Station (IRE) 7 1 1 19 Jan 19

Secret Asset (IRE) 7 0 1 24 Jul 18

Celerity (IRE) 6 0 1 7 Jan 19

Master Of Song (GB) 6 0 0 25 Jan 18

Little Choosey (GB) 6 0 1 21 Dec 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 284 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

9010569255443

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMichael Appleby

15% of all rides
6% SR · A/E 0.75

TrainerRWSR£1

Michael Appleby 83 5 6% −5.92

Lisa Williamson 81 7 8.6% −32.50

David Evans 59 0 0% −59.00

Roy Bowring 57 3 5.3% −33.50

Shaun Harris 49 2 4.1% −31.00

Mark Loughnane 38 1 2.6% −34.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

Archived wins

£202k

Prize money

2015

Best season · 9 wins

Bertie Blu Boy (GB) — Bet Toteexacta Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Jun 2015 · Class 3

£9,057

Shamrokh (IRE) — Toteplacepot Races 1 To 6 Apprentice Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Jan 2018 · Class 5

£5,434

Ace Master (GB) — Keith Hammill Memorial Handicap Pontefract · Aug 2016 · Class 4

£5,175

Notable horses

Bertie Blu Boy (GB) Titan Goddess (GB) Kraka (IRE) Di's Gift (GB) Major Muscari (IRE) Ace Master (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Central Park (IRE) 28.6% · 6–21

Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,061 runs since 2008 (82 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 142. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.5% from 154.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,036 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Dark Angel (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,941 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Ballet Master (USA) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 10.7% of 280 runs since 2008 (6 horses).

Bertolini (USA) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Casamento (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,630 runs since 2016 (299 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.9% from 287.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 566 · newest first

The latest 50 of 566 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 29 October 2009 to 15 September 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Sep 20 Kempton (AW) Friday (GB)T: Luke Dace Unibet Thanks The Frontline Workers NurseryClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 10th 100/1

10 Sep 20 Haydock Elham Valley (FR)T: John Gallagher Join Racing TV Now HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 22/1

07 Sep 20 Windsor Silver Diva (GB)T: John Gallagher British Stallion Studs EBF Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 5th 14/1

07 Sep 20 Windsor Kick On Kick On (GB)T: Ian Williams Zupermann Autospares HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 15/2

02 Sep 20 Bath Galactic Spirit (GB)T: James Evans Patent Paradise At valuerater.co.uk Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 13f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 15/2

30 Aug 20 Yarmouth Queen Of Burgundy (GB)T: Christine Dunnett Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 9/1

28 Aug 20 Goodwood Saras Hope (GB)T: John Gallagher Ladbrokes HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Heavy · 9 ran 1st 15/2

21 Aug 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Kraka (IRE)T: Christine Dunnett Free Daily Tips On attheraces.com HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 9/2J

17 Aug 20 Windsor Silver Diva (GB)T: John Gallagher British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 50/1

15 Aug 20 Chepstow Croeso Cymraeg (GB)T: James Evans Star Sports Owners Club 20k Guarantee HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 17/2

14 Aug 20 Lingfield (AW) Percy Toplis (GB)T: Christine Dunnett Betway Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 5th 7/1

11 Aug 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Thorn (GB)T: John Gallagher Follow At The Races On Twitter HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 6th 7/1

10 Aug 20 Leicester Dylan's Lad (IRE)T: Roy Bowring Thank You Owners For Supporting Racing Novice StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 8th 150/1

10 Aug 20 Leicester Queen Of Burgundy (GB)T: Christine Dunnett Join Racing TV Now HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 4th 15/2

07 Aug 20 Sandown Friday (GB)T: Luke Dace British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (Plus 10)Class 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 150/1

06 Aug 20 Bath Lady Iley (GB)T: John Gallagher visitbath.co.uk Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Firm · 6 ran 3rd 22/1

02 Aug 20 Sandown Lakshmi Lola (GB)T: Luke Dace Long Ditton Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 13th 150/1

02 Aug 20 Sandown Saras Hope (GB)T: John Gallagher Claygate HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 28/1

28 Jul 20 Yarmouth Kraka (IRE)T: Christine Dunnett Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 8th 11/1

27 Jul 20 Windsor Friday (GB)T: Luke Dace British EBF Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kevin Lundie's strike rate?: Kevin Lundie has won 30 of 566 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Kevin Lundie do best at?: Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 56 rides (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Kevin Lundie ride most for?: Michael Appleby, with 83 rides since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6%).
What is Kevin Lundie's Fair A/E?: 0.77, from 562 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.